Flora Tallinn U21 — Tallinn 2:4: match report and statistics

• 1 Yellow cards 6

Tournament

Estonia. Esiliiga

Season

2025

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Nomme United	36	30	2	4	125:27	+98	92	WWWWW
2	Viimsi JK	36	24	6	6	83:27	+56	78	WWWWL
3	Tartu JK Welco Elekter	36	18	9	9	76:56	+20	63	WWWLD
4	Elva	36	17	7	12	62:59	+3	58	LWLLW
5	Flora Tallinn U21	36	13	9	14	61:56	+5	48	LLLWL
6	Levadia U21	36	12	9	15	62:67	-5	45	WDWDL
7	Nomme Kalju U21	36	13	6	17	56:79	-23	45	LDWLL
8	Tallinn	36	11	7	18	61:75	-14	40	LLWLL
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	36	5	12	19	53:96	-43	27	LLDLW
10	Tammeka Tartu U21	36	3	1	32	40:137	-97	10	WLLLL

• Promotion - Jupiler League
• Promotion - Higher League (Promotion)
• Estonia. Esiliiga (Relegation. Play-off)
• Relegation - Estonia. Esiliiga B

• The model expects 3.35 goals: 2 for Flora Tallinn U21 and 1.35 for Tallinn.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (9%), followed by 2–1 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 14 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.7, 2nd — 1.65.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	90%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	70%	80%	85%	1.18
Over 2.5	50%	70%	65%	1.54
Over 3.5	30%	50%	43%	2.32
Over 4.5	20%	30%	25%	4.06

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Flora Tallinn U21 Tallinn

• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored under 2.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• At least one team failed to score in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Unbeaten in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Flora Tallinn U21matches: 10 · 10Tallinn

2.7Avg match total4.0

90%9/10Over 0.5100%10/10

10%1/10Under 0.50%0/10

70%7/10Over 1.580%8/10

30%3/10Under 1.520%2/10

50%5/10Over 2.570%7/10

50%5/10Under 2.530%3/10

30%3/10Over 3.550%5/10

70%7/10Under 3.550%5/10

20%2/10Over 4.530%3/10

80%8/10Under 4.570%7/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Flora Tallinn U21Tallinn

56%5/9Scores first50%5/10

80%4/5…and wins60%3/5

20%1/5…and draws20%1/5

0%0/5…and loses20%1/5

20%1/5…and then concedes60%3/5

First to concede…

Overall

• • Flora Tallinn U21 opened the scoring in 56% of matches.
• • Flora Tallinn U21 avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Tallinn opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Tallinn avoided defeat after conceding first in 40% of such matches.

Flora Tallinn U21				Tallinn
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	30%	1–15	60%	5	5
2	0	20%	16–30	40%	1	4
3	2	50%	31–45	50%	6	3
4	3	50%	46–60	60%	4	2
2	1	20%	61–75	30%	2	1
6	1	60%	76–90	60%	1	6
3	1	40%	37–HT	40%	4	2
2	0	20%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Flora Tallinn U21 scores most in 76–90: 6 of 19 goals (32%).
• • Flora Tallinn U21 concedes most in 46–60: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Flora Tallinn U21 scores 42% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Tallinn scores most in 31–45: 6 of 19 goals (32%).
• • Tallinn concedes most in 76–90: 6 of 21 conceded.
• • Tallinn scores 16% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.5 goals per match on average.