Sao Paulo — Coritiba 2:1: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 1.32 Expected goals (xG) 0.74
• 62% Possession 38%
• 14 Goal attempts 7
• 6 Shots on target 2
• 5 Shots off target 2
• 4 Shots blocked 3
• 4 Corners 3
• 1 Saves 6
• 12 Free kicks 13
• 2 Offsides 0
• 12 Fouls 12
• 2 Yellow cards 3
• 34 Throw-ins 23
• 87 (524/602)Passes(259/337) 77
• 0 Posts and crossbars 0
• 5 Goal kicks 8

1. 90:00 +5:04The referee blows his whistle for the final time to end this match.
2. 90:00 +4:13Coritiba can’t profit from the corner as the defence clear the ball upfield.
3. 90:00 +2:21Alisson (Sao Paulo) decides to speed play up with a short corner kick.
4. 90:00 +1:14A pass from Jonathan Calleri (Sao Paulo) is intercepted by Gabriel and the move breaks down.
5. 90:005 additional min. will be played.
6. 85:48The current number of shots on goal is 7:2.
7. 82:34Henrique (Coritiba) is punished with the yellow card.
8. 82:29Jonathan Calleri (Sao Paulo) earns the yellow card.
9. 80:48Eduardo Nascimento da Silva Junior (Coritiba) goes for goal but he blazes his shot well over the top. The ball is off of the pitch and it's a goal kick for Sao Paulo.
10. 80:20Kaio Cesar (Coritiba) goes down in the box after a challenge from the defender. Possibly unsighted, the referee just waves play on.
11. 79:03Mauricio (Coritiba) creates a yard of space for himself and tries an effort from the edge of the box, but it goes just wide of the left post. The ball goes out of play and Sao Paulo will have a goal kick.
12. 77:31Substitution. Natanael (Coritiba) in, Hayner out.
13. 77:25The referee stops play so that a substitution can be made and Islam Slimani leaves the pitch and Eduardo Nascimento da Silva Junior (Coritiba) comes on.
14. 74:00That will be all from Sebastian Gomez Londono who is being replaced by the fresh legs of Kaio Cesar (Coritiba).
15. 73:18Dorival Silvestre Junior has decided to introduce fresh legs, with Pablo Maia (Sao Paulo) replacing Gabriel Neves.

Sao PauloCoritiba

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A

Season

2023

Attendance

31,720

Referee

Savio Pereira Sampaio

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras	38	20	10	8	64:33	+31	70	DWWDW
2	Gremio Porto Alegrense	38	21	5	12	63:56	+7	68	WWWLL
3	Clube Atletico Mineiro	38	19	9	10	52:32	+20	66	LWWWW
4	Flamengo	38	19	9	10	56:42	+14	66	LWLWW
5	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas	38	18	10	10	58:37	+21	64	LDDDD
6	Red Bull Bragantino	38	17	11	10	49:35	+14	62	LWLLL
7	Fluminense	38	16	8	14	51:47	+4	56	LLWWW
8	Clube Atletico Paranaense	38	14	14	10	51:43	+8	56	LWDDD
9	Sport Club Internacional	38	15	10	13	46:45	+1	55	WWWWL
10	Fortaleza EC	38	15	9	14	45:44	+1	54	WWWDD
11	Sao Paulo	38	14	11	13	40:38	+2	53	WLWDL
12	Cuiaba	38	14	9	15	40:39	+1	51	WLLDW
13	Corinthians Paulista	38	12	14	12	47:48	-1	50	WLWLW
14	Cruzeiro Esporte Clube	38	11	14	13	35:32	+3	47	DDDWD
15	CR Vasco da Gama	38	12	9	17	41:51	-10	45	WLLDD
16	Bahia	38	12	8	18	50:53	-3	44	WLLWD
17	Santos	38	11	10	17	39:64	-25	43	LLLDD
18	Goias Esporte Clube	38	9	11	18	36:53	-17	38	WLLLL
19	Coritiba	38	8	6	24	41:73	-32	30	LLDLW
20	America Minas Gerais	38	5	9	24	42:81	-39	24	LWLLL

