Constantine — USM Alger 1:1: match report and statistics

• 2 Yellow cards 4
• 6 Corners 5

Tournament

Algeria. Ligue 1

Season

2023/2024

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	MC Alger	30	19	8	3	55:20	+35	65	WLDDW
2	CR Belouizdad	30	15	8	7	37:20	+17	53	WLDWD
3	Constantine	30	15	8	7	46:30	+16	53	LWDDW
4	USM Alger	30	15	4	11	40:32	+8	49	WWLDL
5	ES Setif	30	14	6	10	37:37	0	48	WWLDL
6	Paradou AC	30	11	9	10	36:22	+14	42	WLLWL
7	JS Kabylie	30	10	12	8	33:27	+6	42	WDDDD
8	ASO Chlef	30	11	8	11	41:40	+1	41	WWDLW
9	JS Saoura	30	11	7	12	34:37	-3	40	LDWLW
10	USM Khenchela	30	11	6	13	33:39	-6	39	LDWWL
11	Magra	30	9	11	10	30:32	-2	38	LDWDW
12	El Bayadh	30	10	8	12	29:30	-1	38	WLWLD
13	Biskra	30	9	9	12	25:34	-9	36	LWLLL
14	Oran	30	9	9	12	26:33	-7	36	LWDWW
15	Ben Aknoun	30	8	8	14	32:37	-5	32	LLWWL
16	US Souf	30	2	1	27	22:86	-64	7	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
• Relegation - Ligue 2

• The model expects 2.1 goals: 1.3 for Constantine and 0.8 for USM Alger.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (16%), followed by 1–1 (13%).
• Corners: about 10.2 (7 — 3.2).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.15, 2nd — 0.95.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	88%	1.14
Over 1.5	90%	40%	62%	1.61
Over 2.5	40%	30%	35%	2.85
Over 3.5	10%	10%	16%	6.20
Over 4.5	0%	0%	6%	16.10

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Constantine USM Alger

• Unbeaten in 9 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored first in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Won 4 of 5 matches after scoring first80%
• Won 6 of 8 matches after scoring first75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Constantinematches: 10 · 10USM Alger

2.4Avg match total1.8

100%10/10Over 0.5100%10/10

0%0/10Under 0.50%0/10

90%9/10Over 1.540%4/10

10%1/10Under 1.560%6/10

40%4/10Over 2.530%3/10

60%6/10Under 2.570%7/10

10%1/10Over 3.510%1/10

90%9/10Under 3.590%9/10

0%0/10Over 4.50%0/10

100%10/10Under 4.5100%10/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

ConstantineUSM Alger

60%6/10Scores first30%3/10

83%5/6…and wins100%3/3

17%1/6…and draws0%0/3

0%0/6…and loses0%0/3

50%3/6…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Constantine opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Constantine avoided defeat after conceding first in 75% of such matches.
• • USM Alger opened the scoring in 30% of matches.
• • USM Alger avoided defeat after conceding first in 29% of such matches.

Constantine				USM Alger
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	20%	1–15	20%	0	2
3	3	60%	16–30	50%	3	3
4	1	40%	31–45	20%	1	1
1	2	30%	46–60	30%	1	2
2	1	30%	61–75	10%	1	0
5	0	50%	76–90	30%	3	1
4	0	40%	37–HT	20%	1	1
3	0	30%	87–FT	20%	2	0

• • Constantine scores most in 76–90: 5 of 17 goals (29%).
• • Constantine concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 7 conceded.
• • Constantine scores 41% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • USM Alger scores most in 16–30: 3 of 9 goals (33%).
• • USM Alger concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 9 conceded.
• • USM Alger scores 44% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

ConstantineUSM Alger

10.0Corners won, avg5.3

1.0Corners conceded, avg4.0

11.0Match corners, avg9.3

6.0Corners in 1st half, avg3.7

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.17 goals per match on average.