Stranraer — Motherwell II: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

Challenge Cup

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Inverness	6	6	0	0	26:4	+22	18	WWWWW
2	Stenhousemuir	6	6	0	0	18:2	+16	18	WWWWW
3	Montrose	6	5	1	0	18:9	+9	16	DWWWW
4	East Fife	6	4	1	1	17:9	+8	13	WWLDW
5	Stranraer	6	4	1	1	12:6	+6	13	WDWLW
6	East Kilbride	6	4	0	2	13:11	+2	12	WWLLW
7	Forfar Athletic	6	4	0	2	10:8	+2	12	WLWWL
8	Edinburgh FC	6	4	0	2	11:10	+1	12	LLWWW
9	Spartans	6	3	2	1	14:8	+6	11	WLWWD
10	Elgin City	6	3	2	1	11:9	+2	11	WDDWW
11	Dumbarton	6	3	2	1	10:8	+2	11	LWDDW
12	Annan Athletic	6	3	1	2	15:10	+5	10	WWDLL
13	Alloa Athletic	6	3	1	2	17:14	+3	10	DWWWL
14	Kelty Hearts	6	3	1	2	9:6	+3	10	LWDWL
15	Clyde	6	3	1	2	14:12	+2	10	DWWWL
16	Queen of the South	6	3	1	2	12:10	+2	10	WDLWW
17	Hamilton Academical	6	3	1	2	13:8	+5	9	WLWWL
18	Stirling Albion	6	3	0	3	9:9	0	9	WWLLW
19	Cove Rangers	6	2	2	2	9:6	+3	8	LWDLW
20	Peterhead	6	2	2	2	10:10	0	8	LLDWD
21	Celtic II	6	2	0	4	12:15	-3	6	LLLLW
22	Heart of Midlothian II	6	2	0	4	9:14	-5	6	WLWLL
23	Hibernian II	6	1	2	3	11:14	-3	5	DWDLL
24	St. Mirren II	6	1	1	4	9:15	-6	4	LLLDW
25	Dundee United II	6	1	0	5	5:18	-13	3	LLLLL
26	Aberdeen II	6	0	1	5	9:20	-11	1	LDLLL
27	Motherwell II	6	0	1	5	2:17	-15	1	LLLLL
28	Rangers II	6	0	0	6	6:16	-10	0	LLLLL
29	Kilmarnock II	6	0	0	6	3:19	-16	0	LLLLL
30	Dundee II	6	0	0	6	4:21	-17	0	LLLLL

• Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play-off: Round of 32)

• The model expects 2.84 goals: 2.13 for Stranraer and 0.71 for Motherwell II.
• Most likely score is 2–0 (13%), followed by 1–0 (12%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.2, 2nd — 1.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	83%	94%	1.06
Over 1.5	100%	67%	77%	1.29
Over 2.5	50%	67%	54%	1.86
Over 3.5	25%	50%	32%	3.17
Over 4.5	25%	0%	16%	6.34

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Stranraer Motherwell II

• Winless in 8 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Lost 7 of 8 matches88%
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 matches86%
• At least one team failed to score in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Failed to score in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 8

Stranraermatches: 4 · 6Motherwell II

3.0Avg match total2.67

100%4/4Over 0.583%5/6

0%0/4Under 0.517%1/6

100%4/4Over 1.567%4/6

0%0/4Under 1.533%2/6

50%2/4Over 2.567%4/6

50%2/4Under 2.533%2/6

25%1/4Over 3.550%3/6

75%3/4Under 3.550%3/6

25%1/4Over 4.50%0/6

75%3/4Under 4.5100%6/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

StranraerMotherwell II

75%3/4Scores first25%1/4

67%2/3…and wins0%0/1

33%1/3…and draws0%0/1

0%0/3…and loses100%1/1

100%3/3…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Stranraer opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Stranraer avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Motherwell II opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • Motherwell II avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Stranraer				Motherwell II
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	25%	1–15	17%	0	1
0	0	0%	16–30	33%	0	3
2	1	50%	31–45	33%	0	3
1	1	25%	46–60	17%	0	1
0	1	25%	61–75	17%	0	1
3	2	75%	76–90	50%	1	2
2	1	50%	37–HT	17%	0	1
1	0	25%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Stranraer scores most in 76–90: 3 of 7 goals (43%).
• • Stranraer concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Stranraer scores 43% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Motherwell II scores most in 76–90: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Motherwell II concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 11 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.