Hamrun Spartans — Hibernians 2:0: match report and statistics

• 48% Possession 52%
• 11 Total shots 1
• 8 Shots on target 0
• 7 Corners 2
• 2 Yellow cards 1
• 3 Shots off target 1

Tournament

Malta. Premier League

Season

2025/2026

Referee

Alex Johnson

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Floriana	11	7	2	2	17:11	+6	23	DWWWW
2	Hamrun Spartans	11	6	4	1	15:6	+9	22	WLWWD
3	Valletta	11	6	4	1	16:8	+8	22	LDWWW
4	Sliema Wanderers	11	5	4	2	16:14	+2	19	DWDWL
5	Marsaxlokk	11	5	3	3	14:11	+3	18	DWDWD
6	Birkirkara	11	4	4	3	12:8	+4	16	LWWDW
7	Hibernians	11	4	3	4	20:18	+2	15	DLLLL
8	Gzira United	11	3	4	4	14:18	-4	13	WDWWL
9	Mosta	11	3	2	6	13:19	-6	11	WLLLL
10	Zabbar Saint Patrick	11	2	4	5	11:14	-3	10	WLLWL
11	Naxxar Lions	11	1	2	8	10:18	-8	5	LLWLL
12	Tarxien Rainbows	11	1	2	8	8:21	-13	5	LLLLL

• Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
• Premier League (First stage - Play Out)

• The model expects 2.67 goals: 1.34 for Hamrun Spartans and 1.33 for Hibernians.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (9%).
• Corners: about 11.3 (7.7 — 3.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 5 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.33, 2nd — 1.34.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	67%	100%	93%	1.07
Over 1.5	67%	100%	74%	1.34
Over 2.5	0%	100%	50%	2.01
Over 3.5	0%	100%	28%	3.59
Over 4.5	0%	0%	13%	7.58

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Hamrun Spartans Hibernians

• Unbeaten in 7 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Under 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• 4 clean sheets in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Scored over 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 6

Hamrun Spartansmatches: 3 · 3Hibernians

1.33Avg match total4.0

67%2/3Over 0.5100%3/3

33%1/3Under 0.50%0/3

67%2/3Over 1.5100%3/3

33%1/3Under 1.50%0/3

0%0/3Over 2.5100%3/3

100%3/3Under 2.50%0/3

0%0/3Over 3.5100%3/3

100%3/3Under 3.50%0/3

0%0/3Over 4.50%0/3

100%3/3Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Hamrun SpartansHibernians

50%1/2Scores first67%2/3

100%1/1…and wins50%1/2

0%0/1…and draws50%1/2

0%0/1…and loses0%0/2

0%0/1…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Hamrun Spartans opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Hamrun Spartans avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Hibernians opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Hibernians avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Hamrun Spartans				Hibernians
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	33%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	67%	2	1
1	0	33%	31–45	67%	2	1
1	0	33%	46–60	100%	2	2
0	0	0%	61–75	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	76–90	67%	1	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	67%	2	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	33%	1	0

• • Hamrun Spartans scores most in 31–45: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • Hamrun Spartans concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Hibernians scores most in 16–30: 2 of 7 goals (29%).
• • Hibernians concedes most in 46–60: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Hibernians scores 14% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Hamrun SpartansHibernians

8.0Corners won, avg4.3

3.0Corners conceded, avg7.3

11.0Match corners, avg11.7

6.7Corners in 1st half, avg1.33

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.67 goals per match on average.