Hradec Kralove — Banik Ostrava 0:1: match report and statistics

1. 90:00 +6:37That's it for today, Dalibor Cerny has blown his whistle and the game is over.
2. 90:00 +6:00A good clearance by a defender means the corner comes to nothing for Hradec Kralove.
3. 90:00 +5:00Tomas Rigo (Ostrava) attempts to delay the restart of play. The referee doesn't like it. Tomas Rigo (Ostrava) goes in the referee's notebook after being shown a yellow card.
4. 90:00 +4:12Today's match ends for David Buchta who will be replaced by Michal Fukala (Ostrava).
5. 90:00 +3:38Karel Spacil (Hradec Kralove) cracks a volley from just outside the box, but his miskick goes skyward. The ball goes out of play and Ostrava will have a goal kick.
6. 90:00 +2:17Adam Griger (Hradec Kralove) races towards goal but the defender gets back well to make a challenge.
7. 90:00The fourth official shows 5 min. of added time.
8. 89:19Ostrava are bossing possession at the moment by exchanging some precise passes from player to player.
9. 87:10The referee allows time for a substitution. Petr Kodes will be replaced by Petr Julis (Hradec Kralove).
10. 84:00Stunning strike! Karel Pojezny (Ostrava) latches on to a precise through ball from Tomas Rigo before unleashing an unstoppable shot into the bottom right corner from the edge of the area. Fantastic goal. The score is now 0:1.
11. 82:14Jiri Klima (Ostrava) tackles a bit over-zealously and Dalibor Cerny blows for a foul. Hradec Kralove have a free kick.
12. 81:55Adam Griger (Hradec Kralove) escapes without any punishment from the referee after using excessive force to foul his opponent. Ostrava are awarded a free kick.
13. 80:48Emannuel Uchenna (Ostrava) serves up a nice cross, but Adam Zadrazil punches the ball away.
14. 79:20Close! Daniel Horak (Hradec Kralove) stands over the resulting free kick from around 25.2 metres out and his shot goes just over the crossbar. The ball is off of the pitch and it's a goal kick for Ostrava.
15. 78:47Hradec Kralove will execute a dangerous free kick from 25.2 metres.

Tournament

Czech Republic. Chance Liga

Season

2024/2025

Attendance

5,972

Referee

Dalibor Cerny

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Slavia Prague	30	25	3	2	61:11	+50	78	WWDWL
2	Viktoria Plzen	30	20	5	5	59:28	+31	65	WWWLD
3	Banik Ostrava	30	20	4	6	52:26	+26	64	WWDWW
4	AC Sparta Prague	30	19	5	6	56:33	+23	62	WWDLL
5	Jablonec	30	15	6	9	47:25	+22	51	WWWDL
6	Sigma Olomouc	30	12	7	11	46:41	+5	43	WDLDL
7	Slovan Liberec	30	11	9	10	45:31	+14	42	LWWWD
8	Karvina	30	11	8	11	40:52	-12	41	WWWWD
9	Hradec Kralove	30	11	7	12	33:31	+2	40	LWLWW
10	Bohemians 1905 Prague	30	8	10	12	32:42	-10	34	LLDWL
11	Mlada Boleslav	30	9	7	14	40:40	0	34	LLLLL
12	Teplice	30	9	7	14	32:42	-10	34	WDLDW
13	1. Slovacko	30	7	9	14	25:51	-26	30	LDLLL
14	Dukla Prague	30	5	9	16	23:47	-24	24	LLWDW
15	Pardubice	30	4	7	19	22:49	-27	19	LLWLL
16	Dynamo Ceske Budejovice	30	0	5	25	14:78	-64	5	LDLLL

• Promotion - First League (Championship - Play-offs)
• Promotion - First League (7th-10th Places)
• First League (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 2.63 goals: 1.38 for Hradec Kralove and 1.25 for Banik Ostrava.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (10%).
• Corners: about 11.5 (6.4 — 5.1).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.32, 2nd — 1.32.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	75%	93%	1.08
Over 1.5	100%	63%	74%	1.36
Over 2.5	50%	63%	49%	2.05
Over 3.5	0%	50%	27%	3.71
Over 4.5	0%	25%	13%	7.93

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (8). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Hradec Kralove Banik Ostrava

• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 9.5 corners in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%
• At least one team failed to score in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored over 0.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 5, away team — 10

Hradec Kralovematches: 2 · 8Banik Ostrava

2.5Avg match total2.75

100%2/2Over 0.575%6/8

0%0/2Under 0.525%2/8

100%2/2Over 1.563%5/8

0%0/2Under 1.538%3/8

50%1/2Over 2.563%5/8

50%1/2Under 2.538%3/8

0%0/2Over 3.550%4/8

100%2/2Under 3.550%4/8

0%0/2Over 4.525%2/8

100%2/2Under 4.575%6/8

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Hradec KraloveBanik Ostrava

50%1/2Scores first0%0/6

100%1/1…and wins—

0%0/1…and draws—

0%0/1…and loses—

0%0/1…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Hradec Kralove opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Hradec Kralove avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Banik Ostrava opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Banik Ostrava avoided defeat after conceding first in 67% of such matches.

Hradec Kralove				Banik Ostrava
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	50%	1–15	25%	0	2
0	0	0%	16–30	13%	1	0
1	1	100%	31–45	50%	3	3
0	0	0%	46–60	38%	2	1
1	0	50%	61–75	25%	3	1
1	0	50%	76–90	63%	3	3
0	1	50%	37–HT	50%	3	1
1	0	50%	87–FT	38%	2	1

• • Hradec Kralove scores most in 31–45: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • Hradec Kralove concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Banik Ostrava scores most in 31–45: 3 of 12 goals (25%).
• • Banik Ostrava concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 10 conceded.
• • Banik Ostrava scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Hradec KraloveBanik Ostrava

7.5Corners won, avg6.1

4.0Corners conceded, avg5.4

11.5Match corners, avg11.5

4.0Corners in 1st half, avg2.75

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Hradec Kralove				Banik Ostrava
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0.5	50%	1–10	100%	1	1
2	0	50%	11–20	50%	0.3	1
0.5	0.5	50%	21–30	50%	0.3	0.5
1	0.5	100%	31–40	100%	1	0.5
0.5	0	50%	41–HT	50%	0.8	0
0.5	0.5	50%	46–55	50%	0.8	0.5
0.5	1.5	100%	56–65	50%	0.8	0
0.5	0	50%	66–75	75%	1	0.3
0.5	0	50%	76–85	25%	1	0
1.5	0.5	100%	86–FT	50%	0.8	0.3
1	0	100%	37–HT	50%	1	0
0	0.5	50%	87–FT	50%	0.8	0.3

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Hradec Kraloveper matchBanik Ostrava

1.17xG for1.56

0.98xG against1.33

10.0Shots9.0

4.0Shots against15.0

4.5Shots on target4.8

2.5On target against4.4

15%Conversion17%

6.7Shots per goal6.0

7.0Fouls9.8

1.5Offsides1.75

• • Hradec Kralove scores 0.33 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Hradec Kralove concedes 0.02 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Banik Ostrava scores 0.06 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Banik Ostrava concedes 0.08 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.83 goals per match on average.

Based on text commentary events (attacks, shots, corners, goals), not tracking data. Up — home team, down — away team.