Pardubice — Dukla Prague 1:1: match report and statistics

• 1.47 Expected goals (xG) 1.6
• 54% Possession 46%
• 16 Total shots 9
• 4 Shots on target 6
• 3 Big Chances 4
• 6 Corners 3
• 79 (311/394)Assists(251/345) 73
• 2 Yellow cards 1
• 1 Red cards 0
• 0.76 xG on target (xGOT) 1.13
• 8 Shots off target 1
• 4 Shots blocked 2
• 12 Shots from inside the penalty area 8
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 1
• 1 Hit the woodwork 0
• 24 Touches in opposition box 16
• 1 Accurate through passes 1
• 2 Offsides 0
• 9 Free kicks 12
• 48 (25/52)Long Balls(20/63) 32
• 68 (80/117)Passes in final third(56/101) 55
• 33 (9/27)Crosses(3/11) 27
• 1.16 Expected assists (xA) 1.22
• 28 Throw-ins 29
• 12 Fouls 9
• 67 (10/15)Tackles(5/7) 71
• 49 Duels won 36
• 25 Clearances 32
• 15 Steals 11
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 1 Saves 3
• 1.13 xGOT faced 0.76
• 0.13 Goals prevented -0.24

1. 90:00 +4:41Jan Benes is looking at his watch and immediately ends this match.
2. 90:00 +3:50The referee stops play so that a substitution can be made and Daniel Kozma (Dukla Prague) replaces Samuel Isife.
3. 90:00 +1:01Jan Benes blows his whistle and Michal Surzyn (FK Pardubice) is shown a second yellow card for his foul. His manager will not be pleased. He has lot of time to think about it as he walks off.
4. 90:00We will have 3 min. of added time.
5. 88:41FK Pardubice players are exchanging short passes with one another, waiting for the right moment to beat the opposition's defence.
6. 84:09Jan Trousil has decided to substitute Jan Reznicek and he is replaced by Tomas Solil (FK Pardubice).
7. 83:34The manager makes a subsitution with Jan Peterka (Dukla Prague) coming on for Marcel Cermak.
8. 83:29Here is a change. Michal Cernak is going off and David Holoubek gives the last tactical orders to Diego Velasquez (Dukla Prague).
9. 83:23Substitution. Jakub Kadak makes way for Pavel Gaszczyk (Dukla Prague).
10. 82:47Ryan Mahuta (FK Pardubice) sends over a cross, but he can't find any teammate inside the box. Poor delivery. The ball goes out of play and Dukla Prague will have a goal kick.
11. 76:26Filip Vecheta (FK Pardubice) reacts well near the penalty spot to connect with the resulting corner, but fails to direct his header into the back of the net. The ball goes well wide of the left post. The ball goes out of play and Dukla Prague will have a goal kick.
12. 75:57Samuel Simek (FK Pardubice) looks like he will be the one to take the corner kick.
13. 74:42Jan Reznicek (FK Pardubice) sends a pass into the box, but his attempt is thwarted and cleared. The referee and the linesman both signal a throw-in for FK Pardubice.
14. 71:43Michal Surzyn (FK Pardubice) is booked after bringing down an opponent. Jan Benes had an easy-decision to make.
15. 70:544:4 - the latest stats for both teams in respect of shots on target.

Tournament

Czech Republic. Chance Liga

Season

2025/2026

Attendance

1,823

Referee

Jan Benes

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Slavia Prague	30	21	8	1	63:23	+40	71	WLDWW
2	AC Sparta Prague	30	19	6	5	60:33	+27	63	LWWWW
3	Viktoria Plzen	30	15	8	7	50:34	+16	53	WLDDW
4	Jablonec	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51	LLWWD
5	Hradec Kralove	30	14	7	9	43:34	+9	49	WWWWW
6	Slovan Liberec	30	12	10	8	43:30	+13	46	WDLWW
7	Sigma Olomouc	30	12	7	11	34:34	0	43	LWLLL
8	Pardubice	30	11	8	11	39:46	-7	41	WWWWW
9	Karvina	30	12	3	15	43:51	-8	39	LWWLL
10	Bohemians 1905 Prague	30	10	6	14	26:35	-9	36	WWWLL
11	Mlada Boleslav	30	8	11	11	44:52	-8	35	WDDWD
12	Zlin	30	9	7	14	37:48	-11	34	LWLLL
13	Teplice	30	6	11	13	29:38	-9	29	LLLDD
14	Dukla Prague	30	4	11	15	20:42	-22	23	WLDLL
15	1. Slovacko	30	5	8	17	26:45	-19	23	LLLLW
16	Banik Ostrava	30	5	7	18	25:45	-20	22	LLLLL

