Zhetysu — Tobol Kostanay 1:2: match report and statistics

Kazakhstan. Premier League · 19.10.2025 10:00 · Finished

Compare teams
Sayat Karabaev (Kazakhstan)
Zhetysu
Finished1 : 219.10.2025 10:00
Tobol Kostanay

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Zhetysu0%
  • Draw0%
  • Tobol Kostanay0%

Overview

The Kazakhstan. Premier League match Zhetysu – Tobol Kostanay on 19.10.2025 10:00 (UTC) finished 1:2. The win went to Tobol Kostanay. Goals: Soslan Takulov 4', Marko Vukcevic 55', Nikolay Signevich 66'.

Zhetysu, last 6 games: won 1, drawn 2, lost 3. Tobol Kostanay, last 6 games: won 3, drawn 1, lost 2.

All meetings of Zhetysu and Tobol Kostanay: 20 (wins of Zhetysu: 1, wins of Tobol Kostanay: 4, draws: 1). The last meeting on 21.06.2025 15:00 ended Tobol Kostanay 2:1 Zhetysu.

Zhetysu in the standings: place 12, points 21, played 26. Tobol Kostanay in the standings: place 3, points 54, played 26.

Statistics and results: Zhetysu statistics, Tobol Kostanay statistics, Kazakhstan. Premier League standings and results.

More matches: Football matches today. The statistics are powered by SportAPI.

Score by periods

Team12Σ
Zhetysu
101
Tobol Kostanay
022

Match events

Match statistics

  • 45% Possession 55%
  • 12 Total shots 25
  • 5 Shots on target 9
  • 1 Corners 10
  • 3 Yellow cards 0
  • 6 Shots off target 9
  • 1 Shots blocked 7
  • 1 Offsides 0
  • 10 Free kicks 11
  • 14 Throw-ins 26
  • 17 Fouls 11

Lineups

Lead tracker

Zhetysu +1Biggest lead+1 Tobol Kostanay
12

Head-to-head

Matches played: 20
draws: 1

1 / 20
Wins
4 / 20
4 / 13
Goals
9 / 13
15 / 27
Yellow cards
12 / 27
0 / 0
Red cards
0 / 0
Matches
21.06.2025Finished
Tobol Kostanay2 : 1Zhetysu
13.04.2025Finished
Tobol Kostanay1 : 0Zhetysu
18.08.2024Finished
Zhetysu0 : 3Tobol Kostanay
04.05.2024Finished
Tobol Kostanay1 : 0Zhetysu
24.09.2023Finished
Tobol Kostanay1 : 2Zhetysu
02.04.2023Finished
Zhetysu1 : 1Tobol Kostanay

Previous matches: Zhetysu

05.10.2025Finished
Kairat5 : 0Zhetysu
L
16.09.2025Finished
Zhetysu1 : 1Kaysar
D
24.08.2025Finished
Aktobe3 : 2Zhetysu
L
17.08.2025Finished
Zhetysu0 : 0Atyrau
D
09.08.2025Finished
Okzhetpes3 : 0Zhetysu
L
03.08.2025Finished
Zhetysu1 : 0Turan Turkistan
W

Previous matches: Tobol Kostanay

04.10.2025Finished
Ordabasy0 : 2Tobol Kostanay
W
28.09.2025Finished
Tobol Kostanay1 : 0Kaysar
W
24.09.2025Finished
Tobol Kostanay1 : 0Ordabasy
W
19.09.2025Finished
Tobol Kostanay2 : 3Astana
L
13.09.2025Finished
Atyrau1 : 0Tobol Kostanay
L

Match info

Tournament
Premier League
Season
2025
Attendance
2,500
Referee
Sayat Karabaev

Upcoming matches: Zhetysu

11.04.2026Match starts
Zhetysu11:00Elimai

Upcoming matches: Tobol Kostanay

11.04.2026Match starts
Tobol Kostanay12:00Kairat

Kazakhstan. Premier League

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Kairat26185353:19+3459
2Astana26176366:30+3657
3Tobol Kostanay26166445:25+2054
4Elimai26146647:31+1648
5Aktobe26134939:29+1043
6Jenis26812637:30+736
7Ordabasy2698937:28+935
8Гареджи Сагареджо(Stat)261051137:43-635
9Kyzylzhar26691125:32-727
10Ulytau26581320:41-2123
11Kaysar263131024:42-1822
12Zhetysu26491319:43-2421
13Atyrau26471522:45-2319
14Turan Turkistan26441825:58-3316
  • Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
  • Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Qualification)
  • Relegation - First League

Match forecast

Quick readEven matchOver 2.5 37%Both teams to score 43%Goal peak 31-45
26%Win · Zhetysu3.78
29%Draw3.48
45%Win · Tobol Kostanay2.23
2.17Expected goals
8.8Expected corners
5.1Expected cards
  • The model expects 2.17 goals: 0.9 for Zhetysu and 1.27 for Tobol Kostanay.
  • Most likely score is 0–1 (15%), followed by 1–1 (13%).
  • Corners: about 8.8 (3.7 — 5.1).
  • Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 8 in total.
  • Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.11, 2nd — 1.06.

