Weston-super-Mare — Tiverton Town 2:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. Premier League

Season

2022/2023

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Weston-super-Mare	42	28	9	5	89:32	+57	93	DWWWD
2	Bracknell Town	42	28	6	8	100:53	+47	90	WWLWW
3	Truro City	42	27	8	7	88:41	+47	89	WWWWL
4	Poole Town	42	23	11	8	86:51	+35	80	WLWWW
5	Chesham United	42	23	10	9	88:57	+31	79	LWWWW
6	Swindon Supermarine	42	23	8	11	88:66	+22	77	WWWWL
7	Hayes & Yeading United	42	21	8	13	80:58	+22	71	WDWWL
8	Metropolitan Police	42	18	7	17	61:59	+2	61	LLLLL
9	Merthyr Town	42	18	6	18	73:64	+9	60	LLLWW
10	Plymouth Parkway	42	16	10	16	63:62	+1	58	LDWLD
11	Beaconsfield	42	15	12	15	75:73	+2	57	LDLLW
12	Tiverton Town	42	15	10	17	62:77	-15	55	LDLWD
13	Dorchester Town	42	16	6	20	57:79	-22	54	WWLLD
14	Hanwell Town	42	14	8	20	55:65	-10	50	WWDDL
15	Salisbury	42	14	7	21	55:71	-16	49	DLLLW
16	Winchester City	42	12	12	18	56:72	-16	48	WLLWW
17	Gosport Borough	42	14	5	23	58:78	-20	47	WWLWL
18	Hendon	42	9	11	22	55:81	-26	38	LLLLD
19	Harrow Borough	42	9	10	23	44:80	-36	37	WLWLL
20	North Leigh	42	9	7	26	50:86	-36	34	LDDLL
21	Yate Town	42	9	7	26	50:92	-42	34	LLWWL
22	Hartley Wintney	42	8	8	26	40:76	-36	32	LLLDW

• Promotion
• Promotion - England. Southern Premier League. South (Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.1 goals: 1.98 for Weston-super-Mare and 1.13 for Tiverton Town.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (10%), followed by 2–1 (10%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 9 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.45, 2nd — 1.65.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	90%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	50%	80%	82%	1.23
Over 2.5	50%	80%	60%	1.67
Over 3.5	50%	60%	38%	2.67
Over 4.5	0%	40%	20%	4.96

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Weston-super-Mare Tiverton Town

• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 5 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 matches89%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 2.5 in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Unbeaten in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Won 4 of 5 matches after scoring first80%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 10

Weston-super-Marematches: 4 · 10Tiverton Town

2.5Avg match total3.7

100%4/4Over 0.590%9/10

0%0/4Under 0.510%1/10

50%2/4Over 1.580%8/10

50%2/4Under 1.520%2/10

50%2/4Over 2.580%8/10

50%2/4Under 2.520%2/10

50%2/4Over 3.560%6/10

50%2/4Under 3.540%4/10

0%0/4Over 4.540%4/10

100%4/4Under 4.560%6/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Weston-super-MareTiverton Town

75%3/4Scores first44%4/9

67%2/3…and wins25%1/4

33%1/3…and draws75%3/4

0%0/3…and loses0%0/4

33%1/3…and then concedes75%3/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Weston-super-Mare opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Weston-super-Mare avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Tiverton Town opened the scoring in 44% of matches.
• • Tiverton Town avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Weston-super-Mare				Tiverton Town
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	25%	1–15	50%	4	2
0	0	0%	16–30	50%	0	7
2	1	50%	31–45	40%	3	3
0	0	0%	46–60	40%	1	5
3	1	75%	61–75	50%	2	3
1	1	25%	76–90	60%	5	2
1	1	50%	37–HT	40%	3	2
0	0	0%	87–FT	20%	2	0

• • Weston-super-Mare scores most in 61–75: 3 of 7 goals (43%).
• • Weston-super-Mare concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Weston-super-Mare scores 57% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Tiverton Town scores most in 76–90: 5 of 15 goals (33%).
• • Tiverton Town concedes most in 16–30: 7 of 22 conceded.
• • Tiverton Town scores 47% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.5 goals per match on average.