Eyupspor — Altay S.K. 4:1: match report and statistics

• 2.9 Expected goals (xG) 0.36
• 72% Possession 28%
• 15 Goal attempts 6
• 5 Shots on target 1
• 5 Shots off target 5
• 5 Shots blocked 0
• 9 Corners 0
• 0 Saves 1
• 16 Free kicks 15
• 2 Offsides 0
• 13 Fouls 16
• 0 Yellow cards 2
• 14 Throw-ins 17

Tournament

Turkey. TFF 1. Lig

Season

2023/2024

Referee

Ahmet Sen

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Eyupspor	34	24	3	7	77:31	+46	75	WLWDD
2	Goztepe	34	21	7	6	60:20	+40	70	DWWWD
3	Sakaryaspor	34	17	9	8	50:35	+15	60	WLWWD
4	Bodrum Belediyesi Bodrumspor	34	15	12	7	43:22	+21	57	DLDWD
5	Arca Corum	34	16	8	10	55:36	+19	56	LDLWW
6	Kocaelispor	34	16	7	11	48:41	+7	55	LLWLW
7	Boluspor	34	15	8	11	33:35	-2	53	WLWDW
8	Genclerbirligi	34	13	12	9	39:33	+6	51	DWLWL
9	Bandırmaspor	34	13	11	10	49:32	+17	50	LWLDD
10	BB Erzurumspor	34	12	11	11	30:34	-4	44	LLWLD
11	Umraniyespor	34	12	7	15	40:47	-7	43	WWLWL
12	Manisa	34	9	13	12	40:40	0	40	LWDWD
13	Keciorengucu	34	10	10	14	34:43	-9	40	DLWLW
14	Adanaspor	34	11	6	17	28:45	-17	39	WWDLD
15	Sanliurfaspor	34	9	11	14	32:37	-5	38	WDLLD
16	Beykoz Anadoluspor	34	9	11	14	35:47	-12	38	DWDDD
17	Altay S.K.	34	5	4	25	16:76	-60	10	DLLLL
18	Giresunspor	34	2	4	28	16:71	-55	7	LLLLL

• Promotion - Superleague
• Promotion - First League (Play-off: Final)
• Promotion - First League (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.67 goals: 2.32 for Eyupspor and 0.36 for Altay S.K..
• Most likely score is 2–0 (19%), followed by 1–0 (16%).
• Corners: about 8.8 (6 — 2.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 13 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.99, 2nd — 1.68.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	93%	1.07
Over 1.5	70%	89%	75%	1.34
Over 2.5	60%	44%	50%	2.00
Over 3.5	40%	11%	28%	3.58
Over 4.5	20%	0%	13%	7.54

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (9). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Eyupspor Altay S.K.

• 4 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• At least one team failed to score in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Failed to score in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 9.5 corners in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Lost 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Eyupspormatches: 10 · 9Altay S.K.

2.9Avg match total2.44

100%10/10Over 0.5100%9/9

0%0/10Under 0.50%0/9

70%7/10Over 1.589%8/9

30%3/10Under 1.511%1/9

60%6/10Over 2.544%4/9

40%4/10Under 2.556%5/9

40%4/10Over 3.511%1/9

60%6/10Under 3.589%8/9

20%2/10Over 4.50%0/9

80%8/10Under 4.5100%9/9

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

EyupsporAltay S.K.

60%6/10Scores first11%1/9

100%6/6…and wins100%1/1

0%0/6…and draws0%0/1

0%0/6…and loses0%0/1

17%1/6…and then concedes0%0/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Eyupspor opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Eyupspor avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Altay S.K. opened the scoring in 11% of matches.
• • Altay S.K. avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Eyupspor				Altay S.K.
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	30%	1–15	22%	1	1
5	0	50%	16–30	11%	0	1
3	1	40%	31–45	44%	0	4
1	2	30%	46–60	44%	0	4
8	0	70%	61–75	44%	0	5
4	2	50%	76–90	56%	0	6
2	1	30%	37–HT	33%	0	3
3	1	40%	87–FT	33%	0	3

• • Eyupspor scores most in 61–75: 8 of 23 goals (35%).
• • Eyupspor concedes most in 46–60: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Eyupspor scores 52% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Altay S.K. scores most in 1–15: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Altay S.K. concedes most in 76–90: 6 of 21 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

EyupsporAltay S.K.

6.4Corners won, avg2.67

2.9Corners conceded, avg5.6

9.3Match corners, avg8.2

3.3Corners in 1st half, avg0.89

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Eyupsporper matchAltay S.K.

1.76xG for0.5

0.63xG against2.13

16.0Shots—

9.0Shots against—

6.2Shots on target1.11

2.8On target against6.2

14%Conversion—

7.0Shots per goal—

11.6Fouls13.0

2.1Offsides2.22

• • Eyupspor scores 0.54 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Eyupspor concedes 0.03 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Altay S.K. scores 0.39 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Altay S.K. concedes 0.2 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.