Trollhattan — Eskilsminne 2:1: match report and statistics

• 1 Yellow cards 1

Tournament

Sweden. Division 1

Season

2020

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	IFK Varnamo	30	20	3	7	60:26	+34	63	WDDLL
2	Landskrona BoIS	30	17	8	5	54:30	+24	59	WLDWW
3	Utsiktens	30	14	11	5	59:36	+23	53	DWLWW
4	Lindome	30	14	6	10	50:35	+15	48	LDDWL
5	Nordic United	30	14	4	12	52:45	+7	46	LWWLW
6	Skovde AIK	30	13	4	13	61:54	+7	43	WLWWL
7	Trollhattan	30	13	4	13	47:52	-5	43	LWWWL
8	Torns	30	10	12	8	40:33	+7	42	DLWLL
9	Linkoping City	30	12	5	13	54:47	+7	41	DWWLL
10	Oskarshamns	30	11	7	12	50:56	-6	40	LWLLW
11	Tvaakers	30	10	9	11	40:50	-10	39	DWDLW
12	Qviding	30	11	6	13	31:46	-15	39	WLWWW
13	Lunds	30	9	8	13	39:46	-7	35	WLLWW
14	Eskilsminne	30	9	8	13	42:55	-13	35	DLLWW
15	Motala	30	5	7	18	36:60	-24	22	LLLLL
16	Karlskrona	30	4	6	20	36:80	-44	18	DWLLL

• Promotion - First League
• Promotion - First League (Promotion)
• Division 1 - Relegation (Понижение (плей-офф))(Stat)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.59 goals: 1.9 for Trollhattan and 1.69 for Eskilsminne.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (9%), followed by 2–1 (8%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.42, 2nd — 2.17.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	83%	100%	87%	1.15
Over 2.5	83%	75%	70%	1.44
Over 3.5	33%	63%	48%	2.07
Over 4.5	17%	25%	29%	3.43

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (8). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Trollhattan Eskilsminne

• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 4.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Both teams scored in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored over 0.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Trollhattanmatches: 6 · 8Eskilsminne

3.2Avg match total4.0

100%6/6Over 0.5100%8/8

0%0/6Under 0.50%0/8

83%5/6Over 1.5100%8/8

17%1/6Under 1.50%0/8

83%5/6Over 2.575%6/8

17%1/6Under 2.525%2/8

33%2/6Over 3.563%5/8

67%4/6Under 3.538%3/8

17%1/6Over 4.525%2/8

83%5/6Under 4.575%6/8

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

TrollhattanEskilsminne

33%2/6Scores first25%2/8

50%1/2…and wins0%0/2

0%0/2…and draws100%2/2

50%1/2…and loses0%0/2

100%2/2…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Trollhattan opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Trollhattan avoided defeat after conceding first in 75% of such matches.
• • Eskilsminne opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • Eskilsminne avoided defeat after conceding first in 67% of such matches.

Trollhattan				Eskilsminne
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	17%	1–15	75%	2	6
0	1	17%	16–30	38%	2	1
0	3	33%	31–45	38%	1	4
3	1	33%	46–60	38%	3	1
2	2	50%	61–75	63%	4	2
4	2	50%	76–90	50%	3	3
0	2	33%	37–HT	38%	0	3
2	1	33%	87–FT	38%	1	2

• • Trollhattan scores most in 76–90: 4 of 10 goals (40%).
• • Trollhattan concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 9 conceded.
• • Trollhattan scores 60% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Eskilsminne scores most in 61–75: 4 of 15 goals (27%).
• • Eskilsminne concedes most in 1–15: 6 of 17 conceded.
• • Eskilsminne scores 47% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.