Scotland — Denmark 4:2: match report and statistics

• 1.76 Expected goals (xG) 2.19
• 30% Possession 70%
• 10 Total shots 18
• 5 Shots on target 3
• 2 Big Chances 2
• 2 Corners 9
• 73 (188/259)Assists(536/607) 88
• 1 Yellow cards 3
• 0 Red cards 1
• 2.19 xG on target (xGOT) 2.37
• 2 Shots off target 8
• 3 Shots blocked 7
• 7 Shots from inside the penalty area 10
• 3 Shots from outside the penalty area 8
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 14 Touches in opposition box 40
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 1 Offsides 1
• 12 Free kicks 15
• 36 (17/47)Long Balls(18/42) 43
• 55 (33/60)Passes in final third(167/201) 83
• 25 (4/16)Crosses(8/33) 24
• 0.43 Expected assists (xA) 1.63
• 16 Throw-ins 19
• 15 Fouls 12
• 73 (19/26)Tackles(15/20) 75
• 57 Duels won 61
• 38 Clearances 20
• 12 Steals 7
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 1
• 1 Saves 1
• 2.37 xGOT faced 2.19
• 0.37 Goals prevented -1.81

1. 90:00 +9:47Szymon Marciniak is looking at his watch and immediately ends this match.
2. 90:00 +7:36What a beautiful moment! Kenny McLean (Scotland) got to the ball and unleashed a strong shot from distance. It turned out to be a good decision as his effort found its way inside the left post. Kasper Schmeichel just shakes his head in disbelief. The score changes to 4:2.
3. 90:00 +4:51Kieran Tierney (Scotland) is shown a yellow card by the referee.
4. 90:00 +2:54Kieran Tierney (Scotland) quickly gets to a rebound. He is not worried how far out he is and slams the ball towards the goal. To the amazement of all, it goes inside the left post. He makes it 3:2 with this magnificent strike.
5. 90:00 +2:35John McGinn (Scotland) produces a long-range volley, but the ball was blocked by a defender on its way.
6. 90:00There will be a minimum of 6 min. of added time.
7. 89:37A substitution has been made. Gustav Isaksen is replaced by Mika Biereth (Denmark).
8. 86:17John McGinn (Scotland) fires a wonderful strike towards goal, but it's a whisker wide of the left post.
9. 85:27Lewis Ferguson (Scotland) gets on the end of a pass on the edge of the box but his shot is blocked.
10. 84:16John McGinn (Scotland) takes the corner kick but the ball only finds the head of an opponent.
11. 83:58The referee signals that it is time for a substitution and Christian Norgaard (Denmark) comes onto the pitch so that Rasmus Hojlund can be given a rest.
12. 80:29Patrick Dorgu (Denmark) collects a sweet pass and fires a low shot into the bottom left corner. What a goal!
13. 77:57Lawrence Shankland (Scotland) scores from the corner kick. The ball slipped through the box to Lawrence Shankland (Scotland) and he slotted it past the goalkeeper.
14. 77:23Lewis Ferguson (Scotland) will deliver the ball into the penalty box from a corner kick.
15. 76:54The ball falls to Lawrence Shankland (Scotland), but his shot towards the middle of the goal is weak and Kasper Schmeichel makes an easy save.

ScotlandDenmark

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

World Cup

Season

2026

Attendance

49,587

Referee

Szymon Marciniak

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Germany	6	5	0	1	16:3	+13	15	WWWWW
2	Slovakia	6	4	0	2	6:8	-2	12	LWWLW
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	0	3	7:6	+1	9	WLLWL
4	Luxembourg	6	0	0	6	1:13	-12	0	LLLLL

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	+12	14	DWDWW
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	+1	11	DWWDW
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	-5	4	DLDDL
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	-8	2	DLLLL

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	+6	13	WLWWW
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	+9	11	LDWWW
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	-2	7	DWLLL
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	-13	2	DDLLL

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	+12	16	WWDWW
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	-1	10	WLWWD
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	+2	7	LWDLL
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	-13	1	LLLLD

