Bahia — EC Vitoria Salvador 2:0: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 0.66 Expected goals (xG) 0.17
• 55% Possession 45%
• 7 Goal attempts 11
• 3 Shots on target 5
• 3 Shots off target 4
• 1 Shots blocked 2
• 3 Corners 7
• 5 Saves 1
• 15 Free kicks 11
• 2 Offsides 0
• 11 Fouls 13
• 3 Yellow cards 4
• 11 Throw-ins 20
• 87 (454/523)Passes(309/375) 82

1. 90:00 +9:46Second half ends
2. 90:00 +6:45GOAL! Luciano Juba scores, Assisted by Rafael Ratão (Low to the centre, 18-yard box, Big Chance, Right footed, Fast break)
3. 90:00 +4:44Rafael Ratão is substituted on
4. 90:00 +4:44Cauly is substituted off
5. 90:00 +2:24Zé Hugo wins a corner (To the right)
6. 90:00 +2:22Iago blocks a shot
7. 90:00 +2:21Zé Hugo has shot blocked (18-yard box, Right footed, Open play)
8. 90:00 +2:12Gabriel Xavier blocks a shot
9. 90:00 +2:12Pablo has shot blocked (Out of box, Left footed, Open play)
10. 90:00 +1:00Cauly is caught offside
11. 90:32Yago Felipe recieves a yellow card
12. 89:13Zé Hugo wins a corner (To the right)
13. 88:06Luciano Juba misses attempt (Out of box, Left footed, Free kick)
14. 86:05Willian Oliveira recieves a yellow card
15. 85:25Iago is substituted on

BahiaEC Vitoria Salvador

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A

Season

2024

Attendance

45,972

Referee

Braulio da Silva Machado

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas	38	23	10	5	59:29	+30	79	WWWDD
2	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras	38	22	7	9	60:33	+27	73	LWLWW
3	Flamengo	38	20	10	8	61:42	+19	70	DWWDW
4	Fortaleza EC	38	19	11	8	53:39	+14	68	WLLDD
5	Sport Club Internacional	38	18	11	9	53:36	+17	65	LLLWW
6	Sao Paulo	38	17	8	13	53:43	+10	59	LLLDD
7	Corinthians Paulista	38	15	11	12	54:45	+9	56	WWWWW
8	Bahia	38	15	8	15	49:49	0	53	WLWDL
9	Cruzeiro Esporte Clube	38	14	10	14	43:41	+2	52	WLDDL
10	CR Vasco da Gama	38	14	8	16	43:56	-13	50	WWDLL
11	EC Vitoria Salvador	38	13	8	17	45:52	-7	47	DDWDW
12	Clube Atletico Mineiro	38	11	14	13	47:54	-7	47	WLLDD
13	Fluminense	38	12	10	16	33:39	-6	46	WWDDD
14	Gremio Porto Alegrense	38	12	9	17	44:50	-6	45	LDWDD
15	Esporte Clube Juventude	38	11	12	15	48:59	-11	45	LWWDD
16	Red Bull Bragantino	38	10	14	14	44:48	-4	44	WWDLD
17	Clube Atletico Paranaense	38	11	9	18	40:46	-6	42	LLDDW
18	Criciuma	38	9	11	18	42:61	-19	38	LLLDL
19	Atletico Clube Goianiense	38	7	9	22	29:58	-29	30	LWDLL
20	Cuiaba	38	6	12	20	29:49	-20	30	LLLDL

• Promotion - Copa Libertadores - (Group stage)
• Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
• Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group stage)
• Relegation - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B

• The model expects 2.4 goals: 1.55 for Bahia and 0.85 for EC Vitoria Salvador.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (14%), followed by 1–1 (12%).
• Corners: about 10 (5.9 — 4.1).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 13 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1, 2nd — 1.4.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	90%	91%	1.10
Over 1.5	60%	80%	69%	1.45
Over 2.5	40%	50%	43%	2.32
Over 3.5	10%	30%	22%	4.52
Over 4.5	10%	10%	10%	10.43

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Bahia EC Vitoria Salvador

• Winless in 5 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 3.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 3.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 8.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 11.5 corners in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Bahiamatches: 10 · 10EC Vitoria Salvador

2.2Avg match total2.6

100%10/10Over 0.590%9/10

0%0/10Under 0.510%1/10

60%6/10Over 1.580%8/10

40%4/10Under 1.520%2/10

40%4/10Over 2.550%5/10

60%6/10Under 2.550%5/10

10%1/10Over 3.530%3/10

90%9/10Under 3.570%7/10

10%1/10Over 4.510%1/10

90%9/10Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

BahiaEC Vitoria Salvador

60%6/10Scores first33%3/9

83%5/6…and wins67%2/3

17%1/6…and draws0%0/3

0%0/6…and loses33%1/3

33%2/6…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Bahia opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Bahia avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador avoided defeat after conceding first in 17% of such matches.

Bahia				EC Vitoria Salvador
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	2	40%	1–15	0%	0	0
1	2	30%	16–30	30%	1	2
3	1	40%	31–45	40%	2	4
2	1	20%	46–60	40%	2	5
2	0	20%	61–75	30%	0	3
5	1	40%	76–90	60%	5	2
2	1	30%	37–HT	40%	2	3
2	1	20%	87–FT	50%	3	2

• • Bahia scores most in 76–90: 5 of 15 goals (33%).
• • Bahia concedes most in 1–15: 2 of 7 conceded.
• • Bahia scores 47% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador scores most in 76–90: 5 of 10 goals (50%).
• • EC Vitoria Salvador concedes most in 46–60: 5 of 16 conceded.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

BahiaEC Vitoria Salvador

5.3Corners won, avg4.5

3.6Corners conceded, avg6.5

8.9Match corners, avg11.0

2.7Corners in 1st half, avg1.2

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Bahia				EC Vitoria Salvador
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0.5	0	50%	1–10	—	—	—
1	0	50%	11–20	—	—	—
0	0	0%	21–30	—	—	—
0	0	0%	31–40	—	—	—
0.5	0	50%	41–HT	—	—	—
0.5	0	50%	46–55	—	—	—
0	0	0%	56–65	—	—	—
1.5	0	100%	66–75	—	—	—
1.5	0	100%	76–85	—	—	—
0	0	0%	86–FT	—	—	—
0.5	0	50%	37–HT	—	—	—
0	0	0%	87–FT	—	—	—

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Bahiaper matchEC Vitoria Salvador

1.0xG for0.83

0.29xG against1.04

13.0Shots10.7

10.2Shots against15.5

5.1Shots on target3.8

2.9On target against4.7

12%Conversion9%

8.7Shots per goal10.7

11.6Fouls12.8

2.2Offsides1.1

• • Bahia scores 0.5 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Bahia concedes 0.41 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador scores 0.17 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador concedes 0.56 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.5 goals per match on average.