Dukla Prague — Sigma Olomouc: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

Czech Republic. Chance Liga

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Slavia Prague	30	21	8	1	63:23	+40	71	WLDWW
2	AC Sparta Prague	30	19	6	5	60:33	+27	63	LWWWW
3	Viktoria Plzen	30	15	8	7	50:34	+16	53	WLDDW
4	Jablonec	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51	LLWWD
5	Hradec Kralove	30	14	7	9	43:34	+9	49	WWWWW
6	Slovan Liberec	30	12	10	8	43:30	+13	46	WDLWW
7	Sigma Olomouc	30	12	7	11	34:34	0	43	LWLLL
8	Pardubice	30	11	8	11	39:46	-7	41	WWWWW
9	Karvina	30	12	3	15	43:51	-8	39	LWWLL
10	Bohemians 1905 Prague	30	10	6	14	26:35	-9	36	WWWLL
11	Mlada Boleslav	30	8	11	11	44:52	-8	35	WDDWD
12	Zlin	30	9	7	14	37:48	-11	34	LWLLL
13	Teplice	30	6	11	13	29:38	-9	29	LLLDD
14	Dukla Prague	30	4	11	15	20:42	-22	23	WLDLL
15	1. Slovacko	30	5	8	17	26:45	-19	23	LLLLW
16	Banik Ostrava	30	5	7	18	25:45	-20	22	LLLLL

• Promotion - First League (Championship - Play-offs)
• Promotion - First League (7th-10th Places)
• First League (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 1.98 goals: 0.93 for Dukla Prague and 1.06 for Sigma Olomouc.
• Most likely score is 0–1 (14%), followed by 0–0 (14%).
• Corners: about 8.3 (3.9 — 4.4).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 9 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.51, 2nd — 0.63.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	86%	100%	86%	1.16
Over 1.5	57%	50%	59%	1.70
Over 2.5	14%	38%	32%	3.13
Over 3.5	14%	25%	14%	7.13
Over 4.5	0%	13%	5%	19.49

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (7), away team away (8). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Dukla Prague Sigma Olomouc

• Unbeaten in 10 matches100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 11.5 corners in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Over 1.5 cards in 8 of 9 matches89%
• First-half goal in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored first in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Dukla Praguematches: 7 · 8Sigma Olomouc

1.72Avg match total2.25

86%6/7Over 0.5100%8/8

14%1/7Under 0.50%0/8

57%4/7Over 1.550%4/8

43%3/7Under 1.550%4/8

14%1/7Over 2.538%3/8

86%6/7Under 2.563%5/8

14%1/7Over 3.525%2/8

86%6/7Under 3.575%6/8

0%0/7Over 4.513%1/8

100%7/7Under 4.588%7/8

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Dukla PragueSigma Olomouc

67%4/6Scores first50%4/8

50%2/4…and wins75%3/4

25%1/4…and draws25%1/4

25%1/4…and loses0%0/4

50%2/4…and then concedes75%3/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Dukla Prague opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Dukla Prague avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Sigma Olomouc opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Sigma Olomouc avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.

Dukla Prague				Sigma Olomouc
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	29%	1–15	38%	2	1
1	1	29%	16–30	38%	3	2
2	3	57%	31–45	38%	2	2
0	0	0%	46–60	13%	0	1
1	1	29%	61–75	38%	2	1
0	1	14%	76–90	13%	1	1
1	2	43%	37–HT	25%	2	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	13%	1	0

• • Dukla Prague scores most in 1–15: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
• • Dukla Prague concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 6 conceded.
• • Dukla Prague scores 17% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Sigma Olomouc scores most in 16–30: 3 of 10 goals (30%).
• • Sigma Olomouc concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 8 conceded.
• • Sigma Olomouc scores 30% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Dukla PragueSigma Olomouc

3.8Corners won, avg3.8

5.0Corners conceded, avg4.0

8.8Match corners, avg7.8

1.67Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Dukla Prague				Sigma Olomouc
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0.5	0	50%	1–10	60%	0.4	0.6
0	1	50%	11–20	40%	0	0.4
0.5	0	50%	21–30	60%	0.4	0.2
0	0.5	50%	31–40	40%	0.4	0.4
0	0	0%	41–HT	20%	0.2	0
0	1	100%	46–55	20%	0.2	0
0	1	50%	56–65	80%	0.6	0.8
0.5	0	50%	66–75	20%	0	0.4
0	0.5	50%	76–85	20%	0	0.2
0	0.5	50%	86–FT	60%	0.6	0.4
0	0	0%	37–HT	40%	0.2	0.2
0	0.5	50%	87–FT	20%	0	0.4

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Dukla Pragueper matchSigma Olomouc

0.77xG for1.17

1.12xG against1.35

8.5Shots10.5

13.3Shots against13.5

2.67Shots on target2.75

3.0On target against4.1

10%Conversion12%

9.9Shots per goal8.4

12.3Fouls14.1

2.0Offsides2.0

• • Dukla Prague scores 0.09 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Dukla Prague concedes 0.26 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Sigma Olomouc scores 0.08 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Sigma Olomouc concedes 0.35 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.67 goals per match on average.