Cowdenbeath — Clyde 2:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Scotland. League Two

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Peterhead	36	24	7	5	65:29	+36	79	WDWDD
2	Clyde	36	23	5	8	63:35	+28	74	LWWWD
3	Edinburgh FC	36	20	7	9	58:31	+27	67	DDLLL
4	Annan Athletic	36	20	6	10	70:39	+31	66	WWWDW
5	Stirling Albion	36	13	8	15	44:45	-1	47	DDLDW
6	Cowdenbeath	36	12	7	17	46:46	0	43	WLWWW
7	Queen's Park	36	11	10	15	44:47	-3	43	LLLWW
8	Elgin City	36	13	4	19	52:67	-15	43	WDLLL
9	Albion Rovers	36	7	6	23	32:71	-39	27	LWWDL
10	Berwick Rangers	36	5	4	27	27:91	-64	19	LLLLL

• Promotion - First League
• Promotion - First League (Promotion)
• Second League. Relegation. Play-offs

• The model expects 2.69 goals: 1.47 for Cowdenbeath and 1.22 for Clyde.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (10%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.42, 2nd — 1.45.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	89%	100%	93%	1.07
Over 1.5	78%	75%	75%	1.33
Over 2.5	56%	75%	50%	1.98
Over 3.5	33%	0%	28%	3.52
Over 4.5	22%	0%	14%	7.37

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (9), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Cowdenbeath Clyde

• Scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Won 6 of 7 matches after scoring first86%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Cowdenbeathmatches: 9 · 4Clyde

2.88Avg match total2.5

89%8/9Over 0.5100%4/4

11%1/9Under 0.50%0/4

78%7/9Over 1.575%3/4

22%2/9Under 1.525%1/4

56%5/9Over 2.575%3/4

44%4/9Under 2.525%1/4

33%3/9Over 3.50%0/4

67%6/9Under 3.5100%4/4

22%2/9Over 4.50%0/4

78%7/9Under 4.5100%4/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

CowdenbeathClyde

63%5/8Scores first50%2/4

60%3/5…and wins50%1/2

0%0/5…and draws0%0/2

40%2/5…and loses50%1/2

60%3/5…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Cowdenbeath opened the scoring in 63% of matches.
• • Cowdenbeath avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • Clyde opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Clyde avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Cowdenbeath				Clyde
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	22%	1–15	25%	0	1
1	3	33%	16–30	25%	1	0
3	2	56%	31–45	50%	2	1
2	3	44%	46–60	25%	0	1
3	1	44%	61–75	0%	0	0
2	3	44%	76–90	50%	2	1
2	0	22%	37–HT	50%	2	1
0	2	11%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Cowdenbeath scores most in 31–45: 3 of 13 goals (23%).
• • Cowdenbeath concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 13 conceded.
• • Cowdenbeath scores 38% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Clyde scores most in 31–45: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Clyde concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 4 conceded.
• • Clyde scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2 goals per match on average.