Heart of Lions — Samartex 2:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Premier League

Season

2024/2025

Referee

Amoah R.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Bibiani Gold Stars	34	18	9	7	38:21	+17	63	WWDWL
2	Heart of Lions	34	17	9	8	38:24	+14	60	WWLDW
3	Accra Hearts of Oak	34	16	10	8	32:18	+14	58	WWWDW
4	Asante Kotoko	34	16	10	8	37:27	+10	58	LWDWD
5	Nations	34	18	6	10	40:21	+19	57	LLWWW
6	Dreams	34	14	10	10	31:29	+2	52	WWWLW
7	Samartex	34	13	12	9	33:25	+8	51	LWLWL
8	Medeama	34	15	5	14	44:34	+10	50	LLWLW
9	Bechem United	34	14	8	12	32:28	+4	47	WLDLW
10	Aduana	34	12	11	11	39:34	+5	47	WLWLW
11	Vision	34	11	12	11	34:35	-1	45	WWWWL
12	Berekum Chelsea	34	12	8	14	35:35	0	44	WLLLL
13	Karela	34	11	8	15	28:26	+2	41	WWLWW
14	Basake Holy Stars	34	11	8	15	34:37	-3	41	LWDDL
15	Young Apostles	34	10	10	14	24:36	-12	40	LLWLW
16	Accra Lions	34	9	8	17	32:44	-12	35	LLWLW
17	Legon Cities	34	7	4	23	23:53	-30	25	LLLLL
18	Nsoatreman	34	5	6	23	17:64	-47	15	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Relegation

• The model expects 1.75 goals: 1.05 for Heart of Lions and 0.7 for Samartex.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (18%), followed by 0–0 (17%).
• Corners: about 8.5 (5 — 3.5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.7, 2nd — 1.05.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	80%	83%	1.21
Over 1.5	75%	20%	52%	1.92
Over 2.5	50%	0%	26%	3.91
Over 3.5	25%	0%	10%	9.92
Over 4.5	0%	0%	3%	30.39

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (5). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Heart of Lions Samartex

• Unbeaten in 8 matches100%
• Scored in 7 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Under 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Unbeaten in 6 of 7 matches86%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 10

Heart of Lionsmatches: 4 · 5Samartex

2.5Avg match total1.0

100%4/4Over 0.580%4/5

0%0/4Under 0.520%1/5

75%3/4Over 1.520%1/5

25%1/4Under 1.580%4/5

50%2/4Over 2.50%0/5

50%2/4Under 2.5100%5/5

25%1/4Over 3.50%0/5

75%3/4Under 3.5100%5/5

0%0/4Over 4.50%0/5

100%4/4Under 4.5100%5/5

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Heart of LionsSamartex

50%2/4Scores first25%1/4

100%2/2…and wins100%1/1

0%0/2…and draws0%0/1

0%0/2…and loses0%0/1

50%1/2…and then concedes0%0/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Heart of Lions opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Heart of Lions avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Samartex opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • Samartex avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Heart of Lions				Samartex
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	25%	1–15	0%	0	0
1	1	25%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	1	25%	31–45	40%	0	2
2	0	50%	46–60	20%	0	1
1	0	25%	61–75	20%	1	0
1	2	50%	76–90	20%	1	0
0	1	25%	37–HT	40%	0	2
0	1	25%	87–FT	20%	1	0

• • Heart of Lions scores most in 46–60: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
• • Heart of Lions concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 4 conceded.
• • Heart of Lions scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Samartex scores most in 61–75: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Samartex concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 3 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Heart of LionsSamartex

4.0Corners won, avg2.0

5.0Corners conceded, avg6.0

9.0Match corners, avg8.0

3.0Corners in 1st half, avg0.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 3 · 1.67 goals per match on average.