Guairena — Tacuary 1:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

Paraguay. Division Intermedia

Season

2025

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Club Rubio Nu	30	17	9	4	46:21	+25	60	LWDWW
2	Club Sportivo San Lorenzo	30	15	8	7	38:22	+16	53	WWDWD
3	Deportivo Capiatá	30	14	10	6	37:21	+16	52	DLDWW
4	12 De Junio Villa Hayes	30	12	12	6	36:26	+10	48	DLDWD
5	Pastoreo	30	10	11	9	34:31	+3	41	DDWWW
6	Resistencia SC	30	9	13	8	46:50	-4	40	DLLDW
7	Guairena	30	11	6	13	41:38	+3	39	WWDLD
8	Sol de America	30	9	11	10	34:35	-1	38	WWDWW
9	Tacuary	30	10	8	12	28:36	-8	38	WDLLL
10	River Plate Asuncion	30	8	13	9	35:39	-4	37	DLLWL
11	Deportivo Santaní	30	8	11	11	33:35	-2	35	DLWDD
12	Encarnacion	30	8	11	11	33:42	-9	35	LDDLL
13	Sportivo Carapegua	30	7	13	10	39:46	-7	34	DLWLL
14	Independiente FBC	30	9	7	14	32:40	-8	34	DWWLL
15	Club Fernando de la Mora	30	6	10	14	24:40	-16	28	LDDLW
16	Guarani de Fram	30	5	11	14	35:49	-14	26	LWLLL

• Promotion - Paraguay. Primera Division (Apertura)

• The model expects 2.44 goals: 1.1 for Guairena and 1.34 for Tacuary.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 0–1 (12%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.2, 2nd — 1.23.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	91%	1.10
Over 1.5	80%	67%	70%	1.43
Over 2.5	20%	67%	44%	2.28
Over 3.5	20%	33%	23%	4.37
Over 4.5	0%	0%	10%	9.97

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Guairena Tacuary

• Under 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 2.5 goals in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 9 matches78%
• At least one team failed to score in 7 of 9 matches78%
• First-half goal in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 7

Guairenamatches: 5 · 3Tacuary

2.2Avg match total2.67

100%5/5Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/5Under 0.50%0/3

80%4/5Over 1.567%2/3

20%1/5Under 1.533%1/3

20%1/5Over 2.567%2/3

80%4/5Under 2.533%1/3

20%1/5Over 3.533%1/3

80%4/5Under 3.567%2/3

0%0/5Over 4.50%0/3

100%5/5Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

GuairenaTacuary

60%3/5Scores first67%2/3

67%2/3…and wins50%1/2

33%1/3…and draws0%0/2

0%0/3…and loses50%1/2

67%2/3…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Guairena opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Guairena avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Tacuary opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Tacuary avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Guairena				Tacuary
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	20%	1–15	33%	0	1
1	1	40%	16–30	0%	0	0
2	2	40%	31–45	67%	2	0
0	1	20%	46–60	67%	1	1
0	0	0%	61–75	33%	1	0
2	1	60%	76–90	67%	1	1
1	2	40%	37–HT	67%	2	0
1	0	20%	87–FT	33%	0	1

• • Guairena scores most in 31–45: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
• • Guairena concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Guairena scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Tacuary scores most in 31–45: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Tacuary concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Tacuary scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2 goals per match on average.