Bamber Bridge — Whitby Town 3:2: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. Premier League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Radcliffe	40	28	3	9	103:58	+45	87	LDWWW
2	Macclesfield Town	40	24	5	11	84:47	+37	77	LLWWW
3	Marine	40	23	7	10	87:44	+43	76	WWWWL
4	Rylands	40	21	12	7	65:42	+23	75	WLLWW
5	Worksop Town	40	21	7	12	72:49	+23	70	WWWLW
6	Hyde United	40	19	10	11	68:48	+20	67	WLWLL
7	Ashton United	40	19	10	11	73:63	+10	67	LLWLW
8	Gainsborough Trinity	40	19	6	15	66:63	+3	63	WDWWL
9	Lancaster City	40	18	8	14	60:62	-2	62	LWWWW
10	Guiseley	40	18	7	15	69:63	+6	61	LLWLL
11	Ilkeston	40	18	6	16	69:62	+7	60	LWWWW
12	Whitby Town	40	17	8	15	60:50	+10	56	WLWLL
13	Morpeth Town	40	14	8	18	76:81	-5	50	WLLWL
14	United of Manchester	40	15	4	21	55:77	-22	48	WLWLL
15	Matlock Town	40	14	5	21	62:77	-15	47	WWLLW
16	Bamber Bridge	40	12	11	17	63:82	-19	47	LWWLL
17	Workington	40	11	11	18	67:81	-14	44	WLLLL
18	Basford United	40	9	10	21	44:65	-21	37	WDLLW
19	Bradford Park Avenue	40	7	9	24	50:85	-35	30	LDWLD
20	Stafford Rangers	40	9	3	28	36:81	-45	30	LLLWL
21	Atherton Collieries	40	7	4	29	47:96	-49	25	LLLWL
22	Marske United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0	LWWWL

• Promotion - England. National League North
• Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.36 goals: 1.32 for Bamber Bridge and 2.05 for Whitby Town.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (10%), followed by 1–1 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 15 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.43, 2nd — 1.94.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	90%	97%	1.04
Over 1.5	100%	50%	85%	1.18
Over 2.5	89%	30%	65%	1.53
Over 3.5	67%	30%	43%	2.30
Over 4.5	33%	30%	25%	4.01

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (9), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Bamber Bridge Whitby Town

• 7 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 7 matches100%
• Over 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored over 0.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Bamber Bridgematches: 9 · 10Whitby Town

4.3Avg match total2.4

100%9/9Over 0.590%9/10

0%0/9Under 0.510%1/10

100%9/9Over 1.550%5/10

0%0/9Under 1.550%5/10

89%8/9Over 2.530%3/10

11%1/9Under 2.570%7/10

67%6/9Over 3.530%3/10

33%3/9Under 3.570%7/10

33%3/9Over 4.530%3/10

67%6/9Under 4.570%7/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Bamber BridgeWhitby Town

11%1/9Scores first44%4/9

0%0/1…and wins75%3/4

0%0/1…and draws0%0/4

100%1/1…and loses25%1/4

100%1/1…and then concedes75%3/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Bamber Bridge opened the scoring in 11% of matches.
• • Bamber Bridge avoided defeat after conceding first in 38% of such matches.
• • Whitby Town opened the scoring in 44% of matches.
• • Whitby Town avoided defeat after conceding first in 20% of such matches.

Bamber Bridge				Whitby Town
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	6	56%	1–15	30%	1	2
1	2	22%	16–30	30%	4	0
3	2	44%	31–45	50%	2	4
2	6	67%	46–60	30%	1	3
2	6	44%	61–75	10%	1	0
4	5	78%	76–90	50%	2	4
1	2	22%	37–HT	40%	2	2
3	5	78%	87–FT	40%	2	3

• • Bamber Bridge scores most in 76–90: 4 of 12 goals (33%).
• • Bamber Bridge concedes most in 1–15: 6 of 27 conceded.
• • Bamber Bridge scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Whitby Town scores most in 16–30: 4 of 11 goals (36%).
• • Whitby Town concedes most in 31–45: 4 of 13 conceded.
• • Whitby Town scores 27% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 3.25 goals per match on average.