Bath City — Concord Rangers 4:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. National League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Ebbsfleet United	46	32	7	7	110:47	+63	103	WLWLW
2	Dartford	46	25	8	13	82:50	+32	83	DWLWL
3	Oxford City	46	21	15	10	83:56	+27	78	LDWWL
4	Worthing	46	22	12	12	92:72	+20	78	WWLWW
5	Chelmsford City	46	23	9	14	67:49	+18	78	LDWWL
6	St Albans City	46	22	9	15	72:51	+21	75	WLWWL
7	Braintree Town	46	20	14	12	66:55	+11	74	DWLWW
8	Eastbourne Borough	46	22	5	19	74:66	+8	71	WLWLW
9	Tonbridge Angels	46	20	10	16	68:69	-1	70	WWDLD
10	Havant & Waterlooville	46	19	12	15	80:70	+10	69	LWDDD
11	Bath City	46	19	10	17	64:57	+7	67	WWLWL
12	Farnborough	46	19	9	18	59:52	+7	66	LLWLL
13	Chippenham Town	46	15	17	14	57:66	-9	62	WDDWL
14	Taunton Town	46	17	10	19	50:55	-5	61	WLWLL
15	Hemel Hempstead Town	46	15	15	16	49:57	-8	60	LDLDD
16	Welling United	46	15	14	17	57:63	-6	58	WWWLW
17	Hampton & Richmond Borough	46	15	9	22	59:71	-12	54	DLLWL
18	Slough Town	46	13	12	21	58:78	-20	51	DLWLW
19	Weymouth	46	14	6	26	59:78	-19	48	WWWLW
20	Dover Athletic	46	12	12	22	42:68	-26	48	LLLLL
21	Dulwich Hamlet	46	13	9	24	61:89	-28	48	LDDWD
22	Concord Rangers	46	12	8	26	45:85	-40	44	LLDWW
23	Cheshunt	46	11	10	25	48:74	-26	43	LLWLL
24	Hungerford Town	46	10	10	26	48:72	-24	40	LLDWL

• Promotion - National League
• Promotion - England. National League South (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - England. National League South (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.92 goals: 2.59 for Bath City and 0.34 for Concord Rangers.
• Most likely score is 2–0 (18%), followed by 3–0 (16%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.09, 2nd — 1.84.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.06
Over 1.5	50%	100%	79%	1.27
Over 2.5	0%	100%	56%	1.79
Over 3.5	0%	33%	33%	2.99
Over 4.5	0%	33%	17%	5.83

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Bath City Concord Rangers

• 4 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• First-half goal in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• At least one team failed to score in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 5

Bath Citymatches: 2 · 3Concord Rangers

1.5Avg match total4.3

100%2/2Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/3

50%1/2Over 1.5100%3/3

50%1/2Under 1.50%0/3

0%0/2Over 2.5100%3/3

100%2/2Under 2.50%0/3

0%0/2Over 3.533%1/3

100%2/2Under 3.567%2/3

0%0/2Over 4.533%1/3

100%2/2Under 4.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Bath CityConcord Rangers

100%2/2Scores first0%0/3

100%2/2…and wins—

0%0/2…and draws—

0%0/2…and loses—

0%0/2…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Bath City opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Concord Rangers opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Concord Rangers avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Bath City				Concord Rangers
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	50%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	100%	0	3
0	0	0%	31–45	33%	0	2
1	0	50%	46–60	100%	1	4
1	0	50%	61–75	33%	0	1
0	0	0%	76–90	67%	1	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	33%	0	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Bath City scores most in 1–15: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • Concord Rangers scores most in 46–60: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Concord Rangers concedes most in 46–60: 4 of 11 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3 goals per match on average.