Bermuda — Belize 1:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

CONCACAF Nations League

Season

2023/2024

Referee

David Gomez

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Guadeloupe	6	5	0	1	16:3	+13	15	WWWLW
2	Saint Lucia	6	3	1	2	10:6	+4	10	LDLWW
3	Sint Maarten	6	2	0	4	6:15	-9	6	WLWLL
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	6	1	1	4	4:12	-8	4	LDLWL

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Nicaragua	6	5	1	0	17:1	+16	16	DWWWW
2	Dominican Republic	6	3	1	2	14:6	+8	10	DLWWW
3	Montserrat	6	3	0	3	9:14	-5	9	WWLLL
4	Barbados	6	0	0	6	7:26	-19	0	LLLLL

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	French Guiana	6	3	1	2	10:6	+4	10	WLWWL
2	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	6	3	0	3	13:14	-1	9	WLLLW
3	Bermuda	6	2	2	2	8:9	-1	8	LWDWL
4	Belize	6	2	1	3	5:7	-2	7	LWDLW

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Guyana	5	5	0	0	20:5	+15	15	WWWWW
2	Puerto Rico	6	4	0	2	22:10	+12	12	WWLLW
3	Antigua And Barbuda	6	1	1	4	9:22	-13	4	LLDWL
4	Bahamas	5	0	1	4	7:21	-14	1	LDLLL

• Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
• Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)

• The model expects 2.25 goals: 1.5 for Bermuda and 0.75 for Belize.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (16%), followed by 1–1 (12%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1, 2nd — 1.25.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	50%	100%	89%	1.12
Over 1.5	50%	100%	66%	1.52
Over 2.5	50%	0%	39%	2.56
Over 3.5	50%	0%	19%	5.25
Over 4.5	50%	0%	8%	12.82

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Bermuda Belize

• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%

Based on recent matches: home team — 2, away team — 4

Bermudamatches: 2 · 2Belize

2.5Avg match total2.0

50%1/2Over 0.5100%2/2

50%1/2Under 0.50%0/2

50%1/2Over 1.5100%2/2

50%1/2Under 1.50%0/2

50%1/2Over 2.50%0/2

50%1/2Under 2.5100%2/2

50%1/2Over 3.50%0/2

50%1/2Under 3.5100%2/2

50%1/2Over 4.50%0/2

50%1/2Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

BermudaBelize

100%1/1Scores first50%1/2

100%1/1…and wins100%1/1

0%0/1…and draws0%0/1

0%0/1…and loses0%0/1

0%0/1…and then concedes0%0/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Bermuda opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Belize opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Belize avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Bermuda				Belize
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	50%	0	1
0	0	0%	16–30	50%	1	0
2	0	50%	31–45	0%	0	0
1	0	50%	46–60	0%	0	0
1	0	50%	61–75	50%	2	0
1	0	50%	76–90	0%	0	0
1	0	50%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Bermuda scores most in 31–45: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Bermuda scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Belize scores most in 61–75: 2 of 3 goals (67%).
• • Belize concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 1 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

BermudaBelize

1.0Corners won, avg—

8.0Corners conceded, avg—

9.0Match corners, avg—

0.0Corners in 1st half, avg—

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.