St. Pauli II — SV Atlas Delmenhorst 1:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

Regional League

Season

2022/2023

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	VfB Lubeck	36	23	7	6	74:29	+45	76	WWLLW
2	Hamburger II	36	22	9	5	78:45	+33	75	LDWDW
3	Hannover 96 II	36	21	4	11	81:54	+27	67	WWWWW
4	Teutonia 05 Ottensen	36	17	7	12	63:57	+6	58	LWLDL
5	ETSV Weiche	36	16	8	12	56:47	+9	56	WDDWL
6	Havelse	36	15	10	11	54:47	+7	52	LWWLW
7	St. Pauli II	36	15	6	15	58:68	-10	51	WWLWW
8	SV Drochtersen-Assel	36	14	8	14	55:44	+11	50	LDLLD
9	Blau-Weiss Lohne	36	15	4	17	65:63	+2	49	WLLWL
10	Eintracht Norderstedt 03	36	12	12	12	55:49	+6	48	LDLDW
11	SSV Jeddeloh	36	14	9	13	58:63	-5	48	WLDDW
12	Holstein II U23	36	12	11	13	61:57	+4	47	LDWWW
13	Phonix Lubeck	36	12	11	13	59:56	+3	47	WDWLL
14	Bremer SV	36	13	7	16	51:56	-5	46	WWWLW
15	Werder Bremen II	36	13	6	17	57:61	-4	45	LDLWL
16	BSV Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	36	10	11	15	44:56	-12	41	WDWLD
17	Borussia Hildesheim	36	9	12	15	53:64	-11	39	LLWWL
18	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	36	8	8	20	53:82	-29	32	LLDDL
19	Kickers Emden	36	3	6	27	26:103	-77	15	LLLDL

• Promotion - Liga 3
• Regionalliga North (Relegation (Play-off))
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.5 goals: 1.65 for St. Pauli II and 1.85 for SV Atlas Delmenhorst.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (9%), followed by 1–2 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 16 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.45, 2nd — 2.05.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	90%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	90%	90%	86%	1.16
Over 2.5	70%	60%	68%	1.47
Over 3.5	50%	60%	46%	2.16
Over 4.5	40%	20%	27%	3.64

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams St. Pauli II SV Atlas Delmenhorst

• Over 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

St. Pauli IImatches: 10 · 10SV Atlas Delmenhorst

3.6Avg match total3.4

90%9/10Over 0.5100%10/10

10%1/10Under 0.50%0/10

90%9/10Over 1.590%9/10

10%1/10Under 1.510%1/10

70%7/10Over 2.560%6/10

30%3/10Under 2.540%4/10

50%5/10Over 3.560%6/10

50%5/10Under 3.540%4/10

40%4/10Over 4.520%2/10

60%6/10Under 4.580%8/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

St. Pauli IISV Atlas Delmenhorst

44%4/9Scores first50%5/10

50%2/4…and wins40%2/5

0%0/4…and draws20%1/5

50%2/4…and loses40%2/5

75%3/4…and then concedes80%4/5

First to concede…

Overall

• • St. Pauli II opened the scoring in 44% of matches.
• • St. Pauli II avoided defeat after conceding first in 20% of such matches.
• • SV Atlas Delmenhorst opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • SV Atlas Delmenhorst avoided defeat after conceding first in 20% of such matches.

St. Pauli II				SV Atlas Delmenhorst
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	2	20%	1–15	30%	1	3
2	3	40%	16–30	50%	3	5
2	5	60%	31–45	20%	1	1
4	2	50%	46–60	60%	3	6
1	5	60%	61–75	30%	2	2
2	7	70%	76–90	50%	3	4
2	3	40%	37–HT	10%	0	1
0	2	20%	87–FT	20%	1	1

• • St. Pauli II scores most in 46–60: 4 of 12 goals (33%).
• • St. Pauli II concedes most in 76–90: 7 of 24 conceded.
• • St. Pauli II scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • SV Atlas Delmenhorst scores most in 16–30: 3 of 13 goals (23%).
• • SV Atlas Delmenhorst concedes most in 46–60: 6 of 21 conceded.
• • SV Atlas Delmenhorst scores 38% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.