Colchester United — Crewe Alexandra 1:1: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 1.37 Expected goals (xG) 0.42
• 65% Possession 35%
• 14 Total shots 5
• 7 Shots on target 1
• 3 Big Chances 0
• 3 Corners 1
• 78 (400/511)Assists(170/267) 64
• 2 Yellow cards 4
• 1.87 xG on target (xGOT) 0.1
• 2 Shots off target 2
• 5 Shots blocked 2
• 7 Shots from inside the penalty area 4
• 7 Shots from outside the penalty area 1
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Goals 0
• 33 Touches in opposition box 11
• 2 Accurate through passes 0
• 0 Offsides 3
• 17 Free kicks 13
• 49 (39/80)Long Balls(14/60) 23
• 66 (111/167)Passes in final third(55/110) 50
• 27 (4/15)Crosses(2/15) 13
• 1.63 Expected assists (xA) 0.45
• 33 Throw-ins 22
• 14 Fouls 17
• 44 (7/16)Tackles(16/28) 57
• 61 Duels won 61
• 30 Clearances 36
• 4 Steals 9
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 0 Saves 6
• 0.1 xGOT faced 1.87
• -0.9 Goals prevented 0.87

Colchester UnitedCrewe Alexandra

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Tournament

England. League Two

Attendance

4,572

Referee

Greg Rollason

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Bromley	46	24	15	7	71:46	+25	87	LDWDW
2	Milton Keynes Dons	46	24	14	8	86:45	+41	86	WLWWW
3	Cambridge United	46	22	16	8	66:33	+33	82	LDDLW
4	Salford City	46	25	6	15	61:51	+10	81	WLLWW
5	Notts County	46	24	8	14	74:52	+22	80	LWWDW
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71:56	+15	79	WWDDL
7	Grimsby Town	46	22	12	12	74:50	+24	78	WLLWW
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	+17	76	WDLWD
9	Swindon Town	46	22	9	15	70:59	+11	75	DWDDL
10	Oldham Athletic	46	18	14	14	60:44	+16	68	LWDLD
11	Crewe Alexandra	46	19	10	17	64:58	+6	67	DWLWW
12	Colchester United	46	18	12	16	62:49	+13	66	WLDDW
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65	LLWLL
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62	WWLLL
15	Fleetwood Town	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61	DWWDL
16	Accrington Stanley	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53	LLWLW
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53	LLLDL
18	Cheltenham Town	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52	LWDWW
19	Shrewsbury Town	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49	LWDWD
20	Newport County	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43	WDWLL
21	Tranmere Rovers	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41	WLDWD
22	Crawley Town	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40	WLLLL
23	Harrogate Town	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39	LLLLW
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36	WLDWD

• Promotion - First League
• Promotion - League 2 (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Relegation - National League

• The model expects 2.84 goals: 0.84 for Colchester United and 2 for Crewe Alexandra.
• Most likely score is 0–1 (12%), followed by 0–2 (12%).
• Corners: about 11.2 (5.5 — 5.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 5 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.83, 2nd — 1.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	94%	1.06
Over 1.5	100%	67%	77%	1.29
Over 2.5	33%	67%	54%	1.86
Over 3.5	0%	67%	32%	3.17
Over 4.5	0%	33%	16%	6.34

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Colchester United Crewe Alexandra

• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• First-half goal in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Under 10.5 corners in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• First-half goal in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 8.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 7

Colchester Unitedmatches: 3 · 3Crewe Alexandra

2.34Avg match total3.3

100%3/3Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/3

100%3/3Over 1.567%2/3

0%0/3Under 1.533%1/3

33%1/3Over 2.567%2/3

67%2/3Under 2.533%1/3

0%0/3Over 3.567%2/3

100%3/3Under 3.533%1/3

0%0/3Over 4.533%1/3

100%3/3Under 4.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Colchester UnitedCrewe Alexandra

33%1/3Scores first67%2/3

0%0/1…and wins100%2/2

0%0/1…and draws0%0/2

100%1/1…and loses0%0/2

100%1/1…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Colchester United opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Colchester United avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Crewe Alexandra opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Crewe Alexandra avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Colchester United				Crewe Alexandra
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	2	100%	1–15	67%	2	0
0	0	0%	16–30	67%	1	1
0	2	33%	31–45	33%	2	0
0	0	0%	46–60	33%	2	0
0	1	33%	61–75	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	76–90	67%	0	2
0	2	33%	37–HT	33%	2	0
1	0	33%	87–FT	33%	0	1

• • Colchester United scores most in 1–15: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Colchester United concedes most in 1–15: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Crewe Alexandra scores most in 1–15: 2 of 7 goals (29%).
• • Crewe Alexandra concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 3 conceded.
• • Crewe Alexandra scores 0% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Colchester UnitedCrewe Alexandra

6.7Corners won, avg5.3

6.0Corners conceded, avg4.3

12.7Match corners, avg9.7

1.67Corners in 1st half, avg3.3

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Colchester Unitedper matchCrewe Alexandra

1.01xG for2.09

0.92xG against1.45

14.3Shots15.3

11.0Shots against12.3

3.7Shots on target7.3

3.3On target against4.3

5%Conversion15%

21.4Shots per goal6.6

10.3Fouls15.3

1.0Offsides3.0

• • Colchester United scores 0.34 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Colchester United concedes 0.75 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Crewe Alexandra scores 0.24 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Crewe Alexandra concedes 0.45 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.67 goals per match on average.