Guiseley — United of Manchester 2:5: match report and statistics

Tournament

England. Premier League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Hebburn Town	40	23	10	7	75:41	+34	79	WWWWW
2	Hednesford Town	40	22	11	7	62:35	+27	77	DWWWW
3	United of Manchester	40	21	9	10	65:41	+24	72	LDLWL
4	Rylands	40	18	13	9	59:42	+17	67	LWWWD
5	Stockton Town	40	18	12	10	62:50	+12	63	WDDLL
6	Lancaster City	40	17	11	12	56:45	+11	62	WDWDW
7	Gainsborough Trinity	40	16	11	13	50:45	+5	59	LLLWL
8	Leek Town	40	17	7	16	50:52	-2	58	WWWWW
9	Cleethorpes Town	40	14	13	13	56:47	+9	55	DLLDW
10	Ashton United	40	14	11	15	47:54	-7	53	DDWLW
11	Ilkeston	40	15	7	18	52:54	-2	52	WDWLD
12	Bamber Bridge	40	14	8	18	52:52	0	50	LLLDL
13	Guiseley	40	13	9	18	46:56	-10	48	DLLDW
14	Warrington Town	40	12	12	16	43:63	-20	48	LLLDL
15	Hyde United	40	11	14	15	58:63	-5	47	WWDWD
16	Rushall Olympic	40	12	11	17	48:61	-13	47	LWWWL
17	Whitby Town	40	10	13	17	43:55	-12	43	DLDLL
18	Workington	40	10	13	17	43:58	-15	43	LWLDL
19	Prescot Cables	40	9	15	16	40:50	-10	42	WWLLL
20	Morpeth Town	40	12	6	22	38:54	-16	42	WLLWL
21	Stocksbridge Park Steels	40	8	12	20	38:65	-27	36	LDLLL

• Promotion - England. National League North
• Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 3.05 goals: 1.25 for Guiseley and 1.8 for United of Manchester.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 1–2 (10%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 18 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.2, 2nd — 1.85.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	80%	80%	81%	1.24
Over 2.5	40%	60%	59%	1.70
Over 3.5	40%	30%	36%	2.75
Over 4.5	40%	20%	19%	5.18

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Guiseley United of Manchester

• Scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored first in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Guiseleymatches: 10 · 10United of Manchester

3.2Avg match total2.9

100%10/10Over 0.5100%10/10

0%0/10Under 0.50%0/10

80%8/10Over 1.580%8/10

20%2/10Under 1.520%2/10

40%4/10Over 2.560%6/10

60%6/10Under 2.540%4/10

40%4/10Over 3.530%3/10

60%6/10Under 3.570%7/10

40%4/10Over 4.520%2/10

60%6/10Under 4.580%8/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

GuiseleyUnited of Manchester

40%4/10Scores first60%6/10

50%2/4…and wins83%5/6

50%2/4…and draws17%1/6

0%0/4…and loses0%0/6

50%2/4…and then concedes67%4/6

First to concede…

Overall

• • Guiseley opened the scoring in 40% of matches.
• • Guiseley avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • United of Manchester opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • United of Manchester avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Guiseley				United of Manchester
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	4	50%	1–15	30%	2	1
1	3	40%	16–30	20%	1	1
0	3	30%	31–45	50%	3	3
2	3	50%	46–60	60%	2	5
2	2	40%	61–75	30%	3	0
7	3	50%	76–90	60%	7	1
0	1	10%	37–HT	40%	1	3
2	1	30%	87–FT	40%	3	1

• • Guiseley scores most in 76–90: 7 of 14 goals (50%).
• • Guiseley concedes most in 1–15: 4 of 18 conceded.
• • Guiseley scores 64% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • United of Manchester scores most in 76–90: 7 of 18 goals (39%).
• • United of Manchester concedes most in 46–60: 5 of 11 conceded.
• • United of Manchester scores 56% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.17 goals per match on average.