Rylands — Ashton United 1:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. Premier League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Hebburn Town	40	23	10	7	75:41	+34	79	WWWWW
2	Hednesford Town	40	22	11	7	62:35	+27	77	DWWWW
3	United of Manchester	40	21	9	10	65:41	+24	72	LDLWL
4	Rylands	40	18	13	9	59:42	+17	67	LWWWD
5	Stockton Town	40	18	12	10	62:50	+12	63	WDDLL
6	Lancaster City	40	17	11	12	56:45	+11	62	WDWDW
7	Gainsborough Trinity	40	16	11	13	50:45	+5	59	LLLWL
8	Leek Town	40	17	7	16	50:52	-2	58	WWWWW
9	Cleethorpes Town	40	14	13	13	56:47	+9	55	DLLDW
10	Ashton United	40	14	11	15	47:54	-7	53	DDWLW
11	Ilkeston	40	15	7	18	52:54	-2	52	WDWLD
12	Bamber Bridge	40	14	8	18	52:52	0	50	LLLDL
13	Guiseley	40	13	9	18	46:56	-10	48	DLLDW
14	Warrington Town	40	12	12	16	43:63	-20	48	LLLDL
15	Hyde United	40	11	14	15	58:63	-5	47	WWDWD
16	Rushall Olympic	40	12	11	17	48:61	-13	47	LWWWL
17	Whitby Town	40	10	13	17	43:55	-12	43	DLDLL
18	Workington	40	10	13	17	43:58	-15	43	LWLDL
19	Prescot Cables	40	9	15	16	40:50	-10	42	WWLLL
20	Morpeth Town	40	12	6	22	38:54	-16	42	WLLWL
21	Stocksbridge Park Steels	40	8	12	20	38:65	-27	36	LDLLL

• Promotion - England. National League North
• Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.08 goals: 1.42 for Rylands and 1.67 for Ashton United.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 1–2 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.79, 2nd — 1.29.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	83%	75%	81%	1.23
Over 2.5	67%	50%	59%	1.68
Over 3.5	67%	25%	37%	2.70
Over 4.5	33%	0%	20%	5.04

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Rylands Ashton United

• Winless in 6 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Unbeaten in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Rylandsmatches: 6 · 4Ashton United

3.7Avg match total2.5

100%6/6Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/6Under 0.50%0/4

83%5/6Over 1.575%3/4

17%1/6Under 1.525%1/4

67%4/6Over 2.550%2/4

33%2/6Under 2.550%2/4

67%4/6Over 3.525%1/4

33%2/6Under 3.575%3/4

33%2/6Over 4.50%0/4

67%4/6Under 4.5100%4/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

RylandsAshton United

80%4/5Scores first33%1/3

50%2/4…and wins100%1/1

50%2/4…and draws0%0/1

0%0/4…and loses0%0/1

75%3/4…and then concedes0%0/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Rylands opened the scoring in 80% of matches.
• • Rylands avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Ashton United opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Ashton United avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Rylands				Ashton United
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
4	0	50%	1–15	0%	0	0
2	1	50%	16–30	0%	0	0
2	2	67%	31–45	50%	1	1
0	0	0%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	1	17%	61–75	75%	2	1
2	3	67%	76–90	25%	1	0
1	2	50%	37–HT	50%	1	1
0	1	17%	87–FT	25%	1	0

• • Rylands scores most in 1–15: 4 of 10 goals (40%).
• • Rylands concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 7 conceded.
• • Rylands scores 20% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Ashton United scores most in 61–75: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Ashton United concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Ashton United scores 75% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3 goals per match on average.