• Promotion - Copa Libertadores - (Group stage)
• Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
• Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group stage)
• Relegation - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B

• The model expects 3.09 goals: 1.98 for Sao Paulo and 1.11 for Coritiba.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (10%), followed by 2–1 (10%).
• Corners: about 11.3 (7.2 — 4.1).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 14 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.39, 2nd — 1.7.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	80%	89%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	70%	89%	81%	1.23
Over 2.5	50%	78%	60%	1.68
Over 3.5	20%	67%	37%	2.69
Over 4.5	20%	33%	20%	5.02

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (9). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Sao Paulo Coritiba

• Winless in 8 matches100%
• 5 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 5 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Sao Paulomatches: 10 · 9Coritiba

2.5Avg match total3.7

80%8/10Over 0.589%8/9

20%2/10Under 0.511%1/9

70%7/10Over 1.589%8/9

30%3/10Under 1.511%1/9

50%5/10Over 2.578%7/9

50%5/10Under 2.522%2/9

20%2/10Over 3.567%6/9

80%8/10Under 3.533%3/9

20%2/10Over 4.533%3/9

80%8/10Under 4.567%6/9

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Sao PauloCoritiba

38%3/8Scores first38%3/8

100%3/3…and wins33%1/3

0%0/3…and draws0%0/3

0%0/3…and loses67%2/3

67%2/3…and then concedes100%3/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Sao Paulo opened the scoring in 38% of matches.
• • Sao Paulo avoided defeat after conceding first in 40% of such matches.
• • Coritiba opened the scoring in 38% of matches.
• • Coritiba avoided defeat after conceding first in 20% of such matches.

Sao Paulo				Coritiba
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	3	30%	1–15	22%	1	2
3	2	50%	16–30	44%	3	1
2	1	20%	31–45	56%	2	6
2	1	30%	46–60	67%	1	7
0	1	10%	61–75	67%	2	4
7	3	60%	76–90	33%	1	3
2	1	20%	37–HT	44%	2	4
5	1	40%	87–FT	11%	0	2

• • Sao Paulo scores most in 76–90: 7 of 14 goals (50%).
• • Sao Paulo concedes most in 1–15: 3 of 11 conceded.
• • Sao Paulo scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Coritiba scores most in 16–30: 3 of 10 goals (30%).
• • Coritiba concedes most in 46–60: 7 of 23 conceded.
• • Coritiba scores 30% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Sao PauloCoritiba

7.9Corners won, avg4.4

3.8Corners conceded, avg6.5

11.7Match corners, avg10.9

3.7Corners in 1st half, avg1.63

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Sao Paulo				Coritiba
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	100%	1–10	—	—	—
1	0	100%	11–20	—	—	—
0	0	0%	21–30	—	—	—
0	0	0%	31–40	—	—	—
4	0	100%	41–HT	—	—	—
1	0	100%	46–55	—	—	—
0	0	0%	56–65	—	—	—
0	0	0%	66–75	—	—	—
1	0	100%	76–85	—	—	—
1	0	100%	86–FT	—	—	—
4	0	100%	37–HT	—	—	—
1	0	100%	87–FT	—	—	—

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Sao Pauloper matchCoritiba

1.55xG for0.97

0.83xG against1.88

12.3Shots15.5

14.0Shots against14.5

6.1Shots on target4.8

3.3On target against6.3

11%Conversion7%

8.8Shots per goal14.0

15.4Fouls15.6

2.67Offsides1.75

• • Sao Paulo scores 0.15 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Sao Paulo concedes 0.27 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Coritiba scores 0.14 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Coritiba concedes 0.68 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.5 goals per match on average.

Based on text commentary events (attacks, shots, corners, goals), not tracking data. Up — home team, down — away team.