South Shields — Needham Market: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

England. National League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Brackley Town	46	29	5	12	75:42	+33	92	WWWWW
2	Scunthorpe United	46	26	12	8	76:30	+46	90	WWLWL
3	Kidderminster Harriers	46	27	8	11	86:37	+49	89	LWWWD
4	Chester	46	25	12	9	73:45	+28	87	WWWWD
5	Chorley	46	22	13	11	76:49	+27	79	WWLDD
6	King's Lynn Town	46	23	10	13	52:45	+7	79	LWWWD
7	Buxton	46	24	5	17	76:52	+24	77	WLWWD
8	Curzon Ashton	46	22	11	13	59:41	+18	77	DDWDL
9	Spennymoor Town	46	21	13	12	76:50	+26	76	DWWDL
10	Hereford	46	22	10	14	68:51	+17	76	LLWWD
11	Darlington	46	18	15	13	61:54	+7	69	WLDLW
12	Peterborough Sports	46	17	12	17	55:57	-2	63	DDLWL
13	Scarborough Athletic	46	16	13	17	64:58	+6	61	DWDLW
14	Alfreton Town	46	15	14	17	54:59	-5	59	DWDWD
15	Marine	46	16	10	20	45:57	-12	58	WLWDL
16	Leamington	46	15	10	21	52:56	-4	55	DLLDL
17	South Shields	46	16	6	24	60:73	-13	54	LLDDL
18	Southport	46	13	14	19	43:58	-15	53	WDLDD
19	Oxford City	46	13	14	19	58:74	-16	53	LWLLD
20	Radcliffe	46	13	12	21	56:75	-19	51	DLWDW
21	Needham Market	46	10	9	27	44:76	-32	39	LLLWL
22	Rushall Olympic	46	9	8	29	42:98	-56	35	LLLLD
23	Warrington Town	46	6	13	27	34:70	-36	31	DLDLL
24	Farsley Celtic	46	7	5	34	35:113	-78	26	LLLLL

• Promotion - National League
• Promotion - England. National League North (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - England. National League North (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.62 goals: 2.08 for South Shields and 1.54 for Needham Market.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (9%), followed by 1–1 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.86, 2nd — 1.77.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	63%	80%	88%	1.14
Over 2.5	38%	60%	70%	1.43
Over 3.5	25%	60%	49%	2.05
Over 4.5	13%	60%	30%	3.37

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (8), away team away (5). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams South Shields Needham Market

• Winless in 7 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored over 0.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

South Shieldsmatches: 8 · 5Needham Market

2.63Avg match total4.6

100%8/8Over 0.5100%5/5

0%0/8Under 0.50%0/5

63%5/8Over 1.580%4/5

38%3/8Under 1.520%1/5

38%3/8Over 2.560%3/5

63%5/8Under 2.540%2/5

25%2/8Over 3.560%3/5

75%6/8Under 3.540%2/5

13%1/8Over 4.560%3/5

88%7/8Under 4.540%2/5

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

South ShieldsNeedham Market

50%4/8Scores first40%2/5

75%3/4…and wins100%2/2

25%1/4…and draws0%0/2

0%0/4…and loses0%0/2

50%2/4…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • South Shields opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • South Shields avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.
• • Needham Market opened the scoring in 40% of matches.
• • Needham Market avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

South Shields				Needham Market
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
3	1	50%	1–15	60%	1	3
3	0	38%	16–30	40%	2	1
3	2	38%	31–45	40%	0	4
0	0	0%	46–60	40%	2	1
1	2	38%	61–75	60%	2	1
4	2	50%	76–90	80%	4	2
1	1	25%	37–HT	40%	0	3
2	1	38%	87–FT	40%	2	1

• • South Shields scores most in 76–90: 4 of 14 goals (29%).
• • South Shields concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 7 conceded.
• • South Shields scores 36% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Needham Market scores most in 76–90: 4 of 11 goals (36%).
• • Needham Market concedes most in 31–45: 4 of 12 conceded.
• • Needham Market scores 55% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.