Bassano — Calvi Noale 0:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Italy. Serie D

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Treviso	34	21	6	7	50:25	+25	69	LLWLW
2	Legnago Salus S.S.D	34	18	7	9	63:41	+22	61	WWDDD
3	Clodiense SSD	34	17	9	8	47:29	+18	60	WWDLL
4	Brian Lignano	34	16	8	10	58:34	+24	56	WDWWW
5	Este	34	14	13	7	40:29	+11	55	WWDDL
6	AC Mestre	34	14	13	7	37:29	+8	55	WLDWL
7	Cjarlins Muzane	34	13	12	9	41:39	+2	51	LWLDW
8	Bassano	34	12	14	8	37:27	+10	50	LDWLW
9	Conegliano	34	13	11	10	36:28	+8	50	LDDWW
10	ASD Campodarsego	34	13	9	12	37:34	+3	48	WLWWL
11	Unione La Rocca	34	10	16	8	28:24	+4	46	WWDWL
12	Calvi Noale	34	13	5	16	38:40	-2	44	WWWWW
13	Luparense	34	10	13	11	36:39	-3	43	LWDLD
14	Vigasio	34	8	14	12	44:46	-2	38	LLLWW
15	San Luigi Calcio	34	8	10	16	33:54	-21	34	DLLLD
16	Obermais	34	8	10	16	33:46	-13	34	DDDDD
17	Adriese	34	5	6	23	24:62	-38	21	LLLLL
18	A.S.D. Portogruaro	34	1	8	25	25:81	-56	11	LLLLL

• Promotion
• Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play-off)
• Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
• Серия D - Группа C (Дополнительный матч)(Stat)
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.25 goals: 1.25 for Bassano and 1 for Calvi Noale.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (13%), followed by 1–1 (13%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 11 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.75, 2nd — 1.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	90%	80%	89%	1.12
Over 1.5	70%	70%	66%	1.52
Over 2.5	40%	40%	39%	2.56
Over 3.5	20%	30%	19%	5.25
Over 4.5	0%	10%	8%	12.82

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Bassano Calvi Noale

• 5 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 5 matches100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Unbeaten in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Bassanomatches: 10 · 10Calvi Noale

2.2Avg match total2.3

90%9/10Over 0.580%8/10

10%1/10Under 0.520%2/10

70%7/10Over 1.570%7/10

30%3/10Under 1.530%3/10

40%4/10Over 2.540%4/10

60%6/10Under 2.560%6/10

20%2/10Over 3.530%3/10

80%8/10Under 3.570%7/10

0%0/10Over 4.510%1/10

100%10/10Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

BassanoCalvi Noale

78%7/9Scores first25%2/8

57%4/7…and wins100%2/2

43%3/7…and draws0%0/2

0%0/7…and loses0%0/2

57%4/7…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Bassano opened the scoring in 78% of matches.
• • Bassano avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Calvi Noale opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • Calvi Noale avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Bassano				Calvi Noale
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
5	1	60%	1–15	10%	0	1
2	1	30%	16–30	10%	2	0
1	1	20%	31–45	10%	0	1
3	0	30%	46–60	40%	2	4
1	2	30%	61–75	50%	5	2
2	3	40%	76–90	50%	3	3
1	1	20%	37–HT	10%	0	1
0	2	10%	87–FT	40%	2	2

• • Bassano scores most in 1–15: 5 of 14 goals (36%).
• • Bassano concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Bassano scores 21% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Calvi Noale scores most in 61–75: 5 of 12 goals (42%).
• • Calvi Noale concedes most in 46–60: 4 of 11 conceded.
• • Calvi Noale scores 67% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 3 · 1 goals per match on average.