Sao Paulo — EC Vitoria Salvador 2:1: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 0.68 Expected goals (xG) 0.89
• 57% Possession 43%
• 12 Goal attempts 10
• 3 Shots on target 4
• 4 Shots off target 4
• 3 Shots blocked 3
• 10 Free kicks 5
• 4 Corners 3
• 1 Offsides 0
• 26 Throw-ins 24
• 2 Saves 1
• 7 Fouls 8
• 0 Yellow cards 2
• 548 Total passes 376
• 489 Passes completed 308
• 94 Attacks 85
• 44 Dangerous attacks 40
• 0 Posts and crossbars 0

1. 90:00 +7:17The referee blows for the end of today's match.
2. 90:00 +5:44Vitoria couldn't find the way to score from a long-range free kick as Jandrei (Sao Paulo) leaped high and intercepted a cross.
3. 90:00 +5:08Nahuel Ferraresi (Sao Paulo) trips an opponent with a slide tackle. Wilton Sampaio stops the game and he could give him a card, but eventually decides on just a warning. Vitoria earn a free kick.
4. 90:00 +3:57Luis Francisco Zubeldia decides to make a substitution. William Gomes will be replaced by Welington (Sao Paulo).
5. 90:00 +2:28A corner kick by Vitoria is thwarted by the well prepared Jandrei (Sao Paulo).
6. 90:00The fourth official shows 7 min. of added time.
7. 87:33Alerrandro (Vitoria) commits an ugly challenge. The referee sees it and immediately blows his whistle.
8. 86:40The foul by Ze Hugo (Vitoria) is worthy of a card and a yellow is duly shown by Wilton Sampaio.
9. 85:22A yellow card for a tackle by Willian Oliveira (Vitoria). Wilton Sampaio doesn't hesitate at all to make this decision.
10. 84:10It looked like the long-range shot by Janderson (Vitoria) would end up in the net, but the effort went slightly over the bar. The goalkeeper was quite lucky this time. The ball goes out of play and Sao Paulo will have a goal kick.
11. 81:55Substitution. Filipe Machado did his best and is replaced by Janderson (Vitoria).
12. 80:55William Gomes (Sao Paulo) breaks into the box and goes over after a challenge from an opposition player, but the ref signals NO penalty!
13. 77:33Luis Francisco Zubeldia has decided to introduce fresh legs, with Henrique Carmo (Sao Paulo) replacing Erick.
14. 77:23That will be all from Luiz Gustavo who is being replaced by the fresh legs of Giuliano Galoppo (Sao Paulo).
15. 76:21None of the Vitoria players could reach the corner kick as the ball was overhit and goes out of play. The ball is off of the pitch and it's a goal kick for Sao Paulo.

Sao PauloEC Vitoria Salvador

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A

Season

2024

Attendance

32,712

Referee

Wilton Pereira Sampaio

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas	38	23	10	5	59:29	+30	79	WWWDD
2	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras	38	22	7	9	60:33	+27	73	LWLWW
3	Flamengo	38	20	10	8	61:42	+19	70	DWWDW
4	Fortaleza EC	38	19	11	8	53:39	+14	68	WLLDD
5	Sport Club Internacional	38	18	11	9	53:36	+17	65	LLLWW
6	Sao Paulo	38	17	8	13	53:43	+10	59	LLLDD
7	Corinthians Paulista	38	15	11	12	54:45	+9	56	WWWWW
8	Bahia	38	15	8	15	49:49	0	53	WLWDL
9	Cruzeiro Esporte Clube	38	14	10	14	43:41	+2	52	WLDDL
10	CR Vasco da Gama	38	14	8	16	43:56	-13	50	WWDLL
11	EC Vitoria Salvador	38	13	8	17	45:52	-7	47	DDWDW
12	Clube Atletico Mineiro	38	11	14	13	47:54	-7	47	WLLDD
13	Fluminense	38	12	10	16	33:39	-6	46	WWDDD
14	Gremio Porto Alegrense	38	12	9	17	44:50	-6	45	LDWDD
15	Esporte Clube Juventude	38	11	12	15	48:59	-11	45	LWWDD
16	Red Bull Bragantino	38	10	14	14	44:48	-4	44	WWDLD
17	Clube Atletico Paranaense	38	11	9	18	40:46	-6	42	LLDDW
18	Criciuma	38	9	11	18	42:61	-19	38	LLLDL
19	Atletico Clube Goianiense	38	7	9	22	29:58	-29	30	LWDLL
20	Cuiaba	38	6	12	20	29:49	-20	30	LLLDL

