Farnborough — Weston-super-Mare: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

England. National League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Yeovil Town	46	29	8	9	81:45	+36	95	WWWLL
2	Chelmsford City	46	24	12	10	76:43	+33	84	DWDLW
3	Worthing	46	26	6	14	104:72	+32	84	WWWWW
4	Maidstone United	46	24	11	11	72:52	+20	83	WLWWW
5	Braintree Town	46	23	12	11	64:42	+22	81	LWDWW
6	Bath City	46	20	13	13	69:51	+18	73	LWWDW
7	Aveley	46	21	10	15	68:61	+7	73	WWDLW
8	Farnborough	46	20	12	14	76:67	+9	72	WLWLW
9	Hampton & Richmond Borough	46	20	12	14	61:57	+4	72	LLWLD
10	Slough Town	46	18	14	14	81:69	+12	68	DWWDD
11	St Albans City	46	20	8	18	77:67	+10	68	DWLLD
12	Chippenham Town	46	16	14	16	62:62	0	62	DLLLW
13	Weston-super-Mare	46	17	8	21	66:74	-8	59	LWDLW
14	Tonbridge Angels	46	15	13	18	65:66	-1	58	DLDLD
15	Weymouth	46	13	17	16	57:64	-7	56	LDDLL
16	Truro City	46	15	10	21	58:67	-9	55	LDWWL
17	Welling United	46	12	18	16	56:71	-15	54	DDDWD
18	Torquay United	46	19	7	20	73:76	-3	53	WWLWL
19	Eastbourne Borough	46	14	10	22	53:74	-21	52	WDWDW
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	46	13	11	22	55:71	-16	50	DLDWL
21	Dartford	46	12	10	24	56:75	-19	46	WLLWL
22	Taunton Town	46	10	16	20	44:71	-27	46	DLLWL
23	Havant & Waterlooville	46	10	7	29	52:92	-40	37	LLDLW
24	Dover Athletic	46	4	15	27	40:77	-37	27	LLLDW

• Promotion - National League
• Promotion - England. National League South (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - England. National League South (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.5 goals: 1.75 for Farnborough and 1.75 for Weston-super-Mare.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (9%), followed by 1–2 (8%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 7 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.25, 2nd — 2.25.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	100%	75%	86%	1.16
Over 2.5	75%	50%	68%	1.47
Over 3.5	25%	25%	46%	2.16
Over 4.5	25%	25%	27%	3.64

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Farnborough Weston-super-Mare

• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• First-half goal in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 matches71%
• Scored over 1.5 in 5 of 7 matches71%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 10

Farnboroughmatches: 4 · 4Weston-super-Mare

3.5Avg match total3.5

100%4/4Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/4

100%4/4Over 1.575%3/4

0%0/4Under 1.525%1/4

75%3/4Over 2.550%2/4

25%1/4Under 2.550%2/4

25%1/4Over 3.525%1/4

75%3/4Under 3.575%3/4

25%1/4Over 4.525%1/4

75%3/4Under 4.575%3/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

FarnboroughWeston-super-Mare

75%3/4Scores first50%2/4

67%2/3…and wins100%2/2

33%1/3…and draws0%0/2

0%0/3…and loses0%0/2

67%2/3…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Farnborough opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Farnborough avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Weston-super-Mare opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Weston-super-Mare avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Farnborough				Weston-super-Mare
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	50%	1	1
2	0	50%	16–30	50%	1	1
1	2	75%	31–45	25%	1	0
3	1	50%	46–60	50%	2	1
1	1	50%	61–75	75%	2	2
1	2	50%	76–90	25%	1	1
0	2	50%	37–HT	25%	1	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	25%	0	1

• • Farnborough scores most in 46–60: 3 of 8 goals (38%).
• • Farnborough concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Farnborough scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Weston-super-Mare scores most in 46–60: 2 of 8 goals (25%).
• • Weston-super-Mare concedes most in 61–75: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Weston-super-Mare scores 38% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 4.33 goals per match on average.