USM Alger — Oran 2:0: match report and statistics

• 1 Yellow cards 2
• 1 Corners 0

Tournament

Algeria. Ligue 1

Season

2023/2024

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	MC Alger	30	19	8	3	55:20	+35	65	WLDDW
2	CR Belouizdad	30	15	8	7	37:20	+17	53	WLDWD
3	Constantine	30	15	8	7	46:30	+16	53	LWDDW
4	USM Alger	30	15	4	11	40:32	+8	49	WWLDL
5	ES Setif	30	14	6	10	37:37	0	48	WWLDL
6	Paradou AC	30	11	9	10	36:22	+14	42	WLLWL
7	JS Kabylie	30	10	12	8	33:27	+6	42	WDDDD
8	ASO Chlef	30	11	8	11	41:40	+1	41	WWDLW
9	JS Saoura	30	11	7	12	34:37	-3	40	LDWLW
10	USM Khenchela	30	11	6	13	33:39	-6	39	LDWWL
11	Magra	30	9	11	10	30:32	-2	38	LDWDW
12	El Bayadh	30	10	8	12	29:30	-1	38	WLWLD
13	Biskra	30	9	9	12	25:34	-9	36	LWLLL
14	Oran	30	9	9	12	26:33	-7	36	LWDWW
15	Ben Aknoun	30	8	8	14	32:37	-5	32	LLWWL
16	US Souf	30	2	1	27	22:86	-64	7	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
• Relegation - Ligue 2

• The model expects 1.5 goals: 1.34 for USM Alger and 0.17 for Oran.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (30%), followed by 0–0 (22%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.42, 2nd — 1.09.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	67%	100%	78%	1.29
Over 1.5	67%	0%	44%	2.26
Over 2.5	67%	0%	19%	5.23
Over 3.5	0%	0%	7%	15.23
Over 4.5	0%	0%	2%	53.83

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams USM Alger Oran

• Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 3

USM Algermatches: 3 · 2Oran

2.0Avg match total1.0

67%2/3Over 0.5100%2/2

33%1/3Under 0.50%0/2

67%2/3Over 1.50%0/2

33%1/3Under 1.5100%2/2

67%2/3Over 2.50%0/2

33%1/3Under 2.5100%2/2

0%0/3Over 3.50%0/2

100%3/3Under 3.5100%2/2

0%0/3Over 4.50%0/2

100%3/3Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

USM AlgerOran

50%1/2Scores first0%0/2

100%1/1…and wins—

0%0/1…and draws—

0%0/1…and loses—

0%0/1…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • USM Alger opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • USM Alger avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Oran opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Oran avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

USM Alger				Oran
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	50%	0	1
0	1	33%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	46–60	0%	0	0
2	0	33%	61–75	50%	0	1
3	0	67%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
3	0	67%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • USM Alger scores most in 76–90: 3 of 5 goals (60%).
• • USM Alger concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • USM Alger scores 100% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Oran concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1 goals per match on average.