• Promotion - Copa Libertadores - (Group stage)
• Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
• Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group stage)
• Relegation - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B

• The model expects 2.3 goals: 1.55 for Sao Paulo and 0.75 for EC Vitoria Salvador.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (16%), followed by 2–0 (12%).
• Corners: about 9.8 (5.5 — 4.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.1, 2nd — 1.2.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	90%	90%	1.11
Over 1.5	60%	80%	67%	1.49
Over 2.5	40%	40%	40%	2.48
Over 3.5	20%	20%	20%	4.98
Over 4.5	0%	10%	8%	11.94

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Sao Paulo EC Vitoria Salvador

• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 3.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 8.5 corners in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 3.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Won 6 of 7 matches after scoring first86%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored first in 7 of 9 matches78%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Sao Paulomatches: 10 · 10EC Vitoria Salvador

2.2Avg match total2.4

100%10/10Over 0.590%9/10

0%0/10Under 0.510%1/10

60%6/10Over 1.580%8/10

40%4/10Under 1.520%2/10

40%4/10Over 2.540%4/10

60%6/10Under 2.560%6/10

20%2/10Over 3.520%2/10

80%8/10Under 3.580%8/10

0%0/10Over 4.510%1/10

100%10/10Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Sao PauloEC Vitoria Salvador

80%8/10Scores first33%3/9

88%7/8…and wins67%2/3

13%1/8…and draws0%0/3

0%0/8…and loses33%1/3

38%3/8…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Sao Paulo opened the scoring in 80% of matches.
• • Sao Paulo avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador avoided defeat after conceding first in 17% of such matches.

Sao Paulo				EC Vitoria Salvador
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
5	1	50%	1–15	10%	0	1
2	2	40%	16–30	30%	1	2
2	0	20%	31–45	40%	2	4
1	1	20%	46–60	30%	1	3
4	0	40%	61–75	20%	0	2
2	2	40%	76–90	70%	5	3
0	0	0%	37–HT	40%	2	3
1	1	20%	87–FT	60%	3	3

• • Sao Paulo scores most in 1–15: 5 of 16 goals (31%).
• • Sao Paulo concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Sao Paulo scores 38% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador scores most in 76–90: 5 of 9 goals (56%).
• • EC Vitoria Salvador concedes most in 31–45: 4 of 15 conceded.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador scores 56% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Sao PauloEC Vitoria Salvador

5.1Corners won, avg4.8

3.9Corners conceded, avg5.8

9.0Match corners, avg10.6

2.67Corners in 1st half, avg1.2

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Sao Paulo				EC Vitoria Salvador
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	67%	1–10	—	—	—
0.7	0.3	67%	11–20	—	—	—
0	0.3	33%	21–30	—	—	—
0	0	0%	31–40	—	—	—
0.7	0.3	67%	41–HT	—	—	—
1.3	0.3	67%	46–55	—	—	—
1	1	100%	56–65	—	—	—
0	0.3	33%	66–75	—	—	—
0.7	0	67%	76–85	—	—	—
1	0.3	100%	86–FT	—	—	—
0.7	0.3	67%	37–HT	—	—	—
0.7	0.3	67%	87–FT	—	—	—

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Sao Pauloper matchEC Vitoria Salvador

1.12xG for0.78

0.5xG against0.88

11.8Shots11.2

12.5Shots against15.6

5.2Shots on target4.0

3.3On target against4.4

14%Conversion8%

7.3Shots per goal12.4

13.1Fouls13.5

1.78Offsides1.1

• • Sao Paulo scores 0.48 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Sao Paulo concedes 0.1 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador scores 0.12 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • EC Vitoria Salvador concedes 0.62 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.5 goals per match on average.

Based on text commentary events (attacks, shots, corners, goals), not tracking data. Up — home team, down — away team.