Chesterfield — Maidstone United 4:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

National League

Season

2022/2023

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Wrexham	46	34	9	3	116:43	+73	111	DWWDW
2	Notts County	46	32	11	3	117:42	+75	107	DWWLW
3	Chesterfield	46	25	9	12	81:52	+29	84	WLWWW
4	Woking	46	24	10	12	71:48	+23	82	WLWLD
5	Barnet	46	21	11	14	75:67	+8	74	LDWDD
6	Boreham Wood	46	19	15	12	52:40	+12	72	WLLWD
7	Bromley	46	18	17	11	68:53	+15	71	DWDWD
8	Southend United	46	20	9	17	57:45	+12	69	WWLWD
9	Eastleigh	46	19	10	17	56:57	-1	67	DDLLD
10	Dagenham & Redbridge	46	18	9	19	61:72	-11	63	WDDLL
11	Halifax Town	46	16	13	17	49:48	+1	61	DWDDW
12	Oldham Athletic	46	16	13	17	63:64	-1	61	DWWWW
13	Wealdstone	46	16	12	18	57:72	-15	60	LWDLL
14	Gateshead	46	15	15	16	67:62	+5	59	WWLDL
15	Solihull Moors	46	15	13	18	62:66	-4	58	LLDLD
16	Dorking Wanderers	46	16	9	21	67:91	-24	57	WDDWW
17	Altrincham	46	14	14	18	68:82	-14	56	DDDLL
18	Aldershot Town	46	14	11	21	64:76	-12	53	DDWWD
19	York City	46	13	12	21	55:63	-8	51	DDLLW
20	Maidenhead United	46	13	11	22	47:66	-19	50	LDLLD
21	Torquay United	46	12	12	22	58:80	-22	48	DDLWW
22	Yeovil Town	46	7	19	20	35:60	-25	40	LLLDL
23	Scunthorpe United	46	8	10	28	49:87	-38	34	LLLLL
24	Maidstone United	46	5	10	31	45:104	-59	25	LLLDL

• Promotion - Second League
• Promotion - National League (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - National League (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.74 goals: 1.8 for Chesterfield and 0.94 for Maidstone United.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 1–1 (11%).
• Corners: about 9.5 (7 — 2.5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.52, 2nd — 1.23.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	94%	1.07
Over 1.5	75%	80%	76%	1.32
Over 2.5	50%	50%	52%	1.94
Over 3.5	38%	20%	29%	3.39
Over 4.5	13%	10%	14%	6.99

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (8), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Chesterfield Maidstone United

• Winless in 10 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Lost 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 2.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Won 4 of 5 matches after scoring first80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Chesterfieldmatches: 8 · 10Maidstone United

2.88Avg match total2.6

100%8/8Over 0.5100%10/10

0%0/8Under 0.50%0/10

75%6/8Over 1.580%8/10

25%2/8Under 1.520%2/10

50%4/8Over 2.550%5/10

50%4/8Under 2.550%5/10

38%3/8Over 3.520%2/10

63%5/8Under 3.580%8/10

13%1/8Over 4.510%1/10

88%7/8Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

ChesterfieldMaidstone United

50%4/8Scores first20%2/10

75%3/4…and wins0%0/2

0%0/4…and draws50%1/2

25%1/4…and loses50%1/2

50%2/4…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Chesterfield opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Chesterfield avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.
• • Maidstone United opened the scoring in 20% of matches.
• • Maidstone United avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Chesterfield				Maidstone United
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	3	25%	1–15	40%	1	5
3	2	50%	16–30	40%	1	3
3	2	63%	31–45	40%	0	4
2	1	38%	46–60	10%	1	0
3	2	63%	61–75	30%	0	5
1	1	25%	76–90	60%	2	4
3	1	50%	37–HT	30%	0	3
1	0	13%	87–FT	20%	1	1

• • Chesterfield scores most in 16–30: 3 of 12 goals (25%).
• • Chesterfield concedes most in 1–15: 3 of 11 conceded.
• • Chesterfield scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Maidstone United scores most in 76–90: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Maidstone United concedes most in 1–15: 5 of 21 conceded.
• • Maidstone United scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

ChesterfieldMaidstone United

6.0Corners won, avg2.0

3.0Corners conceded, avg8.0

9.0Match corners, avg10.0

3.0Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 3 · 3.33 goals per match on average.