ADT Tarma — Sport Huancayo 1:0: match report and statistics

• 0.87 Expected goals (xG) 0.22
• 53% Possession 47%
• 12 Total shots 7
• 3 Shots on target 1
• 0 Big Chances 0
• 5 Corners 3
• 80 (246/307)Assists(204/275) 74
• 2 Yellow cards 3
• 1 Red cards 1
• 0.56 xG on target (xGOT) 0.05
• 5 Shots off target 1
• 4 Shots blocked 5
• 7 Shots from inside the penalty area 2
• 6 Shots from outside the penalty area 4
• 1 Hit the woodwork 0
• 22 Touches in opposition box 14
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 0 Offsides 2
• 6 Free kicks 11
• 57 (27/47)Long Balls(20/53) 38
• 61 (67/110)Passes in final third(67/105) 64
• 37 (7/19)Crosses(1/15) 7
• 0.73 Expected assists (xA) 0.41
• 21 Throw-ins 26
• 14 Fouls 6
• 29 (2/7)Tackles(7/11) 64
• 33 Duels won 36
• 25 Clearances 28
• 8 Steals 8
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 1 Saves 2
• 0.05 xGOT faced 0.56
• 0.05 Goals prevented -0.44

Tournament

Peru. Liga 1

Season

2025

Referee

Augusto Menendez

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Club Universitario de Deportes	17	12	4	1	29:13	+16	40	LDWWW
2	Cusco	17	11	3	3	29:15	+14	36	WWDWW
3	Sporting Cristal	17	9	4	4	29:13	+16	31	WWWLL
4	Alianza Lima	17	9	4	4	30:19	+11	31	WDWWL
5	Club Cienciano Cusco	17	8	3	6	25:21	+4	27	WLWWL
6	Deportivo Los Chankas	17	9	0	8	21:28	-7	27	WLWWW
7	Club Comerciantes Unidos	17	7	5	5	20:21	-1	26	DWLWW
8	Melgar	17	6	7	4	24:17	+7	25	DWLDW
9	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	6	7	4	20:21	-1	25	DLLLL
10	ADT Tarma	17	7	4	6	19:20	-1	25	DWLWD
11	Alianza Atletico Sullana	17	6	5	6	15:12	+3	23	WWDLL
12	Sport Huancayo	17	5	3	9	28:28	0	18	LWLLL
13	Alianza Universidad	17	5	2	10	23:33	-10	17	WLDLW
14	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	19:24	-5	16	LLDLD
15	Sport Boys	17	4	4	9	14:25	-11	16	LLDWL
16	Juan Pablo II	17	3	5	9	13:23	-10	14	LWLLL
17	Ayacucho	17	4	2	11	16:29	-13	14	LLLWL
18	Universidad Tecnica de Cajamarca	17	3	4	10	16:28	-12	13	LLDWL
19	EM Deportivo Binacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0	LDWLD

• Promotion - League 1 (Play-off)

• The model expects 2.32 goals: 1.96 for ADT Tarma and 0.36 for Sport Huancayo.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (19%), followed by 2–0 (19%).
• Corners: about 9.1 (4.5 — 4.6).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 5 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1, 2nd — 1.34.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	86%	50%	90%	1.11
Over 1.5	71%	50%	67%	1.48
Over 2.5	43%	50%	41%	2.44
Over 3.5	14%	50%	20%	4.88
Over 4.5	0%	50%	9%	11.61

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (7), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams ADT Tarma Sport Huancayo

• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored under 2.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• At least one team failed to score in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 7.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 4

ADT Tarmamatches: 7 · 2Sport Huancayo

2.14Avg match total2.5

86%6/7Over 0.550%1/2

14%1/7Under 0.550%1/2

71%5/7Over 1.550%1/2

29%2/7Under 1.550%1/2

43%3/7Over 2.550%1/2

57%4/7Under 2.550%1/2

14%1/7Over 3.550%1/2

86%6/7Under 3.550%1/2

0%0/7Over 4.550%1/2

100%7/7Under 4.550%1/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

ADT TarmaSport Huancayo

80%4/5Scores first0%0/1

75%3/4…and wins—

0%0/4…and draws—

25%1/4…and loses—

25%1/4…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • ADT Tarma opened the scoring in 80% of matches.
• • ADT Tarma avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Sport Huancayo opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Sport Huancayo avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

ADT Tarma				Sport Huancayo
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	14%	1–15	50%	0	1
0	1	14%	16–30	50%	0	1
1	0	14%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	46–60	50%	0	1
3	1	57%	61–75	50%	0	1
1	2	43%	76–90	50%	0	1
1	0	14%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	1	29%	87–FT	50%	0	1

• • ADT Tarma scores most in 61–75: 3 of 6 goals (50%).
• • ADT Tarma concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 4 conceded.
• • ADT Tarma scores 67% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Sport Huancayo concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 5 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

ADT TarmaSport Huancayo

4.4Corners won, avg4.0

5.2Corners conceded, avg4.5

9.6Match corners, avg8.5

2.2Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

ADT Tarmaper matchSport Huancayo

1.39xG for0.56

0.75xG against1.78

12.0Shots12.5

13.3Shots against16.5

4.6Shots on target2.5

3.2On target against4.5

12%Conversion0%

8.4Shots per goal—

14.3Fouls12.0

2.5Offsides2.0

• • ADT Tarma scores 0.04 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • ADT Tarma concedes 0.04 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Sport Huancayo scores 0.56 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Sport Huancayo concedes 0.72 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.