Exeter City — Bradford City 1:2: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 0.54 Expected goals (xG) 1.49
• 54% Possession 46%
• 11 Total shots 12
• 3 Shots on target 3
• 1 Big Chances 3
• 6 Corners 7
• 66 (231/350)Assists(176/300) 59
• 3 Yellow cards 1
• 0.77 xG on target (xGOT) 1.79
• 4 Shots off target 4
• 4 Shots blocked 5
• 6 Shots from inside the penalty area 10
• 5 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 18 Touches in opposition box 32
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 0 Offsides 2
• 13 Free kicks 19
• 28 (24/85)Long Balls(20/84) 24
• 53 (70/133)Passes in final third(64/131) 49
• 28 (7/25)Crosses(5/16) 31
• 0.66 Expected assists (xA) 0.85
• 41 Throw-ins 25
• 19 Fouls 13
• 77 (10/13)Tackles(9/12) 75
• 53 Duels won 70
• 39 Clearances 30
• 2 Steals 10
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 1 Errors leading to goal 1
• 1 Saves 2
• 1.79 xGOT faced 0.77
• -0.21 Goals prevented -0.23

1. 90:00 +6:23Second half ends
2. 90:00 +6:19George Lapslie blocks a shot
3. 90:00 +6:19Ryan Rydel has shot blocked (Out of box, Left footed, Open play)
4. 90:00 +4:35Nick Powell wins a corner (To the right)
5. 90:00 +2:33GOAL! Josh Magennis scores, Assisted by Ryan Rydel (Low to the left, 18-yard box, Left footed, From corner)
6. 90:00 +2:02Jayden Wareham wins a corner (To the left)
7. 90:00 +2:01Sam Walker makes a save (Parried safe)
8. 90:00 +2:01Jayden Wareham has attempt saved (High to the centre, 18-yard box, Head, Open play)
9. 88:27Ciarán Kelly is substituted on
10. 88:27Antoni Sarcevic is substituted off
11. 85:06Ryan Rydel recieves a yellow card
12. 84:04Jack Aitchison misses attempt (18-yard box, Right footed, Open play)
13. 83:47Ilmari Niskanen misses attempt (To the left, 18-yard box, Big Chance, Right footed, Open play)
14. 82:31Matthew Pennington is substituted on
15. 82:31Josh Neufville is substituted off

Exeter CityBradford City

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

First League

Season

2025/2026

Attendance

8,015

Referee

Ollie Yates

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Lincoln City	46	31	10	5	89:41	+48	103	WWDWW
2	Cardiff City	46	27	10	9	90:50	+40	91	WWWDW
3	Stockport County	46	22	11	13	71:58	+13	77	LWLDW
4	Bradford City	46	22	11	13	58:51	+7	77	DDDLW
5	Bolton Wanderers	46	19	18	9	70:52	+18	75	DDWLD
6	Stevenage	46	21	12	13	49:46	+3	75	DWDLW
7	Luton Town	46	21	11	14	68:56	+12	74	WWDWW
8	Plymouth Argyle	46	22	7	17	75:63	+12	73	WDWDW
9	Huddersfield Town	46	18	13	15	74:64	+10	67	LDDDW
10	Mansfield Town	46	16	17	13	62:50	+12	65	DWWDL
11	Wycombe Wanderers	46	17	12	17	69:58	+11	63	LLDLL
12	Reading	46	16	15	15	64:60	+4	63	DLLLD
13	Blackpool	46	17	9	20	54:65	-11	60	WWWLW
14	Doncaster Rovers	46	17	9	20	50:69	-19	60	DLWWL
15	Barnsley	46	15	14	17	68:73	-5	59	WLLDD
16	Wigan Athletic	46	14	14	18	49:58	-9	56	LDWWD
17	Burton Albion	46	13	15	18	50:60	-10	54	DDWDD
18	Peterborough United	46	15	8	23	64:68	-4	53	DLDLL
19	Wimbledon	46	15	8	23	51:72	-21	53	WLLLL
20	Leyton Orient	46	14	10	22	59:71	-12	52	LLLLD
21	Exeter City	46	12	13	21	52:61	-9	49	DDDWL
22	Port Vale	46	10	12	24	36:61	-25	42	WLLDW
23	Rotherham United	46	10	11	25	41:71	-30	41	DLWLL
24	Northampton Town	46	9	8	29	39:74	-35	35	LLLLL

• Promotion - Championship
• Promotion - First League (Play-off)
• Relegation - Ligue 2

• The model expects 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Exeter City and 1 for Bradford City.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 1–1 (12%).
• Corners: about 9.6 (4.7 — 4.9).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 15 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.9, 2nd — 1.6.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	90%	100%	92%	1.09
Over 1.5	60%	80%	71%	1.40
Over 2.5	50%	70%	46%	2.19
Over 3.5	20%	10%	24%	4.13
Over 4.5	10%	0%	11%	9.19

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Exeter City Bradford City

• Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 3.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 5.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Exeter Citymatches: 10 · 10Bradford City

2.4Avg match total2.6

90%9/10Over 0.5100%10/10

10%1/10Under 0.50%0/10

60%6/10Over 1.580%8/10

40%4/10Under 1.520%2/10

50%5/10Over 2.570%7/10

50%5/10Under 2.530%3/10

20%2/10Over 3.510%1/10

80%8/10Under 3.590%9/10

10%1/10Over 4.50%0/10

90%9/10Under 4.5100%10/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Exeter CityBradford City

56%5/9Scores first40%4/10

100%5/5…and wins75%3/4

0%0/5…and draws0%0/4

0%0/5…and loses25%1/4

0%0/5…and then concedes50%2/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Exeter City opened the scoring in 56% of matches.
• • Exeter City avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Bradford City opened the scoring in 40% of matches.
• • Bradford City avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Exeter City				Bradford City
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	10%	1–15	20%	0	2
0	2	20%	16–30	40%	2	2
3	1	40%	31–45	50%	1	4
2	0	20%	46–60	60%	2	4
6	4	60%	61–75	50%	4	1
4	1	40%	76–90	30%	2	2
2	0	20%	37–HT	30%	0	3
2	0	20%	87–FT	20%	1	1

• • Exeter City scores most in 61–75: 6 of 15 goals (40%).
• • Exeter City concedes most in 61–75: 4 of 9 conceded.
• • Exeter City scores 67% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Bradford City scores most in 61–75: 4 of 11 goals (36%).
• • Bradford City concedes most in 31–45: 4 of 15 conceded.
• • Bradford City scores 55% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Exeter CityBradford City

5.7Corners won, avg5.5

4.2Corners conceded, avg3.7

9.9Match corners, avg9.2

3.1Corners in 1st half, avg2.4

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Exeter Cityper matchBradford City

1.39xG for1.19

1.23xG against1.24

13.3Shots12.0

12.5Shots against12.4

4.5Shots on target4.3

4.6On target against4.7

11%Conversion9%

8.9Shots per goal10.9

11.1Fouls12.0

1.5Offsides2.0

• • Exeter City scores 0.11 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Exeter City concedes 0.33 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Bradford City scores 0.09 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Bradford City concedes 0.26 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2 goals per match on average.