Uganda People's Defence Force — Blacks Power 3:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

Uganda. Premier League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Vipers	28	15	8	5	40:13	+27	53	WDWDL
2	Kampala Capital City Authority	28	15	8	5	44:23	+21	53	WDWDL
3	Villa	28	17	3	8	27:20	+7	52	LWWLW
4	Arua Hill	28	13	5	10	33:28	+5	44	WWLDW
5	Uganda Revenue Authority	28	10	12	6	36:23	+13	42	WWDDL
6	Maroons	28	10	11	7	28:29	-1	41	DLWDW
7	Bul	28	8	12	8	31:23	+8	36	DDLDD
8	Wakiso Giants	28	9	9	10	30:27	+3	36	LWDDD
9	Bright Stars	28	9	8	11	23:30	-7	35	LLLWW
10	Express	28	8	10	10	31:35	-4	34	LWLDL
11	Entebbe UPPC	28	7	10	11	22:29	-7	31	LDLDL
12	Busoga United	28	9	4	15	18:40	-22	28	LDWDL
13	Uganda People's Defence Force	28	6	9	13	24:40	-16	27	LDLDW
14	Blacks Power	28	6	8	14	21:41	-20	26	WLLWD
15	Onduparaka	28	5	9	14	24:38	-14	22	WWLDD

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
• Relegation

• The model expects 1.42 goals: 0.75 for Uganda People's Defence Force and 0.67 for Blacks Power.
• Most likely score is 0–0 (24%), followed by 1–0 (18%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 2 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.92, 2nd — 0.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	67%	76%	1.32
Over 1.5	50%	67%	41%	2.42
Over 2.5	0%	0%	17%	5.88
Over 3.5	0%	0%	6%	18.04
Over 4.5	0%	0%	1%	67.32

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Uganda People's Defence Force Blacks Power

• Under 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 4

Uganda People's Defence Forcematches: 2 · 3Blacks Power

1.5Avg match total1.33

100%2/2Over 0.567%2/3

0%0/2Under 0.533%1/3

50%1/2Over 1.567%2/3

50%1/2Under 1.533%1/3

0%0/2Over 2.50%0/3

100%2/2Under 2.5100%3/3

0%0/2Over 3.50%0/3

100%2/2Under 3.5100%3/3

0%0/2Over 4.50%0/3

100%2/2Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Uganda People's Defence ForceBlacks Power

0%0/2Scores first50%1/2

—…and wins0%0/1

—…and draws100%1/1

—…and loses0%0/1

—…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Uganda People's Defence Force opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Uganda People's Defence Force avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Blacks Power opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Blacks Power avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Uganda People's Defence Force				Blacks Power
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	50%	1–15	33%	0	1
0	0	0%	16–30	33%	1	0
0	0	0%	31–45	67%	0	2
0	1	50%	46–60	0%	0	0
1	0	50%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	33%	0	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Uganda People's Defence Force scores most in 61–75: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Uganda People's Defence Force concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Blacks Power scores most in 16–30: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Blacks Power concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 3 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.