Marsaxlokk — Hamrun Spartans 0:2: match report and statistics

• 52% Possession 48%
• 4 Total shots 6
• 2 Shots on target 4
• 4 Corners 4
• 2 Yellow cards 2
• 2 Shots off target 2

Tournament

Malta. Premier League (First stage - Play Out)

Season

2025/2026

Referee

Ishmael Barbara

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Floriana	11	7	2	2	17:11	+6	23	DWWWW
2	Hamrun Spartans	11	6	4	1	15:6	+9	22	WLWWD
3	Valletta	11	6	4	1	16:8	+8	22	LDWWW
4	Sliema Wanderers	11	5	4	2	16:14	+2	19	DWDWL
5	Marsaxlokk	11	5	3	3	14:11	+3	18	DWDWD
6	Birkirkara	11	4	4	3	12:8	+4	16	LWWDW
7	Hibernians	11	4	3	4	20:18	+2	15	DLLLL
8	Gzira United	11	3	4	4	14:18	-4	13	WDWWL
9	Mosta	11	3	2	6	13:19	-6	11	WLLLL
10	Zabbar Saint Patrick	11	2	4	5	11:14	-3	10	WLLWL
11	Naxxar Lions	11	1	2	8	10:18	-8	5	LLWLL
12	Tarxien Rainbows	11	1	2	8	8:21	-13	5	LLLLL

• Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
• Premier League (First stage - Play Out)

• The model expects 3 goals: 1.5 for Marsaxlokk and 1.5 for Hamrun Spartans.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 1–2 (8%).
• Corners: about 10.5 (7.5 — 3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.5, 2nd — 1.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	100%	50%	80%	1.25
Over 2.5	100%	50%	58%	1.73
Over 3.5	50%	50%	35%	2.83
Over 4.5	0%	0%	18%	5.41

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Marsaxlokk Hamrun Spartans

• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• 3 clean sheets in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 4.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 5, away team — 6

Marsaxlokkmatches: 2 · 2Hamrun Spartans

3.5Avg match total2.5

100%2/2Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/2

100%2/2Over 1.550%1/2

0%0/2Under 1.550%1/2

100%2/2Over 2.550%1/2

0%0/2Under 2.550%1/2

50%1/2Over 3.550%1/2

50%1/2Under 3.550%1/2

0%0/2Over 4.50%0/2

100%2/2Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

MarsaxlokkHamrun Spartans

50%1/2Scores first100%2/2

100%1/1…and wins50%1/2

0%0/1…and draws50%1/2

0%0/1…and loses0%0/2

100%1/1…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Marsaxlokk opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Marsaxlokk avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Hamrun Spartans opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Marsaxlokk				Hamrun Spartans
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	50%	1	0
1	1	50%	16–30	100%	1	1
0	1	50%	31–45	0%	0	0
2	0	50%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	50%	1	0
1	1	50%	76–90	50%	0	1
0	1	50%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	0	50%	87–FT	50%	0	1

• • Marsaxlokk scores most in 46–60: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Marsaxlokk concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Marsaxlokk scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Hamrun Spartans scores most in 1–15: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • Hamrun Spartans concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

MarsaxlokkHamrun Spartans

8.5Corners won, avg2.5

3.5Corners conceded, avg6.5

12.0Match corners, avg9.0

5.5Corners in 1st half, avg1.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.17 goals per match on average.