Heart of Midlothian II — Celtic II 2:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Scotland. Highland League

Season

2023/2024

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	East Kilbride	34	26	3	5	96:43	+53	81	WLWWW
2	Heart of Midlothian II	34	21	6	7	92:43	+49	69	LWWWW
3	Bo'ness United	34	21	4	9	72:50	+22	67	WDLWW
4	Cumbernauld Colts	34	19	8	7	70:43	+27	65	WWWLL
5	Tranent	34	18	6	10	69:42	+27	60	WLLDW
6	Celtic II	34	18	5	11	80:47	+33	59	LWLWW
7	Civil Service Strollers	34	17	5	12	51:48	+3	56	WWWWW
8	Linlithgow Rose	34	14	8	12	63:43	+20	50	LWWLL
9	Albion Rovers	34	12	10	12	43:36	+7	46	LLLDL
10	Cowdenbeath	34	12	10	12	55:56	-1	46	LWLWL
11	Stirling University	34	13	7	14	50:53	-3	46	LLLWL
12	Caledonian Braves	34	12	9	13	47:43	+4	45	WWWDL
13	Berwick Rangers	34	12	6	16	42:48	-6	42	WLLLW
14	East Stirlingshire	34	12	4	18	58:68	-10	40	WLWWL
15	Broomhill	34	11	6	17	56:59	-3	39	DWLDL
16	Gala Fairydean Rovers	34	9	5	20	45:87	-42	32	LDWLL
17	Gretna 2008	34	3	3	28	26:114	-88	12	WLLDL
18	Edinburgh University A.F.C.	34	2	3	29	40:132	-92	9	LLLLW

• Promotion - League 2 (Promotion - Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.48 goals: 2.65 for Heart of Midlothian II and 0.84 for Celtic II.
• Most likely score is 2–0 (11%), followed by 3–0 (10%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.88, 2nd — 1.93.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	100%	67%	86%	1.16
Over 2.5	86%	67%	68%	1.48
Over 3.5	57%	33%	46%	2.18
Over 4.5	43%	0%	27%	3.69

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (7), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Heart of Midlothian II Celtic II

• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 9 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Unbeaten in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 6

Heart of Midlothian IImatches: 7 · 3Celtic II

4.3Avg match total2.67

100%7/7Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/7Under 0.50%0/3

100%7/7Over 1.567%2/3

0%0/7Under 1.533%1/3

86%6/7Over 2.567%2/3

14%1/7Under 2.533%1/3

57%4/7Over 3.533%1/3

43%3/7Under 3.567%2/3

43%3/7Over 4.50%0/3

57%4/7Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Heart of Midlothian IICeltic II

100%2/2Scores first—

100%2/2…and wins—

0%0/2…and draws—

0%0/2…and loses—

0%0/2…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Heart of Midlothian II opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Heart of Midlothian II				Celtic II
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
4	0	29%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–45	0%	0	0
3	0	14%	46–60	0%	0	0
1	0	14%	61–75	0%	0	0
1	0	14%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Heart of Midlothian II scores most in 1–15: 4 of 9 goals (44%).
• • Heart of Midlothian II scores 22% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.