Belasitsa Petrich — Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi 4:3: match report and statistics

Tournament

Bulgaria. Third League. South-West

Season

2020/2021

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Marek Dupnitsa	34	25	7	2	84:24	+60	82	WWWWD
2	Kyustendil	34	26	4	4	63:14	+49	79	WWWWW
3	Belasitsa Petrich	34	23	9	2	68:27	+41	78	WDWWW
4	Vihren Sandanski	34	23	6	5	63:25	+38	75	LDWWW
5	Oborishte	34	18	6	10	55:41	+14	60	WWWWW
6	Balkan Botevgrad	34	16	10	8	62:34	+28	58	WDLWD
7	Chavdar Etropole	34	15	6	13	62:46	+16	51	LLLWL
8	Botev 1921 Ihtiman	34	13	7	14	53:41	+12	46	WWWLL
9	Pirin Gotse Delchev	34	13	6	15	37:32	+5	45	LLLWL
10	Pirin Razlog	34	11	8	15	40:59	-19	41	WWLLD
11	Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi	34	10	6	18	40:56	-16	36	LDWWL
12	Slivnishki geroi	34	9	9	16	38:44	-6	36	WDLLD
13	Rilski Sportist	34	9	7	18	30:45	-15	34	LDLLD
14	Bansko	34	10	4	20	28:47	-19	34	LWWLW
15	Levski Chepinci	34	10	4	20	34:72	-38	34	WLWLD
16	Granit Vladaya	34	9	5	20	34:65	-31	32	LLLLW
17	Perun Kresna	34	6	4	24	25:77	-52	22	LLLLL
18	Velbazhd Kyustendil	34	4	4	26	16:83	-67	16	LLLLL

• Promotion - Second League
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.2 goals: 2.18 for Belasitsa Petrich and 1.03 for Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (10%), followed by 2–0 (10%).
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.67, 2nd — 2.04.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	90%	63%	83%	1.21
Over 2.5	70%	63%	62%	1.61
Over 3.5	40%	50%	40%	2.52
Over 4.5	30%	25%	22%	4.56

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (8). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Belasitsa Petrich Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi

• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 7 matches100%
• Winless in 7 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored over 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches70%
• First-half goal in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Belasitsa Petrichmatches: 10 · 8Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi

3.4Avg match total3.0

100%10/10Over 0.5100%8/8

0%0/10Under 0.50%0/8

90%9/10Over 1.563%5/8

10%1/10Under 1.538%3/8

70%7/10Over 2.563%5/8

30%3/10Under 2.538%3/8

40%4/10Over 3.550%4/8

60%6/10Under 3.550%4/8

30%3/10Over 4.525%2/8

70%7/10Under 4.575%6/8

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Belasitsa PetrichNadezhda Dobroslavtsi

—Scores first—

—…and wins—

—…and draws—

—…and loses—

—…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

Belasitsa Petrich				Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.