Lancaster City — Warrington Town: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

England. Isthmian League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Hebburn Town	40	23	10	7	75:41	+34	79	WWWWW
2	Hednesford Town	40	22	11	7	62:35	+27	77	DWWWW
3	United of Manchester	40	21	9	10	65:41	+24	72	LDLWL
4	Rylands	40	18	13	9	59:42	+17	67	LWWWD
5	Stockton Town	40	18	12	10	62:50	+12	63	WDDLL
6	Lancaster City	40	17	11	12	56:45	+11	62	WDWDW
7	Gainsborough Trinity	40	16	11	13	50:45	+5	59	LLLWL
8	Leek Town	40	17	7	16	50:52	-2	58	WWWWW
9	Cleethorpes Town	40	14	13	13	56:47	+9	55	DLLDW
10	Ashton United	40	14	11	15	47:54	-7	53	DDWLW
11	Ilkeston	40	15	7	18	52:54	-2	52	WDWLD
12	Bamber Bridge	40	14	8	18	52:52	0	50	LLLDL
13	Guiseley	40	13	9	18	46:56	-10	48	DLLDW
14	Warrington Town	40	12	12	16	43:63	-20	48	LLLDL
15	Hyde United	40	11	14	15	58:63	-5	47	WWDWD
16	Rushall Olympic	40	12	11	17	48:61	-13	47	LWWWL
17	Whitby Town	40	10	13	17	43:55	-12	43	DLDLL
18	Workington	40	10	13	17	43:58	-15	43	LWLDL
19	Prescot Cables	40	9	15	16	40:50	-10	42	WWLLL
20	Morpeth Town	40	12	6	22	38:54	-16	42	WLLWL
21	Stocksbridge Park Steels	40	8	12	20	38:65	-27	36	LDLLL

• Promotion - England. National League North
• Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.11 goals: 1.8 for Lancaster City and 1.32 for Warrington Town.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 2–1 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.4, 2nd — 1.72.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	86%	100%	96%	1.05
Over 1.5	57%	90%	82%	1.22
Over 2.5	43%	70%	60%	1.66
Over 3.5	43%	50%	38%	2.64
Over 4.5	14%	40%	20%	4.89

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (7), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Lancaster City Warrington Town

• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• First-half goal in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Unbeaten in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Lancaster Citymatches: 7 · 10Warrington Town

2.43Avg match total3.8

86%6/7Over 0.5100%10/10

14%1/7Under 0.50%0/10

57%4/7Over 1.590%9/10

43%3/7Under 1.510%1/10

43%3/7Over 2.570%7/10

57%4/7Under 2.530%3/10

43%3/7Over 3.550%5/10

57%4/7Under 3.550%5/10

14%1/7Over 4.540%4/10

86%6/7Under 4.560%6/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Lancaster CityWarrington Town

60%3/5Scores first60%6/10

67%2/3…and wins50%3/6

0%0/3…and draws50%3/6

33%1/3…and loses0%0/6

67%2/3…and then concedes100%6/6

First to concede…

Overall

• • Lancaster City opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Lancaster City avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Warrington Town opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Warrington Town avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Lancaster City				Warrington Town
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	29%	1–15	20%	1	2
0	3	43%	16–30	50%	3	2
1	2	29%	31–45	60%	2	5
0	0	0%	46–60	70%	4	6
1	1	29%	61–75	50%	3	3
2	1	43%	76–90	40%	2	5
0	2	29%	37–HT	30%	1	2
0	0	0%	87–FT	20%	1	1

• • Lancaster City scores most in 1–15: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
• • Lancaster City concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 7 conceded.
• • Lancaster City scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Warrington Town scores most in 46–60: 4 of 15 goals (27%).
• • Warrington Town concedes most in 46–60: 6 of 23 conceded.
• • Warrington Town scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.5 goals per match on average.