Orenburg — Krylia Sovetov 2:1: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 44% Possession 56%
• 15 Total shots 16
• 5 Shots on target 6
• 4 Corners 13
• 1 Yellow cards 2
• 7 Shots off target 6
• 3 Shots blocked 4
• 6 Offsides 1
• 12 Free kicks 15
• 14 Throw-ins 21
• 9 Fouls 11
• 5 Saves 3
• 0 Posts and crossbars 0
• 10 Goal kicks 10
• 17 Goal attempts 16

1. 90:00 +5:57Second half ends
2. 90:00 +5:00Jimmy Marín is caught offside
3. 90:00 +2:58Aleksandr Soldatenkov misses attempt (18-yard box, Head, From corner)
4. 90:00 +2:34Nikolay Rasskazov wins a corner (To the right)
5. 90:00 +1:17Stepan Oganesyan blocks a shot
6. 90:00 +1:17Yuri Gorshkov has shot blocked (Out of box, Left footed, Open play)
7. 90:38Danila Prokhin misses attempt (High, 6-yard box, Head, From corner)
8. 90:00Lucas Vera wins a corner (To the left)
9. 88:57Nikolay Rasskazov recieves a yellow card
10. 87:25Pavel Popov is substituted on
11. 87:25Amar Rahmanovic is substituted off
12. 86:59Benjamín Garré wins a corner (To the right)
13. 86:40Nikolay Rasskazov wins a corner (To the right)
14. 84:46Fernando Costanza misses attempt (To the right, 6-yard box, Head, From corner)
15. 84:23Vladimir Pisarskiy wins a corner (To the left)

OrenburgKrylia Sovetov

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

Premier League

Season

2023/2024

Attendance

4,229

Referee

Yevgeni Kukulyak

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Zenit Saint Petersburg	30	17	6	7	52:27	+25	57	WWLDL
2	Krasnodar	30	16	8	6	45:29	+16	56	WWLLD
3	Dynamo Moscow	30	16	8	6	53:39	+14	56	LWWWW
4	Lokomotiv Moscow	30	14	11	5	52:38	+14	53	WWWWL
5	Spartak Moscow	30	14	8	8	41:32	+9	50	DWWDW
6	CSKA Moscow	30	12	12	6	56:40	+16	48	WWWDL
7	Rostov	30	12	7	11	43:46	-3	43	LWLLW
8	Rubin Kazan	30	11	9	10	31:38	-7	42	DLWDD
9	Krylia Sovetov	30	11	8	11	46:44	+2	41	DLLLD
10	Akhmat	30	10	5	15	33:45	-12	35	LLWWW
11	Fakel Voronezh	30	7	11	12	22:31	-9	32	WLDDD
12	Orenburg	30	7	10	13	34:41	-7	31	DDLWL
13	Nizhny Novgorod	30	8	6	16	29:51	-22	30	DLLDL
14	Ural	30	7	9	14	30:46	-16	30	LDDWD
15	Baltika Kaliningrad	30	7	5	18	33:42	-9	26	LLLLW
16	Sochi	30	5	9	16	37:48	-11	24	DLWLD

• Premier League (Relegation. Play-offs)
• Relegation - FNL Cup

• The model expects 2.59 goals: 1.78 for Orenburg and 0.81 for Krylia Sovetov.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (13%), followed by 2–0 (12%).
• Corners: about 11.4 (7.6 — 3.9).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 13 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.45, 2nd — 2.14.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	92%	1.08
Over 1.5	100%	89%	73%	1.37
Over 2.5	50%	56%	48%	2.09
Over 3.5	0%	22%	26%	3.84
Over 4.5	0%	0%	12%	8.30

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (9). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Orenburg Krylia Sovetov

• Winless in 7 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Won 4 of 5 matches after scoring first80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 10

Orenburgmatches: 2 · 9Krylia Sovetov

2.5Avg match total2.67

100%2/2Over 0.5100%9/9

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/9

100%2/2Over 1.589%8/9

0%0/2Under 1.511%1/9

50%1/2Over 2.556%5/9

50%1/2Under 2.544%4/9

0%0/2Over 3.522%2/9

100%2/2Under 3.578%7/9

0%0/2Over 4.50%0/9

100%2/2Under 4.5100%9/9

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

OrenburgKrylia Sovetov

100%2/2Scores first44%4/9

50%1/2…and wins75%3/4

50%1/2…and draws25%1/4

0%0/2…and loses0%0/4

50%1/2…and then concedes50%2/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Orenburg opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Krylia Sovetov opened the scoring in 44% of matches.
• • Krylia Sovetov avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Orenburg				Krylia Sovetov
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	22%	1	1
0	0	0%	16–30	44%	2	2
0	0	0%	31–45	22%	0	2
3	0	100%	46–60	11%	0	1
0	1	50%	61–75	33%	1	2
1	0	50%	76–90	89%	6	6
0	0	0%	37–HT	11%	0	1
1	0	50%	87–FT	44%	3	3

• • Orenburg scores most in 46–60: 3 of 4 goals (75%).
• • Orenburg concedes most in 61–75: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Orenburg scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Krylia Sovetov scores most in 76–90: 6 of 10 goals (60%).
• • Krylia Sovetov concedes most in 76–90: 6 of 14 conceded.
• • Krylia Sovetov scores 70% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

OrenburgKrylia Sovetov

11.0Corners won, avg4.2

3.5Corners conceded, avg4.1

14.5Match corners, avg8.3

2.5Corners in 1st half, avg1.67

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.33 goals per match on average.