Correct score by the model

0–114.5%1–113.1%0–011.5%1–010.3%0–29.2%1–28.3%2–15.9%2–04.6%0–33.9%

Scores 4+ goals: Zhetysu — 1%, Tobol Kostanay — 4%

MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Over 0.589%80%89%1.13
Over 1.567%60%64%1.57
Over 2.544%20%37%2.72
Over 3.533%20%17%5.75
Over 4.50%20%7%14.54

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (9), away team away (5). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Trends

  • Winless in 6 matches100%
  • Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
  • Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
  • Won 6 of 7 matches after scoring first86%
  • Under 9.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%
  • Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
  • Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
  • Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
  • Over 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
  • Scored first in 7 of 9 matches78%
  • Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
  • Conceded over 0.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Markets by recent matches

Zhetysumatches: 9 · 5Tobol Kostanay
2.33Avg match total2.0
89%8/9Over 0.580%4/5
11%1/9Under 0.520%1/5
67%6/9Over 1.560%3/5
33%3/9Under 1.540%2/5
44%4/9Over 2.520%1/5
56%5/9Under 2.580%4/5
33%3/9Over 3.520%1/5
67%6/9Under 3.580%4/5
0%0/9Over 4.520%1/5
100%9/9Under 4.580%4/5

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First goal and after

First to score…

ZhetysuTobol Kostanay
50%4/8Scores first75%3/4
50%2/4…and wins67%2/3
50%2/4…and draws33%1/3
0%0/4…and loses0%0/3
50%2/4…and then concedes67%2/3

First to concede…

50%4/8Concedes first25%1/4
75%3/4…and then scores0%0/1
25%1/4…and comes back to win0%0/1
0%0/4…and saves a draw0%0/1

Overall

0%0/9Scores in both halves40%2/5
78%7/9Scores at all60%3/5
  • • Zhetysu opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
  • • Zhetysu avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.
  • • Tobol Kostanay opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
  • • Tobol Kostanay avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Goals by time

matches: 9 · 5
ZhetysuTobol Kostanay
ForAg.%Period%ForAg.
1011%1–1520%10
2233%16–3040%20
1544%31–4540%11
1233%46–6020%01
1333%61–7540%12
3033%76–9020%10
1344%37–HT40%11
3033%87–FT0%00
  • • Zhetysu scores most in 76–90: 3 of 9 goals (33%).
  • • Zhetysu concedes most in 31–45: 5 of 12 conceded.
  • • Zhetysu scores 44% of goals after the 60th minute.
  • • Tobol Kostanay scores most in 16–30: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
  • • Tobol Kostanay concedes most in 61–75: 2 of 4 conceded.
  • • Tobol Kostanay scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
  • Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Corners and cards

Averages per match

ZhetysuTobol Kostanay
2.56Corners won, avg5.2
5.0Corners conceded, avg4.8
7.6Match corners, avg10.0
1.44Corners in 1st half, avg3.2

Match total

56%5/9Over 7.580%4/5
22%2/9Over 8.580%4/5
22%2/9Over 9.580%4/5
22%2/9Over 10.560%3/5
0%0/9Over 11.520%1/5

1st half total

67%6/9Over 2.580%4/5
44%4/9Over 3.560%3/5
11%1/9Over 4.560%3/5
0%0/9Over 5.560%3/5

Team total

33%3/9Team over 2.5 corners100%5/5
22%2/9Team over 3.5 corners60%3/5
22%2/9Team over 4.5 corners40%2/5
22%2/9Team over 5.5 corners40%2/5
11%1/9Team over 6.5 corners40%2/5

Corner handicap

11%1/9Handicap -2.540%2/5
11%1/9Handicap -1.540%2/5
22%2/9Handicap -0.540%2/5
22%2/9Handicap +0.560%3/5
33%3/9Handicap +1.560%3/5
33%3/9Handicap +2.580%4/5

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

xG and shots

Zhetysuper matchTobol Kostanay
9.2Shots12.4
13.6Shots against14.2
4.1Shots on target4.2
3.9On target against4.6
11%Conversion10%
9.2Shots per goal10.3
14.0Fouls17.8
1.0Offsides1.6

Half-time / full-time

Row — after the 1st half, column — final result

Zhetysumatches: 9

Full-time: WFull-time: DFull-time: LHalf-time: W0led and won1led, drew0led, lostHalf-time: D2level → won2draw1level → lostHalf-time: L1comeback win0trailed → drew2trailed and lost
Frequent scores (own : opponent)1:0 ×21:3 ×21:1 ×10:0 ×10:2 ×12:2 ×1

Tobol Kostanaymatches: 5

Full-time: WFull-time: DFull-time: LHalf-time: W2led and won0led, drew0led, lostHalf-time: D0level → won2draw1level → lostHalf-time: L0comeback win0trailed → drew0trailed and lost
Frequent scores (own : opponent)0:1 ×12:0 ×10:0 ×13:2 ×11:1 ×1

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Markets in head-to-head

67%Over 1.54 of 6
50%Over 2.53 of 6
0%Over 3.50 of 6
50%Both teams to score3 of 6
17%Zhetysu wins1 of 6
67%Tobol Kostanay wins4 of 6
17%Draw1 of 6

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.17 goals per match on average.

Match profile