Levski Chepinci — Velbazhd Kyustendil 2:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Bulgaria. Third League. South-West

Season

2020/2021

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Marek Dupnitsa	34	25	7	2	84:24	+60	82	WWWWD
2	Kyustendil	34	26	4	4	63:14	+49	79	WWWWW
3	Belasitsa Petrich	34	23	9	2	68:27	+41	78	WDWWW
4	Vihren Sandanski	34	23	6	5	63:25	+38	75	LDWWW
5	Oborishte	34	18	6	10	55:41	+14	60	WWWWW
6	Balkan Botevgrad	34	16	10	8	62:34	+28	58	WDLWD
7	Chavdar Etropole	34	15	6	13	62:46	+16	51	LLLWL
8	Botev 1921 Ihtiman	34	13	7	14	53:41	+12	46	WWWLL
9	Pirin Gotse Delchev	34	13	6	15	37:32	+5	45	LLLWL
10	Pirin Razlog	34	11	8	15	40:59	-19	41	WWLLD
11	Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi	34	10	6	18	40:56	-16	36	LDWWL
12	Slivnishki geroi	34	9	9	16	38:44	-6	36	WDLLD
13	Rilski Sportist	34	9	7	18	30:45	-15	34	LDLLD
14	Bansko	34	10	4	20	28:47	-19	34	LWWLW
15	Levski Chepinci	34	10	4	20	34:72	-38	34	WLWLD
16	Granit Vladaya	34	9	5	20	34:65	-31	32	LLLLW
17	Perun Kresna	34	6	4	24	25:77	-52	22	LLLLL
18	Velbazhd Kyustendil	34	4	4	26	16:83	-67	16	LLLLL

• Promotion - Second League
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Levski Chepinci and 0.9 for Velbazhd Kyustendil.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 1–1 (11%).
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.6, 2nd — 1.27.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	93%	1.07
Over 1.5	60%	90%	75%	1.33
Over 2.5	50%	60%	51%	1.97
Over 3.5	30%	20%	29%	3.50
Over 4.5	20%	0%	14%	7.29

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Levski Chepinci Velbazhd Kyustendil

• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Lost 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Lost 7 of 10 matches70%
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Levski Chepincimatches: 10 · 10Velbazhd Kyustendil

2.7Avg match total2.7

100%10/10Over 0.5100%10/10

0%0/10Under 0.50%0/10

60%6/10Over 1.590%9/10

40%4/10Under 1.510%1/10

50%5/10Over 2.560%6/10

50%5/10Under 2.540%4/10

30%3/10Over 3.520%2/10

70%7/10Under 3.580%8/10

20%2/10Over 4.50%0/10

80%8/10Under 4.5100%10/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Levski ChepinciVelbazhd Kyustendil

—Scores first—

—…and wins—

—…and draws—

—…and loses—

—…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

Levski Chepinci				Velbazhd Kyustendil
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.