Turkmenistan — Sri Lanka 2:1: match report and statistics

AFC Asian Cup · 14.10.2025 13:45 · Finished

Head-to-head: Turkmenistan vs Sri Lanka
Turkmenistan
Finished2 : 114.10.2025 13:45
Sri Lanka

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Turkmenistan0%
  • Draw0%
  • Sri Lanka0%

Overview

Final score Turkmenistan 2:1 Sri Lanka, AFC Asian Cup, 14.10.2025 13:45 (UTC). The win went to Turkmenistan. Goals: Elman Tagayev 52', Mekan Saparow 58', Annaguliyev Guychmyrat 65'.

Turkmenistan, last 6 games: won 1, drawn 2, lost 3. Sri Lanka, last 6 games: won 3, drawn 2, lost 1.

All meetings of Turkmenistan and Sri Lanka: 7 (wins of Turkmenistan: 5, wins of Sri Lanka: 1, draws: 1). The last meeting on 09.10.2025 10:15 ended Sri Lanka 1:0 Turkmenistan.

Turkmenistan in the standings: place 2, points 12, played 6. Sri Lanka in the standings: place 3, points 9, played 6.

Statistics and results: Turkmenistan results and fixtures, Sri Lanka results and fixtures, AFC Asian Cup standings and results.

See also all Football matches of the day.

Score by periods

Team12Σ
Turkmenistan
022
Sri Lanka
011

Match events

Match statistics

  • 2 Yellow cards 3

Lineups

Lead tracker

Turkmenistan +2Biggest lead+0 Sri Lanka
12

Head-to-head

Matches played: 7
draws: 1

5 / 7
Wins
1 / 7
12 / 15
Goals
3 / 15
3 / 9
Yellow cards
6 / 9
0 / 0
Red cards
0 / 0
Matches
09.10.2025Finished
Sri Lanka1 : 0Turkmenistan
19.11.2019Finished
Turkmenistan2 : 0Sri Lanka
05.09.2019Finished
Sri Lanka0 : 2Turkmenistan
09.10.2004Finished
Sri Lanka2 : 2Turkmenistan
18.02.2004Finished
Turkmenistan2 : 0Sri Lanka
12.11.2003Finished
Sri Lanka0 : 3Turkmenistan

Previous matches: Turkmenistan

09.10.2025Finished
Sri Lanka1 : 0Turkmenistan
L
05.09.2025Finished
Turkmenistan1 : 2Oman
L
02.09.2025Finished
Turkmenistan1 : 2Uzbekistan
L
30.08.2025Finished
Kyrgyzstan1 : 1Turkmenistan
D
10.06.2025Finished
Turkmenistan3 : 1Thailand
W
25.03.2025Finished
Taiwan1 : 2Turkmenistan
D

Previous matches: Sri Lanka

09.10.2025Finished
Sri Lanka1 : 0Turkmenistan
W
09.09.2025Finished
Sri Lanka1 : 1Maldives
D
06.09.2025Finished
Sri Lanka0 : 3Maldives
L
10.06.2025Finished
Sri Lanka3 : 1Taiwan
W
07.06.2025Finished
Mozambique0 : 0Mauritius
D
05.06.2025Finished
Sri Lanka1 : 0Brunei
W

Match info

Tournament
AFC Asian Cup
Season
2027

AFC Asian Cup

Group A
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Tajikistan642014:3+1114
2Philippines642016:6+1014
3Maldives61053:13-103
4East Timor61054:15-113
Group B
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Yemen642020:1+1914
2Lebanon641114:2+1213
3Bhutan61144:16-124
4Brunei61053:22-193
Group C
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Singapore64208:4+414
2Hong Kong62228:808
3Bangladesh61236:8-25
4India61234:6-25
Group D
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Thailand650116:5+1115
2Turkmenistan640211:7+412
3Sri Lanka63038:9-19
4Taiwan60065:19-140
Group E
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Syria660021:2+1918
2Myanmar64028:11-312
3Afghanistan60244:11-72
4Pakistan60242:11-92
Group F
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Vietnam660017:2+1518
2Malaysia630310:1009
3Laos62044:16-126
4Nepal61055:8-33
  • Promotion - AFC Asian Cup

Match forecast

Quick readEven matchOver 2.5 22%Both teams to score 29%Goal peak 31-45
44%Win · Turkmenistan2.26
34%Draw2.92
22%Win · Sri Lanka4.64
1.6Expected goals
8Expected corners
5Expected cards
  • The model expects 1.6 goals: 1 for Turkmenistan and 0.6 for Sri Lanka.
  • Most likely score is 0–0 (20%), followed by 1–0 (20%).
  • Corners: about 8 (4.5 — 3.5).
  • Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 6 in total.
  • Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.2, 2nd — 0.4.

