Nantwich Town — Trafford 3:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. FA Cup

• The model expects 3 goals: 1.46 for Nantwich Town and 1.54 for Trafford.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 1–2 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 7 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.92, 2nd — 1.42.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	83%	50%	80%	1.25
Over 2.5	67%	25%	58%	1.73
Over 3.5	50%	25%	35%	2.83
Over 4.5	0%	25%	18%	5.41

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Nantwich Town Trafford

• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• First-half goal in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Unbeaten in 7 of 10 matches70%
• First-half goal in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Nantwich Townmatches: 6 · 4Trafford

3.0Avg match total3.0

100%6/6Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/6Under 0.50%0/4

83%5/6Over 1.550%2/4

17%1/6Under 1.550%2/4

67%4/6Over 2.525%1/4

33%2/6Under 2.575%3/4

50%3/6Over 3.525%1/4

50%3/6Under 3.575%3/4

0%0/6Over 4.525%1/4

100%6/6Under 4.575%3/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Nantwich TownTrafford

60%3/5Scores first100%1/1

33%1/3…and wins100%1/1

0%0/3…and draws0%0/1

67%2/3…and loses0%0/1

67%2/3…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Nantwich Town opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Nantwich Town avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Trafford opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Nantwich Town				Trafford
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	33%	1–15	25%	1	0
1	0	17%	16–30	25%	3	0
4	2	67%	31–45	25%	0	1
1	3	50%	46–60	0%	0	0
1	0	17%	61–75	25%	0	2
0	2	33%	76–90	25%	1	0
2	1	50%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Nantwich Town scores most in 31–45: 4 of 8 goals (50%).
• • Nantwich Town concedes most in 46–60: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Nantwich Town scores 13% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Trafford scores most in 16–30: 3 of 5 goals (60%).
• • Trafford concedes most in 61–75: 2 of 3 conceded.
• • Trafford scores 20% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.