Grimsby Town — Bristol Rovers 0:1: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 1.13 Expected goals (xG) 0.59
• 67% Possession 33%
• 12 Total shots 8
• 2 Shots on target 3
• 2 Big Chances 0
• 9 Corners 8
• 79 (352/447)Assists(111/220) 50
• 1 Yellow cards 3
• 0.14 xG on target (xGOT) 0.88
• 5 Shots off target 1
• 5 Shots blocked 4
• 8 Shots from inside the penalty area 4
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 33 Touches in opposition box 15
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 4 Offsides 1
• 15 Free kicks 9
• 45 (30/67)Long Balls(20/80) 25
• 67 (88/132)Passes in final third(34/95) 36
• 25 (7/28)Crosses(0/17) 0
• 0.98 Expected assists (xA) 0.27
• 39 Throw-ins 21
• 9 Fouls 15
• 64 (7/11)Tackles(8/16) 50
• 56 Duels won 46
• 33 Clearances 26
• 4 Steals 7
• 1 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 2
• 0.88 xGOT faced 0.14
• -0.12 Goals prevented 0.14

Grimsby TownBristol Rovers

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Tournament

England. League Two

Attendance

7,406

Referee

Neil Hair

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Bromley	46	24	15	7	71:46	+25	87	LDWDW
2	Milton Keynes Dons	46	24	14	8	86:45	+41	86	WLWWW
3	Cambridge United	46	22	16	8	66:33	+33	82	LDDLW
4	Salford City	46	25	6	15	61:51	+10	81	WLLWW
5	Notts County	46	24	8	14	74:52	+22	80	LWWDW
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71:56	+15	79	WWDDL
7	Grimsby Town	46	22	12	12	74:50	+24	78	WLLWW
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	+17	76	WDLWD
9	Swindon Town	46	22	9	15	70:59	+11	75	DWDDL
10	Oldham Athletic	46	18	14	14	60:44	+16	68	LWDLD
11	Crewe Alexandra	46	19	10	17	64:58	+6	67	DWLWW
12	Colchester United	46	18	12	16	62:49	+13	66	WLDDW
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65	LLWLL
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62	WWLLL
15	Fleetwood Town	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61	DWWDL
16	Accrington Stanley	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53	LLWLW
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53	LLLDL
18	Cheltenham Town	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52	LWDWW
19	Shrewsbury Town	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49	LWDWD
20	Newport County	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43	WDWLL
21	Tranmere Rovers	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41	WLDWD
22	Crawley Town	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40	WLLLL
23	Harrogate Town	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39	LLLLW
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36	WLDWD

• Promotion - First League
• Promotion - League 2 (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Relegation - National League

• The model expects 3.25 goals: 2.5 for Grimsby Town and 0.75 for Bristol Rovers.
• Most likely score is 2–0 (12%), followed by 3–0 (10%).
• Corners: about 11 (7 — 4).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.5, 2nd — 1.75.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	100%	100%	84%	1.20
Over 2.5	100%	100%	63%	1.59
Over 3.5	0%	50%	41%	2.45
Over 4.5	0%	0%	23%	4.38

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Grimsby Town Bristol Rovers

• Unbeaten in 5 matches100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Scored first in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Under 9.5 corners in 4 of 5 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 5, away team — 5

Grimsby Townmatches: 2 · 2Bristol Rovers

3.0Avg match total3.5

100%2/2Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/2

100%2/2Over 1.5100%2/2

0%0/2Under 1.50%0/2

100%2/2Over 2.5100%2/2

0%0/2Under 2.50%0/2

0%0/2Over 3.550%1/2

100%2/2Under 3.550%1/2

0%0/2Over 4.50%0/2

100%2/2Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Grimsby TownBristol Rovers

100%2/2Scores first0%0/2

100%2/2…and wins—

0%0/2…and draws—

0%0/2…and loses—

50%1/2…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Grimsby Town opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Bristol Rovers opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Bristol Rovers avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Grimsby Town				Bristol Rovers
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	100%	1–15	0%	0	0
1	0	50%	16–30	50%	0	1
0	0	0%	31–45	100%	0	2
0	1	50%	46–60	0%	0	0
1	0	50%	61–75	100%	2	0
1	0	50%	76–90	50%	0	2
0	0	0%	37–HT	50%	0	1
1	0	50%	87–FT	50%	0	1

• • Grimsby Town scores most in 1–15: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Grimsby Town concedes most in 46–60: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Grimsby Town scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Bristol Rovers scores most in 61–75: 2 of 2 goals (100%).
• • Bristol Rovers concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 5 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Grimsby TownBristol Rovers

11.0Corners won, avg5.0

3.0Corners conceded, avg3.0

14.0Match corners, avg8.0

6.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Grimsby Townper matchBristol Rovers

2.12xG for1.47

0.73xG against1.86

21.0Shots10.5

8.5Shots against13.5

6.0Shots on target2.5

2.0On target against6.5

12%Conversion10%

8.4Shots per goal10.5

12.5Fouls13.5

4.0Offsides2.5

• • Grimsby Town scores 0.38 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Grimsby Town concedes 0.23 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Bristol Rovers scores 0.47 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Bristol Rovers concedes 0.64 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.83 goals per match on average.