Pardubice — Karvina 2:1: match report and statistics

• 2.22 Expected goals (xG) 1.44
• 40% Possession 60%
• 15 Total shots 14
• 5 Shots on target 4
• 2 Big Chances 0
• 4 Corners 5
• 69 (194/282)Assists(332/419) 79
• 4 Yellow cards 1
• 2.47 xG on target (xGOT) 1.05
• 9 Shots off target 5
• 1 Shots blocked 5
• 11 Shots from inside the penalty area 8
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 6
• 1 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Goals 1
• 32 Touches in opposition box 23
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 3
• 11 Free kicks 12
• 30 (15/50)Long Balls(23/59) 39
• 58 (53/91)Passes in final third(74/116) 64
• 30 (3/10)Crosses(6/18) 33
• 1.43 Expected assists (xA) 0.73
• 27 Throw-ins 16
• 12 Fouls 11
• 74 (14/19)Tackles(13/23) 57
• 55 Duels won 66
• 25 Clearances 16
• 11 Steals 4
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 1
• 3 Saves 3
• 1.05 xGOT faced 2.47
• 0.05 Goals prevented 0.47

1. 90:00 +3:16Nothing more will happen in this game as the referee blows for full time.
2. 90:00 +2:48What a chance that is! Filip Sancl (FK Pardubice) finds himself unmarked in a promising position after receiving a cross on the edge of the box and his attempt sails a whisker wide of the right post.
3. 90:00 +2:11Filip Sancl (FK Pardubice) receives a precise pass inside the box and takes a shot that flies just wide of the right post.
4. 90:00 +1:23Milan Lexa (FK Pardubice) trips an opposition player and Marek Radina signals a foul.
5. 90:00 +0:02Ebrima Singhateh (MFK Karvina) receives a pass and decides to smash the ball from long range. His poor effort sails well wide of the right post.
6. 90:00Marek Radina has issued a yellow card to Jachym Serak (FK Pardubice).
7. 90:00The fourth official shows 3 min. of added time.
8. 89:40Vojtech Patrak (FK Pardubice) is caught offside!
9. 87:14A pass from Emmanuel Ayaosi (MFK Karvina) is intercepted by Jachym Serak and the move breaks down.
10. 84:00The game is interrupted. Vojtech Patrak (FK Pardubice) is given a yellow card. He has to be more careful now.
11. 83:00Martin Hysky prepares a substitution. Rok Storman is replaced by Jiri Fleisman (MFK Karvina).
12. 81:51Goal - 2:1! Abdullahi Tanko (FK Pardubice) receives a precise pass inside the box from Vojtech Sychra and he beats the goalkeeper with a neat finish into the bottom right corner.
13. 80:45Robi Saarma goes off the pitch and Michal Surzyn (FK Pardubice) comes on.
14. 78:00Vojtech Sychra (FK Pardubice) latches onto a short pass just on the edge of the box and shoots. The effort beats the keeper but comes back off the left post. Close!
15. 77:35The corner is swung in but FK Pardubice can’t take advantage as a defender sweeps the ball away.

Tournament

Czech Republic. Chance Liga

Season

2025/2026

Attendance

1,556

Referee

Marek Radina

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Slavia Prague	30	21	8	1	63:23	+40	71	WLDWW
2	AC Sparta Prague	30	19	6	5	60:33	+27	63	LWWWW
3	Viktoria Plzen	30	15	8	7	50:34	+16	53	WLDDW
4	Jablonec	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51	LLWWD
5	Hradec Kralove	30	14	7	9	43:34	+9	49	WWWWW
6	Slovan Liberec	30	12	10	8	43:30	+13	46	WDLWW
7	Sigma Olomouc	30	12	7	11	34:34	0	43	LWLLL
8	Pardubice	30	11	8	11	39:46	-7	41	WWWWW
9	Karvina	30	12	3	15	43:51	-8	39	LWWLL
10	Bohemians 1905 Prague	30	10	6	14	26:35	-9	36	WWWLL
11	Mlada Boleslav	30	8	11	11	44:52	-8	35	WDDWD
12	Zlin	30	9	7	14	37:48	-11	34	LWLLL
13	Teplice	30	6	11	13	29:38	-9	29	LLLDD
14	Dukla Prague	30	4	11	15	20:42	-22	23	WLDLL
15	1. Slovacko	30	5	8	17	26:45	-19	23	LLLLW
16	Banik Ostrava	30	5	7	18	25:45	-20	22	LLLLL