• Promotion - First League (Championship - Play-offs)
• Promotion - First League (7th-10th Places)
• First League (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 2.24 goals: 1.09 for Pardubice and 1.15 for Dukla Prague.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 0–1 (12%).
• Corners: about 10.2 (5.7 — 4.6).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.32, 2nd — 1.29.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	88%	50%	89%	1.12
Over 1.5	75%	50%	65%	1.53
Over 2.5	50%	33%	39%	2.59
Over 3.5	25%	33%	19%	5.33
Over 4.5	13%	17%	8%	13.10

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (8), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Pardubice Dukla Prague

• Winless in 9 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Over 8.5 corners in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 9

Pardubicematches: 8 · 6Dukla Prague

2.63Avg match total1.84

88%7/8Over 0.550%3/6

13%1/8Under 0.550%3/6

75%6/8Over 1.550%3/6

25%2/8Under 1.550%3/6

50%4/8Over 2.533%2/6

50%4/8Under 2.567%4/6

25%2/8Over 3.533%2/6

75%6/8Under 3.567%4/6

13%1/8Over 4.517%1/6

88%7/8Under 4.583%5/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

PardubiceDukla Prague

29%2/7Scores first0%0/3

50%1/2…and wins—

50%1/2…and draws—

0%0/2…and loses—

100%2/2…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Pardubice opened the scoring in 29% of matches.
• • Pardubice avoided defeat after conceding first in 40% of such matches.
• • Dukla Prague opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Dukla Prague avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Pardubice				Dukla Prague
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	25%	1–15	17%	0	1
1	3	38%	16–30	50%	1	3
1	3	38%	31–45	17%	1	0
3	2	63%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	2	25%	61–75	50%	1	3
2	2	50%	76–90	17%	1	0
0	3	38%	37–HT	17%	1	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Pardubice scores most in 46–60: 3 of 8 goals (38%).
• • Pardubice concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 13 conceded.
• • Pardubice scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Dukla Prague scores most in 16–30: 1 of 4 goals (25%).
• • Dukla Prague concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 7 conceded.
• • Dukla Prague scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

PardubiceDukla Prague

4.9Corners won, avg3.3

5.9Corners conceded, avg6.5

10.7Match corners, avg9.8

1.43Corners in 1st half, avg1.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Pardubice				Dukla Prague
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0.5	0.5	75%	1–10	50%	1	0
0.5	0.3	75%	11–20	50%	0	0.5
0.3	1	50%	21–30	50%	0.5	0
0.3	0.3	50%	31–40	100%	0	1
0.3	0.5	75%	41–HT	0%	0	0
0.8	0.8	75%	46–55	0%	0	0
0.8	0	50%	56–65	100%	0.5	1
0.3	0	25%	66–75	50%	1.5	0
1.8	0.5	100%	76–85	50%	0.5	0.5
1	0.5	75%	86–FT	100%	0	1
0.5	0.8	100%	37–HT	100%	0	1
1	0.5	75%	87–FT	100%	0	1

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Pardubiceper matchDukla Prague

1.46xG for0.62

1.13xG against1.43

11.7Shots5.8

13.6Shots against14.5

3.0Shots on target1.5

5.6On target against5.0

9%Conversion12%

11.7Shots per goal8.6

12.7Fouls16.3

2.0Offsides1.0

• • Pardubice scores 0.46 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Pardubice concedes 0.5 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Dukla Prague scores 0.05 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Dukla Prague concedes 0.26 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.83 goals per match on average.

Based on text commentary events (attacks, shots, corners, goals), not tracking data. Up — home team, down — away team.