Mirassol — EC Vitoria Salvador 1:2: match report and statistics

• 2 Yellow cards 4
• 8 Corners 0

Tournament

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Serie C

Season

2022

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Mirassol	19	10	3	6	32:20	+12	33	LLDLW
2	Paysandu	19	9	6	4	31:17	+14	33	LWWDL
3	Figueirense	19	8	9	2	27:18	+9	33	WDWDW
4	Volta Redonda	19	10	2	7	29:22	+7	32	WWLWW
5	Botafogo Ribeirao Preto	19	10	2	7	26:22	+4	32	WWWLL
6	ABC	19	8	7	4	22:16	+6	31	LWDWL
7	EC Vitoria Salvador	19	8	5	6	21:15	+6	29	WWDDW
8	Aparecidense	19	8	5	6	23:18	+5	29	WDLWW
9	Botafogo da Paraíba	19	7	8	4	17:13	+4	29	LDDDD
10	Ypiranga	19	7	7	5	25:20	+5	28	WWWLL
11	EC Sao Jose Porto Alegre	19	7	5	7	33:27	+6	26	WLLWL
12	Clube do Remo	19	7	5	7	25:22	+3	26	LDWDW
13	Manaus	19	6	7	6	16:21	-5	25	WLDLL
14	Confianca	19	6	5	8	12:17	-5	23	WLWLW
15	Floresta EC	19	6	5	8	17:25	-8	23	WDWLL
16	Altos	19	6	3	10	21:31	-10	21	LLLWL
17	Atletico Cearense	19	5	4	10	17:35	-18	19	LLWWL
18	Gremio Esportivo Brasil	19	4	5	10	19:29	-10	17	LWLLW
19	Ferroviario	19	5	1	13	15:27	-12	16	LLLDL
20	Campinense Clube	19	4	4	11	15:28	-13	16	LDLLW

• Promotion - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Serie C (Second stage)
• Relegation - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Serie D

• The model expects 1.1 goals: 0.8 for Mirassol and 0.3 for EC Vitoria Salvador.
• Most likely score is 0–0 (33%), followed by 1–0 (27%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.3, 2nd — 0.8.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	0%	67%	1.50
Over 1.5	80%	0%	30%	3.32
Over 2.5	40%	0%	10%	10.04
Over 3.5	0%	0%	3%	38.85
Over 4.5	0%	0%	1%	—

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (1). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Mirassol EC Vitoria Salvador

• Unbeaten in 5 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Won 5 of 6 matches after scoring first83%
• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• At least one team failed to score in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 6

Mirassolmatches: 5 · 1EC Vitoria Salvador

2.2Avg match total0.0

100%5/5Over 0.50%0/1

0%0/5Under 0.5100%1/1

80%4/5Over 1.50%0/1

20%1/5Under 1.5100%1/1

40%2/5Over 2.50%0/1

60%3/5Under 2.5100%1/1

0%0/5Over 3.50%0/1

100%5/5Under 3.5100%1/1

0%0/5Over 4.50%0/1

100%5/5Under 4.5100%1/1

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

MirassolEC Vitoria Salvador

60%3/5Scores first—

100%3/3…and wins—

0%0/3…and draws—

0%0/3…and loses—

33%1/3…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Mirassol opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Mirassol avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Mirassol				EC Vitoria Salvador
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	20%	1–15	0%	0	0
1	0	20%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	1	20%	31–45	0%	0	0
1	0	20%	46–60	0%	0	0
4	0	80%	61–75	0%	0	0
2	1	60%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	1	20%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Mirassol scores most in 61–75: 4 of 8 goals (50%).
• • Mirassol concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Mirassol scores 75% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.83 goals per match on average.