Dordoi Bishkek — Ilbirs 2:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

Kyrgyzstan Championship. Higher League

Season

2024

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Abdysh-Ata Kant	27	22	3	2	67:15	+52	69	WDWWW
2	Dordoi Bishkek	27	17	8	2	43:18	+25	59	DWLWW
3	Muras United	27	16	6	5	50:34	+16	54	WWDWW
4	Alay	27	13	8	6	37:29	+8	47	LWWWL
5	Neftci Kockor-Ata	27	8	7	12	36:40	-4	31	DLLDL
6	Ilbirs	27	8	2	17	30:48	-18	26	LDLLW
7	OShMu-Aldier	27	6	7	14	27:43	-16	25	WDDWD
8	Talant Besh-Kungoy	27	6	6	15	20:43	-23	24	LLWLL
9	Alga Bishkek	27	5	5	17	29:48	-19	20	WLLLL
10	Kyrgyzaltyn	27	4	8	15	19:40	-21	20	LDWDL

• Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3 goals: 2.25 for Dordoi Bishkek and 0.75 for Ilbirs.
• Most likely score is 2–0 (13%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.25, 2nd — 0.75.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	100%	100%	80%	1.25
Over 2.5	0%	100%	58%	1.73
Over 3.5	0%	50%	35%	2.83
Over 4.5	0%	50%	18%	5.41

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (1), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Dordoi Bishkek Ilbirs

• 4 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%

Based on recent matches: home team — 1, away team — 4

Dordoi Bishkekmatches: 1 · 2Ilbirs

2.0Avg match total4.0

100%1/1Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/1Under 0.50%0/2

100%1/1Over 1.5100%2/2

0%0/1Under 1.50%0/2

0%0/1Over 2.5100%2/2

100%1/1Under 2.50%0/2

0%0/1Over 3.550%1/2

100%1/1Under 3.550%1/2

0%0/1Over 4.550%1/2

100%1/1Under 4.550%1/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Dordoi BishkekIlbirs

100%1/1Scores first50%1/2

100%1/1…and wins0%0/1

0%0/1…and draws0%0/1

0%0/1…and loses100%1/1

0%0/1…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Dordoi Bishkek opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Ilbirs opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Ilbirs avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Dordoi Bishkek				Ilbirs
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	100%	1–15	50%	1	1
0	0	0%	16–30	50%	0	1
1	0	100%	31–45	100%	1	1
0	0	0%	46–60	50%	1	1
0	0	0%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	76–90	50%	0	1
1	0	100%	37–HT	50%	1	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Dordoi Bishkek scores most in 1–15: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Ilbirs scores most in 1–15: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • Ilbirs concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 5 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.17 goals per match on average.