Buchholz 08 — Victoria Hamburg 2:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Germany. Oberliga

Season

2023/2024

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Altonaer von 1893	34	25	7	2	91:29	+62	82	WWWDW
2	TuS Dassendorf	34	24	5	5	96:36	+60	77	WWWLL
3	ETSV Hamburg	34	18	9	7	74:43	+31	63	WLWDD
4	Niendorfer TSV	34	18	8	8	86:51	+35	62	DWWWL
5	Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC	34	16	11	7	75:52	+23	59	DDLDW
6	Sasel	34	16	8	10	76:54	+22	56	WDWWW
7	Paloma	34	14	8	12	58:56	+2	50	DLDLW
8	Victoria Hamburg	34	14	7	13	79:67	+12	49	WDWDD
9	Suderelbe	34	13	9	12	85:61	+24	48	LWLWD
10	Buchholz 08	34	13	7	14	65:65	0	46	LWDWL
11	TuRa Harksheide	34	12	10	12	61:63	-2	46	DLDWL
12	Halstenbek-Rellingen	34	11	9	14	70:70	0	42	LLLLW
13	Concordia Hamburg	34	11	6	17	71:91	-20	39	DLWLD
14	Alsterbruder	34	10	4	20	70:91	-21	34	LLLLL
15	Turkiye Wilhelmsburg	34	9	5	20	57:82	-25	32	WWDWW
16	Rugenbergen	34	9	3	22	46:84	-38	30	DDLWL
17	Union Tornesch	34	6	6	22	43:106	-63	24	LWLLD
18	Duneberg	34	5	2	27	39:141	-102	17	LLLLD

• Promotion - Oberliga (Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 4.5 goals: 2.5 for Buchholz 08 and 2 for Victoria Hamburg.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (7%), followed by 2–2 (7%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 2 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.5, 2nd — 3.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	99%	1.01
Over 1.5	100%	100%	94%	1.07
Over 2.5	100%	100%	83%	1.21
Over 3.5	100%	0%	66%	1.52
Over 4.5	100%	0%	47%	2.14

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (1), away team away (1). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Buchholz 08 Victoria Hamburg

• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%

Based on recent matches: home team — 3, away team — 3

Buchholz 08matches: 1 · 1Victoria Hamburg

6.0Avg match total3.0

100%1/1Over 0.5100%1/1

0%0/1Under 0.50%0/1

100%1/1Over 1.5100%1/1

0%0/1Under 1.50%0/1

100%1/1Over 2.5100%1/1

0%0/1Under 2.50%0/1

100%1/1Over 3.50%0/1

0%0/1Under 3.5100%1/1

100%1/1Over 4.50%0/1

0%0/1Under 4.5100%1/1

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Buchholz 08Victoria Hamburg

0%0/1Scores first100%1/1

—…and wins100%1/1

—…and draws0%0/1

—…and loses0%0/1

—…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Buchholz 08 opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Buchholz 08 avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Victoria Hamburg opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Buchholz 08				Victoria Hamburg
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	1	100%	16–30	100%	1	0
1	0	100%	31–45	0%	0	0
2	0	100%	46–60	0%	0	0
1	0	100%	61–75	100%	1	0
0	1	100%	76–90	100%	0	1
1	0	100%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	1	100%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Buchholz 08 scores most in 46–60: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Buchholz 08 concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Buchholz 08 scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Victoria Hamburg scores most in 16–30: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Victoria Hamburg concedes most in 76–90: 1 of 1 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.83 goals per match on average.