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	+19	16	DWWWW
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	+5	13	DWWWL
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	-8	3	LLLLW
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	-16	3	WLLLL

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	+13	13	WLDWW
2	Republic of Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	+2	10	WWWLL
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	+1	8	LWDWL
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	-16	3	LLLLW

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	+23	20	WDWWW
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	+7	17	WDWWD
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	-6	10	LLWLW
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	-15	5	LWLDL
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	-9	3	LLLLD

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	+18	19	DWLWW
2	Bosnia and Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	+10	17	DWDLW
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	+9	13	WLWDW
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	0	8	LWDDL
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	-37	0	LLLLL

Group I

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	+32	24	WWWWW
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	+9	18	LWWWW
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	-1	12	WLLLW
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	-13	4	LDLLL
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	-27	1	LLDLL

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	+22	18	WDWDW
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	+10	16	WWLWL
3	Republic of North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	+3	13	LDDWW
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	-4	8	DDWLL
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	-31	0	LLLLL

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	+22	24	WWWWW
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	+2	14	LWWWD
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	-1	13	WLWLL
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	-10	5	LLDLL
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	-13	1	LLDLL

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	+22	22	WWWDW
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	+10	16	WLDWL
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	+2	12	LWWWL
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	-9	9	LWLLL
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	-25	0	LLLLL

• Promotion - World Cup
• Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)

• The model expects 4.17 goals: 1.84 for Scotland and 2.34 for Denmark.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (8%), followed by 2–2 (7%).
• Corners: about 12.5 (6.5 — 6).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.5, 2nd — 2.34.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	100%	100%	92%	1.09
Over 2.5	100%	100%	79%	1.27
Over 3.5	0%	67%	60%	1.67
Over 4.5	0%	67%	40%	2.47

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (1), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Scotland Denmark

• Unbeaten in 7 matches100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored over 1.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Unbeaten in 7 of 8 matches88%
• First-half goal in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Over 9.5 corners in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Over 1.5 cards in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Won 4 of 5 matches after scoring first80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 4, away team — 8

Scotlandmatches: 1 · 3Denmark

3.0Avg match total5.3

100%1/1Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/1Under 0.50%0/3

100%1/1Over 1.5100%3/3

0%0/1Under 1.50%0/3

100%1/1Over 2.5100%3/3

0%0/1Under 2.50%0/3

0%0/1Over 3.567%2/3

100%1/1Under 3.533%1/3

0%0/1Over 4.567%2/3

100%1/1Under 4.533%1/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

ScotlandDenmark

100%1/1Scores first67%2/3

100%1/1…and wins100%2/2

0%0/1…and draws0%0/2

0%0/1…and loses0%0/2

100%1/1…and then concedes0%0/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Scotland opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Denmark opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Denmark avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Scotland				Denmark
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	100%	1–15	33%	1	0
0	0	0%	16–30	33%	1	0
0	0	0%	31–45	100%	3	1
0	0	0%	46–60	33%	1	0
0	0	0%	61–75	100%	2	1
1	1	100%	76–90	100%	3	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	67%	2	1
0	1	100%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Scotland scores most in 1–15: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Scotland concedes most in 76–90: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Denmark scores most in 31–45: 3 of 11 goals (27%).
• • Denmark concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Denmark scores 45% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

ScotlandDenmark

7.0Corners won, avg6.0

6.0Corners conceded, avg6.0

13.0Match corners, avg12.0

4.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Scotlandper matchDenmark

1.23xG for2.88

1.28xG against1.27

12.0Shots17.7

22.0Shots against9.0

6.0Shots on target8.0

3.0On target against4.3

17%Conversion21%

6.0Shots per goal4.8

10.0Fouls14.0

2.0Offsides0.33

• • Scotland scores 0.77 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Scotland concedes 0.28 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Denmark scores 0.79 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Denmark concedes 0.4 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 1.75 goals per match on average.

Based on text commentary events (attacks, shots, corners, goals), not tracking data. Up — home team, down — away team.