Correct score by the model

0–020.2%1–020.2%0–112.1%1–112.1%2–010.1%2–16.1%0–23.6%1–23.6%3–03.4%

Scores 4+ goals: Turkmenistan — 2%, Sri Lanka — 0%

MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Over 0.580%100%80%1.25
Over 1.560%0%48%2.10
Over 2.560%0%22%4.62
Over 3.520%0%8%12.69
Over 4.50%0%2%42.23

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Trends

  • Winless in 4 matches100%
  • 3 defeats in a row100%
  • Over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 matches88%
  • Scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
  • Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
  • Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
  • Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
  • Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
  • Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches70%
  • Under 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 matches71%
  • At least one team failed to score in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 7

Markets by recent matches

Turkmenistanmatches: 5 · 2Sri Lanka
2.2Avg match total1.0
80%4/5Over 0.5100%2/2
20%1/5Under 0.50%0/2
60%3/5Over 1.50%0/2
40%2/5Under 1.5100%2/2
60%3/5Over 2.50%0/2
40%2/5Under 2.5100%2/2
20%1/5Over 3.50%0/2
80%4/5Under 3.5100%2/2
0%0/5Over 4.50%0/2
100%5/5Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First goal and after

First to score…

TurkmenistanSri Lanka
25%1/4Scores first0%0/1
100%1/1…and wins—
0%0/1…and draws—
0%0/1…and loses—
100%1/1…and then concedes—

First to concede…

75%3/4Concedes first100%1/1
67%2/3…and then scores0%0/1
0%0/3…and comes back to win0%0/1
0%0/3…and saves a draw0%0/1

Overall

20%1/5Scores in both halves0%0/1
60%3/5Scores at all0%0/2
  • • Turkmenistan opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
  • • Turkmenistan avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
  • • Sri Lanka opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
  • • Sri Lanka avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Goals by time

matches: 5 · 2
TurkmenistanSri Lanka
ForAg.%Period%ForAg.
1140%1–150%00
000%16–300%00
1460%31–4550%01
1020%46–600%00
1020%61–750%00
1140%76–900%00
1360%37–HT50%01
0120%87–FT0%00
  • • Turkmenistan scores most in 1–15: 1 of 5 goals (20%).
  • • Turkmenistan concedes most in 31–45: 4 of 6 conceded.
  • • Turkmenistan scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
  • • Sri Lanka concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 1 conceded.
  • Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Corners and cards

Averages per match

TurkmenistanSri Lanka
2.0Corners won, avg1.0
6.0Corners conceded, avg7.0
8.0Match corners, avg8.0
0.0Corners in 1st half, avg0.0

Match total

100%1/1Over 7.5100%1/1
0%0/1Over 8.50%0/1
0%0/1Over 9.50%0/1
0%0/1Over 10.50%0/1
0%0/1Over 11.50%0/1

1st half total

0%0/1Over 2.5100%1/1
0%0/1Over 3.50%0/1
0%0/1Over 4.50%0/1
0%0/1Over 5.50%0/1

Team total

0%0/1Team over 2.5 corners0%0/1
0%0/1Team over 3.5 corners0%0/1
0%0/1Team over 4.5 corners0%0/1
0%0/1Team over 5.5 corners0%0/1
0%0/1Team over 6.5 corners0%0/1

Corner handicap

0%0/1Handicap -2.50%0/1
0%0/1Handicap -1.50%0/1
0%0/1Handicap -0.50%0/1
0%0/1Handicap +0.50%0/1
0%0/1Handicap +1.50%0/1
0%0/1Handicap +2.50%0/1

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

xG and shots

Turkmenistanper matchSri Lanka
10.0Shots—
12.0Shots against—
5.0Shots on target—
2.0On target against—
10%Conversion—
10.0Shots per goal—
17.0Fouls—
1.0Offsides—

Half-time / full-time

Row — after the 1st half, column — final result

Turkmenistanmatches: 5

Full-time: WFull-time: DFull-time: LHalf-time: W1led and won0led, drew0led, lostHalf-time: D0level → won1draw0level → lostHalf-time: L0comeback win0trailed → drew3trailed and lost
Frequent scores (own : opponent)1:2 ×23:1 ×10:0 ×10:1 ×1

Sri Lankamatches: 2

Full-time: WFull-time: DFull-time: LHalf-time: W0led and won0led, drew0led, lostHalf-time: D0level → won0draw0level → lostHalf-time: L0comeback win0trailed → drew1trailed and lost
Frequent scores (own : opponent)0:1 ×2

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Markets in head-to-head

83%Over 1.55 of 6
33%Over 2.52 of 6
17%Over 3.51 of 6
17%Both teams to score1 of 6
67%Turkmenistan wins4 of 6
17%Sri Lanka wins1 of 6
17%Draw1 of 6

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.33 goals per match on average.

Match profile