• Promotion - First League (Championship - Play-offs)
• Promotion - First League (7th-10th Places)
• First League (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 3.17 goals: 1.09 for Pardubice and 2.08 for Karvina.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (10%), followed by 1–1 (10%).
• Corners: about 12.4 (6.8 — 5.6).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.78, 2nd — 1.64.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	83%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	67%	100%	82%	1.21
Over 2.5	33%	100%	61%	1.63
Over 3.5	33%	33%	39%	2.57
Over 4.5	17%	17%	21%	4.69

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Pardubice Karvina

• Both teams scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 8 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Both teams scored in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 5.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 9.5 corners in 7 of 8 matches88%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Pardubicematches: 6 · 6Karvina

2.5Avg match total3.8

83%5/6Over 0.5100%6/6

17%1/6Under 0.50%0/6

67%4/6Over 1.5100%6/6

33%2/6Under 1.50%0/6

33%2/6Over 2.5100%6/6

67%4/6Under 2.50%0/6

33%2/6Over 3.533%2/6

67%4/6Under 3.567%4/6

17%1/6Over 4.517%1/6

83%5/6Under 4.583%5/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

PardubiceKarvina

20%1/5Scores first67%4/6

0%0/1…and wins100%4/4

100%1/1…and draws0%0/4

0%0/1…and loses0%0/4

100%1/1…and then concedes100%4/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Pardubice opened the scoring in 20% of matches.
• • Pardubice avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.
• • Karvina opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Karvina avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Pardubice				Karvina
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	33%	1–15	33%	3	0
0	1	17%	16–30	50%	2	2
1	3	50%	31–45	83%	3	3
1	2	50%	46–60	33%	2	1
0	2	33%	61–75	67%	3	1
1	2	50%	76–90	50%	1	2
0	3	50%	37–HT	67%	2	2
0	0	0%	87–FT	50%	1	2

• • Pardubice scores most in 1–15: 1 of 4 goals (25%).
• • Pardubice concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 11 conceded.
• • Pardubice scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Karvina scores most in 1–15: 3 of 14 goals (21%).
• • Karvina concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 9 conceded.
• • Karvina scores 29% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

PardubiceKarvina

4.8Corners won, avg4.5

6.6Corners conceded, avg8.8

11.4Match corners, avg13.3

1.2Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Pardubice				Karvina
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0.5	1	100%	1–10	100%	1	1
0.5	0	50%	11–20	100%	0.5	1
0.5	1	50%	21–30	50%	0	1
0	0.5	50%	31–40	100%	0	2
0	0.5	50%	41–HT	50%	0	0.5
0.5	1	50%	46–55	50%	0	0.5
0	0	0%	56–65	50%	0	1.5
0.5	0	50%	66–75	100%	0	2
3	0.5	100%	76–85	50%	0.5	0
2	0	100%	86–FT	100%	0.5	1
0	1	100%	37–HT	50%	0	0.5
2	0	100%	87–FT	100%	0.5	1

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Pardubiceper matchKarvina

1.03xG for1.28

1.11xG against1.81

10.0Shots13.8

14.2Shots against15.5

2.0Shots on target5.5

5.6On target against5.2

7%Conversion17%

14.9Shots per goal5.9

11.2Fouls12.8

2.0Offsides2.0

• • Pardubice scores 0.36 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Pardubice concedes 0.72 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Karvina scores 1.05 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Karvina concedes 0.31 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.33 goals per match on average.

Based on text commentary events (attacks, shots, corners, goals), not tracking data. Up — home team, down — away team.