USM Khenchela — Constantine 1:2: match report and statistics

Tournament

Algeria. Ligue 1

Season

2023/2024

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	MC Alger	30	19	8	3	55:20	+35	65	WLDDW
2	CR Belouizdad	30	15	8	7	37:20	+17	53	WLDWD
3	Constantine	30	15	8	7	46:30	+16	53	LWDDW
4	USM Alger	30	15	4	11	40:32	+8	49	WWLDL
5	ES Setif	30	14	6	10	37:37	0	48	WWLDL
6	Paradou AC	30	11	9	10	36:22	+14	42	WLLWL
7	JS Kabylie	30	10	12	8	33:27	+6	42	WDDDD
8	ASO Chlef	30	11	8	11	41:40	+1	41	WWDLW
9	JS Saoura	30	11	7	12	34:37	-3	40	LDWLW
10	USM Khenchela	30	11	6	13	33:39	-6	39	LDWWL
11	Magra	30	9	11	10	30:32	-2	38	LDWDW
12	El Bayadh	30	10	8	12	29:30	-1	38	WLWLD
13	Biskra	30	9	9	12	25:34	-9	36	LWLLL
14	Oran	30	9	9	12	26:33	-7	36	LWDWW
15	Ben Aknoun	30	8	8	14	32:37	-5	32	LLWWL
16	US Souf	30	2	1	27	22:86	-64	7	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
• Relegation - Ligue 2

• The model expects 1.8 goals: 1.55 for USM Khenchela and 0.25 for Constantine.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (26%), followed by 2–0 (20%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 7 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.65, 2nd — 1.15.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	80%	100%	83%	1.20
Over 1.5	50%	100%	54%	1.86
Over 2.5	30%	0%	27%	3.71
Over 3.5	0%	0%	11%	9.20
Over 4.5	0%	0%	4%	27.47

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (1). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams USM Khenchela Constantine

• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 2.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 2

USM Khenchelamatches: 10 · 1Constantine

1.6Avg match total2.0

80%8/10Over 0.5100%1/1

20%2/10Under 0.50%0/1

50%5/10Over 1.5100%1/1

50%5/10Under 1.50%0/1

30%3/10Over 2.50%0/1

70%7/10Under 2.5100%1/1

0%0/10Over 3.50%0/1

100%10/10Under 3.5100%1/1

0%0/10Over 4.50%0/1

100%10/10Under 4.5100%1/1

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

USM KhenchelaConstantine

88%7/8Scores first0%0/1

86%6/7…and wins—

0%0/7…and draws—

14%1/7…and loses—

43%3/7…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • USM Khenchela opened the scoring in 88% of matches.
• • USM Khenchela avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Constantine opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Constantine avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

USM Khenchela				Constantine
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	10%	1–15	0%	0	0
2	0	20%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–45	100%	0	1
2	2	30%	46–60	0%	0	0
2	1	30%	61–75	0%	0	0
4	2	60%	76–90	100%	0	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	100%	0	1
2	2	40%	87–FT	100%	0	1

• • USM Khenchela scores most in 76–90: 4 of 11 goals (36%).
• • USM Khenchela concedes most in 46–60: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • USM Khenchela scores 55% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Constantine concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

USM KhenchelaConstantine

7.0Corners won, avg—

2.25Corners conceded, avg—

9.3Match corners, avg—

3.3Corners in 1st half, avg—

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 5 · 3.2 goals per match on average.