New Zealand U20 — Japan U20 0:3: match report and statistics

• 0.44 Expected goals (xG) 1.54
• 55% Possession 45%
• 8 Total shots 17
• 2 Shots on target 9
• 1 Big Chances 3
• 1 Corners 9
• 84 (385/458)Assists(275/352) 78
• 3 Yellow cards 0
• 0.59 xG on target (xGOT) 2.42
• 3 Shots off target 5
• 3 Shots blocked 3
• 3 Shots from inside the penalty area 12
• 5 Shots from outside the penalty area 5
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 9 Touches in opposition box 25
• 0 Accurate through passes 1
• 1 Offsides 2
• 11 Free kicks 7
• 35 (15/43)Long Balls(27/66) 41
• 63 (46/73)Passes in final third(64/98) 65
• 13 (1/8)Crosses(5/24) 21
• 0.51 Expected assists (xA) 1.03
• 23 Throw-ins 18
• 7 Fouls 11
• 67 (6/9)Tackles(11/13) 85
• 29 Duels won 41
• 21 Clearances 13
• 6 Steals 13
• 0 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 6 Saves 2
• 2.42 xGOT faced 0.59
• 0.42 Goals prevented 0.59

Tournament

U20 World Cup

Season

2025

Attendance

2,938

Referee

Kevin Ortega

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Japan U20	3	3	0	0	7:0	+7	9	WWW
2	Chile U20	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3	LLW
3	Egypt U20	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3	WLL
4	New Zealand U20	3	1	0	2	3:6	-3	3	LWL

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Ukraine U20	3	2	1	0	5:3	+2	7	WDW
2	Paraguay U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4	LDW
3	South Korea U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4	WDL
4	Panama U20	3	0	1	2	4:6	-2	1	LDL

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Morocco U20	3	2	0	1	4:2	+2	6	LWW
2	Mexico U20	3	1	2	0	5:4	+1	5	WDD
3	Spain U20	3	1	1	1	3:4	-1	4	WDL
4	Brazil U20	3	0	1	2	3:5	-2	1	LLD

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Argentina U20	3	3	0	0	8:2	+6	9	WWW
2	Italy U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4	LDW
3	Australia U20	3	1	0	2	4:6	-2	3	WLL
4	Cuba U20	3	0	1	2	4:8	-4	1	LDL

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	USA U20	3	2	0	1	13:3	+10	6	LWW
2	South Africa U20	3	2	0	1	8:3	+5	6	WWL
3	France U20	3	2	0	1	8:4	+4	6	WLW
4	New Caledonia U20	3	0	0	3	1:20	-19	0	LLL

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Colombia (Youth)	3	1	2	0	2:1	+1	5	DDW
2	Norway U20	3	1	2	0	2:1	+1	5	DDW
3	Nigeria U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4	DWL
4	Saudi Arabia U20	3	0	1	2	3:5	-2	1	DLL

Ranking of third-placed teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	France U20	3	2	0	1	8:4	+4	6	WLW
2	Nigeria U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4	DWL
3	South Korea U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4	WDL
4	Spain U20	3	1	1	1	3:4	-1	4	WDL
5	Australia U20	3	1	0	2	4:6	-2	3	WLL
6	Egypt U20	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3	WLL

• Promotion - World Championship U20 (Play-off: Round of 16)
• Ranking of third-placed teams

• The model expects 3.8 goals: 2.07 for New Zealand U20 and 1.73 for Japan U20.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (8%), followed by 1–1 (8%).
• Corners: about 8.9 (1.6 — 7.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 11 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2, 2nd — 2.3.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	100%	100%	89%	1.12
Over 2.5	100%	50%	73%	1.37
Over 3.5	100%	33%	53%	1.90
Over 4.5	60%	17%	33%	3.01

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams New Zealand U20 Japan U20

• Over 2.5 in 8 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 4.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 8

New Zealand U20matches: 5 · 6Japan U20

4.6Avg match total3.0

100%5/5Over 0.5100%6/6

0%0/5Under 0.50%0/6

100%5/5Over 1.5100%6/6

0%0/5Under 1.50%0/6

100%5/5Over 2.550%3/6

0%0/5Under 2.550%3/6

100%5/5Over 3.533%2/6

0%0/5Under 3.567%4/6

60%3/5Over 4.517%1/6

40%2/5Under 4.583%5/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

New Zealand U20Japan U20

50%1/2Scores first60%3/5

100%1/1…and wins67%2/3

0%0/1…and draws33%1/3

0%0/1…and loses0%0/3

0%0/1…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • New Zealand U20 opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • New Zealand U20 avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Japan U20 opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Japan U20 avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

New Zealand U20				Japan U20
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	40%	1–15	33%	0	2
0	1	20%	16–30	0%	0	0
1	1	40%	31–45	17%	0	1
0	1	20%	46–60	50%	4	1
0	0	0%	61–75	17%	1	0
3	1	40%	76–90	67%	3	4
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
2	1	40%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • New Zealand U20 scores most in 76–90: 3 of 5 goals (60%).
• • New Zealand U20 concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 5 conceded.
• • New Zealand U20 scores 60% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Japan U20 scores most in 46–60: 4 of 8 goals (50%).
• • Japan U20 concedes most in 76–90: 4 of 8 conceded.
• • Japan U20 scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

New Zealand U20Japan U20

0.0Corners won, avg3.5

11.0Corners conceded, avg3.3

11.0Match corners, avg6.8

0.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

New Zealand U20per matchJapan U20

—xG for0.96

—xG against1.11

0.0Shots10.3

31.0Shots against11.0

0.0Shots on target5.0

9.0On target against4.5

—Conversion16%

—Shots per goal6.1

6.0Fouls12.3

0.0Offsides3.3

• • Japan U20 scores 0.71 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Japan U20 concedes 0.22 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.