Victoria Hamburg — Buchholz 08 0:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Germany. Oberliga

Season

2023/2024

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Altonaer von 1893	34	25	7	2	91:29	+62	82	WWWDW
2	TuS Dassendorf	34	24	5	5	96:36	+60	77	WWWLL
3	ETSV Hamburg	34	18	9	7	74:43	+31	63	WLWDD
4	Niendorfer TSV	34	18	8	8	86:51	+35	62	DWWWL
5	Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC	34	16	11	7	75:52	+23	59	DDLDW
6	Sasel	34	16	8	10	76:54	+22	56	WDWWW
7	Paloma	34	14	8	12	58:56	+2	50	DLDLW
8	Victoria Hamburg	34	14	7	13	79:67	+12	49	WDWDD
9	Suderelbe	34	13	9	12	85:61	+24	48	LWLWD
10	Buchholz 08	34	13	7	14	65:65	0	46	LWDWL
11	TuRa Harksheide	34	12	10	12	61:63	-2	46	DLDWL
12	Halstenbek-Rellingen	34	11	9	14	70:70	0	42	LLLLW
13	Concordia Hamburg	34	11	6	17	71:91	-20	39	DLWLD
14	Alsterbruder	34	10	4	20	70:91	-21	34	LLLLL
15	Turkiye Wilhelmsburg	34	9	5	20	57:82	-25	32	WWDWW
16	Rugenbergen	34	9	3	22	46:84	-38	30	DDLWL
17	Union Tornesch	34	6	6	22	43:106	-63	24	LWLLD
18	Duneberg	34	5	2	27	39:141	-102	17	LLLLD

• Promotion - Oberliga (Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 4.31 goals: 2.63 for Victoria Hamburg and 1.68 for Buchholz 08.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (8%), followed by 3–1 (7%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 17 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.98, 2nd — 2.33.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	99%	1.01
Over 1.5	100%	86%	93%	1.08
Over 2.5	90%	57%	80%	1.24
Over 3.5	80%	57%	62%	1.60
Over 4.5	50%	29%	43%	2.32

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Victoria Hamburg Buchholz 08

• Winless in 5 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Both teams scored in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Won 4 of 5 matches after scoring first80%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Victoria Hamburgmatches: 10 · 7Buchholz 08

4.9Avg match total3.7

100%10/10Over 0.5100%7/7

0%0/10Under 0.50%0/7

100%10/10Over 1.586%6/7

0%0/10Under 1.514%1/7

90%9/10Over 2.557%4/7

10%1/10Under 2.543%3/7

80%8/10Over 3.557%4/7

20%2/10Under 3.543%3/7

50%5/10Over 4.529%2/7

50%5/10Under 4.571%5/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Victoria HamburgBuchholz 08

80%8/10Scores first57%4/7

75%6/8…and wins50%2/4

25%2/8…and draws25%1/4

0%0/8…and loses25%1/4

88%7/8…and then concedes100%4/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Victoria Hamburg opened the scoring in 80% of matches.
• • Victoria Hamburg avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Buchholz 08 opened the scoring in 57% of matches.
• • Buchholz 08 avoided defeat after conceding first in 67% of such matches.

Victoria Hamburg				Buchholz 08
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
7	0	60%	1–15	43%	3	0
3	4	40%	16–30	29%	1	3
4	3	50%	31–45	71%	2	4
5	4	60%	46–60	43%	4	2
6	1	60%	61–75	29%	0	2
9	3	80%	76–90	43%	3	2
1	3	30%	37–HT	29%	1	1
5	1	50%	87–FT	29%	2	0

• • Victoria Hamburg scores most in 76–90: 9 of 34 goals (26%).
• • Victoria Hamburg concedes most in 16–30: 4 of 15 conceded.
• • Victoria Hamburg scores 44% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Buchholz 08 scores most in 46–60: 4 of 13 goals (31%).
• • Buchholz 08 concedes most in 31–45: 4 of 13 conceded.
• • Buchholz 08 scores 23% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.67 goals per match on average.