Noah Yerevan II — Andranik 0:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Armenia. First League

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Sardarapat	30	24	4	2	81:18	+63	76	WWDWD
2	CSKA Yerevan II	30	22	5	3	77:31	+46	71	WWWDW
3	Hayq	30	22	2	6	59:24	+35	68	WWWWD
4	Syunik	30	22	1	7	83:26	+57	67	WLLWL
5	Andranik	30	21	3	6	76:30	+46	66	WWWDW
6	Pyunik Academia	30	12	8	10	43:43	0	44	WWWLW
7	Ararat Yerevan II	30	12	2	16	43:58	-15	38	LLLLL
8	Avshar Ararat	30	11	4	15	38:51	-13	37	LWLWL
9	Urartu II	30	9	9	12	46:54	-8	36	WLDLW
10	Noah Yerevan II	30	8	7	15	39:58	-19	31	WWLDW
11	Bentonit	30	7	8	15	33:49	-16	29	LLWDW
12	Mika	30	7	7	16	32:60	-28	28	LLWLL
13	Ararat Armenia II	30	6	6	18	46:62	-16	24	LLWLL
14	Van II	30	6	6	18	33:58	-25	24	LWLLW
15	Lernayin Artsakh	30	7	2	21	22:74	-52	23	LLLLL
16	Shirak II	30	4	6	20	34:89	-55	18	LLWLL

• Promotion - Premier League

• The model expects 4.75 goals: 2 for Noah Yerevan II and 2.75 for Andranik.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (7%), followed by 2–2 (7%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 2 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.5, 2nd — 2.25.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	99%	1.01
Over 1.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 2.5	50%	100%	85%	1.17
Over 3.5	50%	50%	70%	1.43
Over 4.5	50%	50%	51%	1.94

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Noah Yerevan IImatches: 2 · 2Andranik

5.0Avg match total4.5

100%2/2Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/2

100%2/2Over 1.5100%2/2

0%0/2Under 1.50%0/2

50%1/2Over 2.5100%2/2

50%1/2Under 2.50%0/2

50%1/2Over 3.550%1/2

50%1/2Under 3.550%1/2

50%1/2Over 4.550%1/2

50%1/2Under 4.550%1/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Noah Yerevan IIAndranik

100%1/1Scores first100%1/1

0%0/1…and wins100%1/1

100%1/1…and draws0%0/1

0%0/1…and loses0%0/1

100%1/1…and then concedes0%0/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Noah Yerevan II opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Andranik opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Noah Yerevan II				Andranik
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	50%	1–15	50%	1	0
0	0	0%	16–30	50%	1	0
0	0	0%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	1	50%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	50%	1	0
0	0	0%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Noah Yerevan II scores most in 1–15: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Noah Yerevan II concedes most in 46–60: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Andranik scores most in 1–15: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 3.5 goals per match on average.